Mets vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 5, 2024

Mets at Pirates

10:40 pm • SNY

New York Mets

55-42

2 - 14

Pittsburgh Pirates

39-58

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 55-42	+1.5-172	o8-102	+120
Pirates 39-58	-1.5+145	u8-116	-142

Friday 10:40 p.m.

July 05, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-130

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-102

1.96u

NYM +120

Under 8-109

1.09u

B.Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.5u

PIT -138

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-122

0.82u

PIT -130

NYM +105

Featured Insight
Mets have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Pirates have answered-back in just 27% of innings after an opponent scores since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Mets are just 83-18 (.822) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (22/146) against Luis Severino this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 23-27 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 47 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	50-47	27-20	23-27	9-17	39-30
Mets	47-50	25-22	22-28	31-37	16-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	37-55-5	20-24-3	17-31-2	9-17	27-37-5
Mets	43-53-1	22-24-1	21-29	34-33-1	9-20

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	39-58	26-21	13-37	12-14	26-43
Mets	55-42	33-14	22-28	44-24	11-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	STL	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	STL -108
Jul 3rd	STL	W 5-4	-	O 8.5	PIT -123
Jul 2nd	STL	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8	STL -122
Jun 30th	@ATL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +164
Jun 29th	@ATL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL +120

Starling Marte
LF
Marte is out with knee
Out
Jesse Winker
LF
Winker is out with back
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
SS
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	91	6	3	7
LJ.Diekman, P	10	0	0	1
RT.Adcock, P	46	1.2	1	6
RL.Torrens, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
4B.Gamel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6F.Alvarez, C	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
9H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P		107	7	8	2
RD.Jefferies, P		29	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Palacios, RF	1-3	3	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	4-5	3	2	6
3O.Cruz, SS	2-4	1	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	2	2	5
5N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Suwinski, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7K.Hayes, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	2-4	2	1	1
9M.Taylor, CF	4-4	2	1	1