Pirates vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2024

Pirates at Brewers

6:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

29-28

1 - 0

Milwaukee Brewers

33-20

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 29-28	-1.5+140	o7.5+100	-121
Brewers 33-20	+1.5-165	u7.5-120	+102

Thursday 6:10 p.m.

July 11, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

B.Reynolds o0.5 HR+460

0.25u

Over 3.5 (Live)-110

PIT -120

0.83u

Over 7.5-115

MIL +105

0.5u

Under 7.5-105

MIL +100

MIL +107

P.Skenes o17.5 Outs-152

0.66u

C.Yelich o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

1.1u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

0.71u

MIL +105

Under 8-112

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (-103)

MIL +120

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +107

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .828 this month -- fifth best in MLB. Brewers RPs have allowed an OPS of .965 (150 PAs) this month -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 4.0 runs per game since last season -- second lowest in MLB (254 games). The Pirates have scored just 4.3 runs per game since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB (253 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
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Jul 11, 2024 UTC
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Pirates vs Brewers: Bet Skenes, Pirates on the Run Line
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The Brewers are 27-13 (.675) at home this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Willy Adames is slugging .543 on non-fastballs this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Paul Skenes has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time this season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 36 total NonFB-- 96th Percentile.

34% of Brice Turang strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 69% of Paul Skenes's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of .886 (162 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .648 -- third Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (81 Total Bases / 150 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 14-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Brewers' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	32-21	18-12	14-9	20-13	12-8
Pirates	30-27	15-15	15-12	17-15	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	23-29-1	13-17	10-12-1	15-17-1	8-12
Pirates	30-25-2	19-11	11-14-2	20-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	33-20	19-11	14-9	22-11	11-9
Pirates	29-28	15-15	14-13	18-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 11th	PIT	W 9-0	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -162
Jul 10th	PIT	L 2-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -162
Jul 7th	@LAD	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 9	MIL +150
Jul 6th	@LAD	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9	LAD -108
Jul 6th	@LAD	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAD +180

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RP.Skenes, P	99	7	11
RC.Holderman, P	26	1	3
LA.Chapman, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-2	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	0	0
4C.Joe, PH	0-0	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	0-0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0
6J.Palacios, RF	0-4	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0
8J.Suwinski, CF	0-4	1	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-0	0	0
9Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	100	6.1	6	1
LB.Hudson, P	22	1.2	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
7G.Mitchell, RF	1-2	0	0	0
8A.Monasterio, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	0-3	0	0	0