Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 19, 2024

Phillies at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Philadelphia Phillies

29-27

7 - 8

Pittsburgh Pirates

29-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Perez			5.21	2-5
A.Nola			3.57	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 29-27	-1.5-102	o8-115	-168
Pirates 29-28	+1.5-118	u8-105	+142

Friday 10:40 p.m.

July 19, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PHI -1.5+100

$1.00

PHI -1.5+104

PHI -1.5+100

PIT +152

1.52u

PHI o4.5-115

0.5u

Perez best est. 4.43 xFIP - PHI 116 wRC+ v LHP - PIT one of league's worst defenses.

M.Perez u3.5 Ks+130

0.5u

Four swings and misses last 199 pitches.

M.Perez u16.5 Outs-120

0.83u

T.Turner o1.5 Total Bases-120

0.83u

A.Bohm o1.5 Total Bases-115

1.74u

PHI -148

M.Perez o3.5 Ks-140

0.71u

Over 8-105

0.48u

Flat to -112

PHI -140 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -157

PHI -140

$1.40

PHI -135

1.35u

Nola up mph L4 starts, struck out 26 of last 74 (Braves & Dodgers in there), PIT rumored, but not confirmed Perez (nobody I'd fear except Skenes and that's not happening). PHI (116 wRC+ v LHP) hit everything Perez throws well and almost all his pitches grade below average. Nola has two pitches grading above 60 (PItchingBot) that the Pirates (86 wRC+ v RHP & Home) are bottom three in the league against. PHI also has a much improved defense and massive edge here.

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The Pirates are 15-9 (.625) after a loss as underdogs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since last season -- 11th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 39% since last season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .411 (46-for-112) against Martin Perez versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .253 -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Pirates' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-27	15-15	15-12	17-15	12-12
Phillies	18-38	8-22	10-16	14-26	4-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	30-25-2	19-11	11-14-2	20-12	9-13-2
Phillies	24-30-2	15-14-1	9-16-1	20-19-1	4-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	29-28	15-15	14-13	18-14	10-14
Phillies	29-27	14-16	15-11	23-17	6-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 14th	@CWS	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT -163
Jul 13th	@CWS	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT -137
Jul 13th	@CWS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +142
Jul 11th	@MIL	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PIT -121
Jul 11th	@MIL	L 0-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL +136

Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	80	5	4	4
LG.Soto, P	18	1	0	0
RO.Kerkering, P	19	1	1	2
RJ.Hoffman, P	15	1	3	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	18	0.1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-4	0	0	1
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	2	1	2
3B.Harper, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
5N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	0	0	2
6E.Sosa, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
7W.Wilson, LF	3-5	1	1	2
7J.Rojas, CF	0-0	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Pache, CF	1-4	1	0	0
9B.Marsh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Marsh, LF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	82	3.2	4	6
RK.Nicolas, P	40	1.1	3	1
RD.Santana, P	17	1	0	0
RQ.Priester, P	14	1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	13	1	2	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	23	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	2-3	3	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	3-5	2	0
3O.Cruz, SS	3-5	2	3
4N.Gonzales, 2B	1-5	0	2
5R.Tellez, 1B	0-1	0	3
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0
7J.Palacios, RF	1-4	0	0
7J.Palacios, CF	1-4	0	0
8J.Bart, C	1-3	0	0
9J.Suwinski, CF	1-2	0	0
9C.Joe, PH	1-2	0	0
9C.Joe, RF	1-2	0	0
9M.Taylor, PR	0-0	1	0