Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 11, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

9-13

9 - 4

Boston Red Sox

14-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Whitlock			1.96	1-0
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 9-13	-1.5+130	o8.5-102	-130
Red Sox 14-11	+1.5-155	u8.5-118	+110

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

April 11, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 8.5-105

Under 8.5-115

1.15u

BAL -130

1.54u

BAL -117

E.Valdez u0.5 Hits+120

1.2u

Batting like a blind person

Under 8.5-108

BAL -120

2.5u

BAL -120

0.83u

Bet365 1:26 am.

BAL -115 (F5)

0.58u

B365 has -110. Bet to -120

Featured Insight
Orioles have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last week -- tied for third highest in MLB. Red Sox have struck out 29% over the last week -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 43% over the last week -- sixth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 44% against the Orioles RPs over the last week -- ninth worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

Masataka Yoshida batted .327 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- tied for seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Grayson Rodriguez had an average fastball velocity of 97.4 MPH last season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (36/49) this season -- 4th highest among in AL; League Avg: 64% -- 93rd Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (5/20) against Grayson Rodriguez this season -- 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- seventh Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 78.6 MPH (10 batted balls) this season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 89.0 -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Red Sox' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	13-13	6-7	7-6	9-10	4-3
Orioles	8-15	4-7	4-8	4-10	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	11-14-1	6-6-1	5-8	7-11-1	4-3
Orioles	13-7-3	8-1-2	5-6-1	9-3-2	4-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	14-12	8-5	6-7	11-8	3-4
Orioles	9-14	5-6	4-8	5-9	4-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 10th	BAL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL -117
Apr 9th	BAL	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	BAL +110
Apr 7th	@LAA	W 12-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -119
Apr 7th	@LAA	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	LAA +102
Apr 6th	@LAA	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -115

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
OF
O'Neill is day-to-day with neck
Day-to-Day
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	94	5.2	5	2
RJ.Webb, P	14	1.1	1	0
LD.Coulombe, P	15	0.2	0	1
RY.Cano, P	4	0.1	0	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	15	1	1	0
RM.Baumann, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	1	1	2
2A.Rutschman, C	1-5	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	1-4	1	1	2
3A.Hays, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	1-4	1	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	1-3	1	0	1
7C.Cowser, LF	3-5	2	2	4
8J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	0-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Whitlock, P	85	5	4	1
RJ.Slaten, P	31	2	1	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	17	0.2	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	6	0.2	0	1
RK.Jansen, P	19	0.2	1	0
RI.Campbell, P	28	1	1	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	1	0	1
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	1	0	1
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	1	0	1
2T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2T.O'Neill, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Yoshida, DH	1-5	0	0	1
3M.Yoshida, LF	1-5	0	0	1
4T.Casas, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	2-3	0	0	1
5C.Wong, PH	1-1	1	1	1
5C.Wong, 2B	1-1	1	1	1
5C.Wong, C	1-1	1	1	1
6E.Valdez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, CF	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9P.Reyes, 3B	0-4	1	0	0