Mets vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 5, 2024

Mets at Pirates

10:40 pm • SNY

New York Mets

23-33

2 - 14

Pittsburgh Pirates

29-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 23-33	+1.5-172	o8-102	+120
Pirates 29-28	-1.5+145	u8-116	-142

Friday 10:40 p.m.

July 05, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-130

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+340

0.29u

NYM +120

Under 8-109

1.09u

PIT -138

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-122

0.82u

PIT -130

NYM +105

Featured Insight
Mets have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Pirates have answered-back in just 27% of innings after an opponent scores since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

Mets vs. Pirates: The F5 Bet to Make
Cody Goggin•
Jul 5, 2024 UTC
Our 3 MLB Best Bets for Friday Night
Action Network Staff•
Jul 5, 2024 UTC
Our +430 SGP for Mets vs. Pirates Tonight
Tony Sartori•
Jul 5, 2024 UTC
Strikeout Props: Projections All Over Paul Skenes
Action AI•
Jul 5, 2024 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Mets are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Mets are just 83-18 (.822) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (22/146) against Luis Severino this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Mets	21-36	10-18	11-18	15-25	6-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Mets	24-30-3	15-10-3	9-20	19-19-2	5-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Mets	24-33	13-15	11-18	19-21	5-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	STL	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	STL -108
Jul 3rd	STL	W 5-4	-	O 8.5	PIT -123
Jul 2nd	STL	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8	STL -122
Jun 30th	@ATL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +164
Jun 29th	@ATL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL +120

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	91	6	3	7
LJ.Diekman, P	10	0	0	1
RT.Adcock, P	46	1.2	1	6
RL.Torrens, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
4B.Gamel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6F.Alvarez, C	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
9H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P		107	7	8	2
RD.Jefferies, P		29	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Palacios, RF	1-3	3	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	4-5	3	2	6
3O.Cruz, SS	2-4	1	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	2	2	5
5N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Suwinski, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7K.Hayes, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	2-4	2	1	1
9M.Taylor, CF	4-4	2	1	1