Dodgers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2023

Dodgers at Pirates

4:35 pm • MLB Network

Los Angeles Dodgers

37-21

2 - 6

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.21	13-9
J. Urías			4.60	11-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 37-21	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

April 27, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT +141

0.71u

Under 8.5-120

LAD -164 (F5)

Under 3.5 (F5)+101

0.99u

Over 7.5+100

All of Keller's estimators are between 4.17 & 4.28 - PIT v LHP & LAD v RHP > 120 wRC+ (missing a few bats, but should still be enough to clear this number) - Def combined -3 Runs Prevented - LAD pen all estimators > 4.00

Under 4 (F5)-125

J.Urias o5.5 Ks+100

0.5u

J.Urias o17.5 Outs-135

M.Keller o5.5 Hits Allowed-115

Under 8-110

1.1u

PIT u3.5-137

LAD -0.5 (F5)-110

$1.10

Under 4 (F5)+100

0.6u

PIT +150

0.75u

Bet to +140

PIT +145

1.45u

Urias (3.37 SIERA/2.90 xERA) has been better than Keller (4.21/4.17), but have you seen the LU the Dodgers have been sending out w/o Muncy & Smith? PIT 122 wRC+ v LHP + bullpen estimators 1/4 run better than LAD

Under 8-105

$40.00

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The Dodgers are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are 7-6 (.538) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .257.

The Pirates are just 74-95 (.438) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Dodgers are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .321 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 33% of the time since last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has a strike rate of 68% (326/481) this season -- tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of just 22% (18/83) against Mitch Keller this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% -- 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (37/91) when he's behind in the count this season -- tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Dodgers	31-27	14-16	17-11	31-26	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Dodgers	24-34	11-19	13-15	24-33	0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Dodgers	37-21	19-11	18-10	37-20	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	LAD	W 8-1	-	-	-
Apr 25th	LAD	L 7-8	-	-	-
Apr 23rd	CIN	W 2-0	-	-	-
Apr 22nd	CIN	W 2-1	-	-	-
Apr 21st	CIN	W 4-2	-	-	-

Blake Snell
SP
Blake Snell has been scratched Friday. Will Klein likely to start a bullpen game.
Out
Enrique Hernandez
1B
Hernandez is out with elbow
Out
Tommy Edman
2B
Edman is out with ankle
Out
Wyatt Mills
RP
Mills is out with elbow
Out
Bobby Miller
SP
Miller is out with shoulder
Out
Landon Knack
SP
Knack is out with undisclosed
Out
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ. Urías, P	96	5.2	5	6
RP.Bickford, P	15	1.1	1	0
LV.Gonzalez, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	0-3	1	0
1M.Betts, RF	0-3	1	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	1-4	0	0
3J.Heyward, RF	2-3	1	0
3M.Vargas, PH	0-1	0	0
3M.Vargas, 2B	0-1	0	0
4J.Outman, CF	0-4	0	0
5D.Peralta, DH	1-4	0	2
6C.Taylor, SS	0-4	0	0
7M.Busch, 3B	0-3	0	0
8T.Thompson, LF	0-3	0	0
9A.Barnes, C	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	97	6	10	2
RD. Underwood, P	9	1.1	1	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	12	0.2	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Marcano, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	0	1
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	2	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5R.Castro, SS	1-2	1	1	2
6J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	0	0	1
6J.Suwinski, RF	1-4	0	0	1
7M. Mathias, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Bae, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7J.Bae, CF	0-0	0	0	0
8D. Maggi, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Hayes, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0