Phillies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2025

Phillies at Marlins

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

5 - 2

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Alcantara			5.36	11-12
M.Abel			8.36	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5	-1.5+146	o8.5-111	-115
Marlins 0-0	u8.5	+1.5-176	u8.5-109	-104

Monday 10:40 p.m.

June 16, 2025

loanDepot parkMiami

S.Alcantara o2.5 Earned Runs-110

1.1u

(VIP and Action Exclusive Pick) - Over in 9/L11 games - Allowed 6 runs to the Phillies earlier this season, including a 3-run first inning - PHI ranks 9th in wRC+ and 8th in wOBA. They have been even better the last month, ranking 7th in both those categories.

PHI -110

Took on Novig Playing off of the Alcantara pick, I'm backing the Phillies to take the win today. Alcantara on the mound is a clear advantage for the Phillies with his 3-7 record and 7.14 ERA this season. While Alcantara has been better in his last 2 starts, that was against the Rockies and Pirates, and both of those teams suck. The Phillies have one of the top offenses vs RHP this season and scored 6 runs vs Alcantara in their first meeting this season. The Marlins have also lost 9/L10 home games, while the Phillies are on a 4-game win streak coming off a series sweep of the Blue Jays. I'll back the Phillies in this matchup.

MIA +100

Model loves this play. Sandy has awful career splits vs Phillies and he’s been dog shit all season. Tough tail but the model spits and I click

PHI -1.5+150

1.5u

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -115

Under 8.5-105

PHI -110

MIA +105

Follow @PicksOffice on X to read the full writeup.

PHI o1.5 Team Total (F5)-155

0.65u

S.Alcantara o2.5 Earned Runs-115

0.5u

MIA -112 (F5)

1.68u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

S.Alcantara u4.5 Ks-112

Coming off a good outing, but in a low-strikeout matchup, I have Alcantara projected at just 4.12 strikeouts.

MIA +105

PHI -1.5+138

0.99u

S.Alcantara u17.5 Outs+120

1.2u

S.Alcantara o2.5 Earned Runs-105

K.Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases+130

0.77u

PHI -118

$423.73

S.Alcantara u4.5 Ks+102

S.Alcantara o5.5 Hits Allowed-125

MIA +110

0.5u

Bet to +104; cashed out +110 and took +115 (CZR)

M.Abel o4.5 Ks+101

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 51-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	94-68	43-38	51-30	11-18	82-49
Phillies	81-81	41-40	40-41	62-67	19-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	80-79-3	38-42-1	42-37-2	17-12	62-66-3
Phillies	70-81-11	41-37-3	29-44-8	57-61-11	13-20

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	79-83	38-43	41-40	15-14	64-67
Phillies	96-66	55-26	41-40	80-49	16-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 15th	@WSH	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +136
Jun 14th	@WSH	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	MIA +108
Jun 13th	@WSH	W 11-9	-1.5 W	O 9	MIA -112
Jun 11th	@PIT	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT +134
Jun 10th	@PIT	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +124

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Abel, P	77	5	3	1
RT.Walker, P	9	1	1	0
RJ.Romano, P	14	1	2	0
LM.Strahm, P	18	1	0	1
RO.Kerkering, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	3-5	1	1	2
2K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3A.Bohm, 3B	2-5	0	0	2
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Rojas, CF	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Kepler, LF	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	1	1
6O.Kemp, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Marchan, C	1-4	1	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	1-3	2	0	0
9B.Marsh, LF	1-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	100	5	5	2
RV.Bellozo, P	40	3	1	1
LC.Gibson, P	29	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1X.Edwards, 2B	2-4	1	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	0-3	0	0
2J.Sanoja, PH	1-1	0	0
2J.Sanoja, CF	1-1	0	0
3O.Lopez, SS	0-4	0	0
4A.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	1
5K.Stowers, LF	1-4	1	0
5K.Stowers, CF	1-4	1	0
5K.Stowers, RF	1-4	1	0
6E.Wagaman, 1B	0-4	0	0
7L.Hicks, C	0-2	0	0
8C.Norby, 3B	1-4	0	1
9D.Myers, CF	0-0	0	0
9H.Hernandez, LF	0-2	0	0