Padres vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 4, 2025

Padres at Cubs

6:20 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

1-2

1 - 3

Chicago Cubs

4-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Imanaga			3.73	9-8
R.Vasquez			3.84	6-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 1-2	+1.5	+1.5-163	o7-108	+144
Cubs 4-4	u6.5	-1.5+137	u7-112	-171

Friday 6:20 p.m.

April 04, 2025

Wrigley FieldChicago

SD +1.5 (Live)+175

R.Vasquez u155 Outs (Live)-115

0.43u

Supposed to be 15.5. Will have it graded correctly if loses. Pitching system: Faded Vazquez. Ticket tweeted and on pikkit

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks+120

0.37u

1.88% ev

CHC -0.5 (F5)-115

1.5u

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks+120

1.2u

SD +143

CHC -0.5 (F5)-120

Under 3.5 (F5)-105

1.05u

CHC -160

1.88u

M.Busch u0.5 Hits+120

1.2u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-146

0.5u

Under 6.5+105

1.05u

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Under 7-125

0.8u

R.Vasquez u2.5 BB-150

0.75u

Vasquez is coming off a 4-walk performance but I’m viewing this as a bounce-back spot. He made huge leaps last year in control, finishing with a 6.7% BB% which meant a 2.6 BB/9 ratio. Most season-long projection systems have Vazquez closer to a 3.2 BB/9 pitcher this season, which means if he pitched 6 innings you’d expect around 2.2 walks. This isn’t a great matchup as the Cubs have been hot and were a top-10 team in walk rate last season, but I have this projected closer to 2.2 walks and am trusting the longer sample of him as a pitcher.

Under 7-125

0.25u

Bet to -130; split with Under 6.5 (bigger edge on plus than juiced 7)

Under 6.5+110

0.28u

Bet to -110; bigger edge at plus money compared to 7 (-125)

CHC -158

0.47u

Tonight's MLB Predictions, Props, Best Bets
Action Network Staff•
Apr 4, 2025 UTC
San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds -- 4/4
Action Network Staff•
Apr 4, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 39-42 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	78-84	39-42	39-42	55-60	22-24
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	74-78-10	40-36-5	34-42-5	52-56-7	22-21-3
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	92-70	50-31	42-39	73-42	18-28
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 2nd	@ATH	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC +100
Apr 2nd	@ATH	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 8	CHC -135
Apr 1st	@ATH	W 18-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC -146
Mar 30th	@ARI	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 9	ARI -104
Mar 30th	@ARI	W 4-3	-	U 9	CHC +102

Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	82	4.2	2	2
LY.Matsui, P	19	0.2	1	0
RA.Jacob, P	26	1.2	1	0
LW.Peralta, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-4	0	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	2-4	0	0	0
6Y.Gurriel, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6G.Sheets, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Lockridge, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	1-2	1	1	1
9E.Diaz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Imanaga, P	91	7.1	4	1
RP.Hodge, P	15	0.2	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	33	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	2-4	2	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-2	1	0
3S.Suzuki, DH	0-3	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	0-1	0	0
4J.Turner, PH	1-1	0	1
4J.Turner, 1B	1-1	0	1
5D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-3	0	1
7P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-4	0	0
8M.Shaw, 3B	0-3	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-4	0	0