Pirates vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2024

Pirates at Brewers

6:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

2-0

1 - 0

Milwaukee Brewers

1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 2-0	-1.5+140	o7.5+100	-121
Brewers 1-1	+1.5-165	u7.5-120	+102

Thursday 6:10 p.m.

July 11, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

B.Reynolds o0.5 HR+460

0.25u

Over 3.5 (Live)-110

PIT -120

0.83u

Under 7.5+100

PIT -120

0.83u

Over 7.5-115

Under 7.5-105

MIL +100

PIT -134 (F5)

Paul Skenes is going for the Pirates. Enough said. He has a 1.11 road ERA.

C.Yelich o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

1.1u

MIL +106

$50.00

MIL +105

Under 8-112

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (-103)

MIL +120

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +107

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .828 this month -- fifth best in MLB. Brewers RPs have allowed an OPS of .965 (150 PAs) this month -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 4.0 runs per game since last season -- second lowest in MLB (254 games). The Pirates have scored just 4.3 runs per game since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB (253 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 11, 2024 UTC
Our MLB Best Bets for Thursday Night
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Pirates vs Brewers: Bet Skenes, Pirates on the Run Line
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See more MLB Coverage

The Brewers are 27-13 (.675) at home this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Willy Adames is slugging .543 on non-fastballs this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Paul Skenes has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time this season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 36 total NonFB-- 96th Percentile.

34% of Brice Turang strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 69% of Paul Skenes's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of .886 (162 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .648 -- third Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (81 Total Bases / 150 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 11th	PIT	W 9-0	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -162
Jul 10th	PIT	L 2-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -162
Jul 7th	@LAD	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 9	MIL +150
Jul 6th	@LAD	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9	LAD -108
Jul 6th	@LAD	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAD +180

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RP.Skenes, P	99	7	11
RC.Holderman, P	26	1	3
LA.Chapman, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-2	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	0	0
4C.Joe, PH	0-0	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	0-0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0
6J.Palacios, RF	0-4	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0
8J.Suwinski, CF	0-4	1	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-0	0	0
9Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	100	6.1	6	1
LB.Hudson, P	22	1.2	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
7G.Mitchell, RF	1-2	0	0	0
8A.Monasterio, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	0-3	0	0	0