Mets vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 5, 2024

Mets at Pirates

10:40 pm • SNY

New York Mets

7-6

2 - 14

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	+1.5-172	o8-102	+120
Pirates 0-0	-1.5+145	u8-116	-142

Friday 10:40 p.m.

July 05, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-130

L.Severino o4.5 Ks-125

0.63u

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-102

1.96u

NYM +120

Under 8-109

1.09u

B.Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-122

0.82u

NYM +105

Featured Insight
Mets have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Pirates have answered-back in just 27% of innings after an opponent scores since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Mets are just 83-18 (.822) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (22/146) against Luis Severino this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	STL	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	STL -108
Jul 3rd	STL	W 5-4	-	O 8.5	PIT -123
Jul 2nd	STL	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8	STL -122
Jun 30th	@ATL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +164
Jun 29th	@ATL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL +120

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	91	6	3	7
LJ.Diekman, P	10	0	0	1
RT.Adcock, P	46	1.2	1	6
RL.Torrens, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
4B.Gamel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6F.Alvarez, C	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
9H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P		107	7	8	2
RD.Jefferies, P		29	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Palacios, RF	1-3	3	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	4-5	3	2	6
3O.Cruz, SS	2-4	1	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	2	2	5
5N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Suwinski, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7K.Hayes, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	2-4	2	1	1
9M.Taylor, CF	4-4	2	1	1