Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2024

Cardinals at Pirates

10:40 pm • BSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

52-49

4 - 5

Pittsburgh Pirates

40-61

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Jones			4.14	6-8
M.Mikolas			5.35	10-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 52-49	PK-110	o8.5-103	+103
Pirates 40-61	PK-108	u8.5-116	-123

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

July 03, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

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Featured Insight
The Pirates have allowed just 3.2 runs per game over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB (5 games). The Cardinals have scored just 2.8 runs per game over the last week -- tied for second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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Pirates vs. Cardinals: Is There Value on the Underdog?
D.J. James•
Jul 3, 2024 UTC

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The Cardinals are 36-2 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

Jack Suwinski is batting just .136 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for third worst among hitters with at least 124 total PA's-- first Percentile. Miles Mikolas has a strike rate of 71% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Nolan Gorman has struck out in 37% of PA's this season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Jared Jones has a strikeout rate of 30% vs left-handed batters this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (109 Total Bases / 192 ABs) on non-fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .312 (60-for-192) against Miles Mikolas' non-fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 23-27 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Pirates' 51 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	51-50	28-23	23-27	10-20	39-30
Cardinals	54-47	27-22	27-25	20-25	33-22

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	39-57-5	22-26-3	17-31-2	11-19	27-37-5
Cardinals	53-44-4	27-20-2	26-24-2	24-18-3	28-26-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	40-61	27-24	13-37	13-17	26-43
Cardinals	52-49	29-20	23-29	25-20	26-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 2nd	STL	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8	STL -122
Jun 30th	@ATL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +164
Jun 29th	@ATL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL +120
Jun 28th	@ATL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 9	ATL +180
Jun 26th	@CIN	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	PIT +114

Nolan Gorman
2B
Gorman is out with back
Out
Thomas Saggese
2B
Thomas Saggese has been scratched Tuesday.
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
SS
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	87	6	4	2
RG.Gallegos, P	13	0.1	1	1
LM.Liberatore, P	20	1.2	0	0
RA.Kittredge, P	17	1.1	2	1
LJ.Romero, P	5	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	3-5	0	0	1
2A.Burleson, RF	1-3	1	0	1
3W.Contreras, C	1-3	1	1	2
4P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-5	0	0	0
5B.Donovan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Arenado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Crawford, DH	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Fermin, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Fermin, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Gorman, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, PH	0-1	1	0	0
9D.Carlson, CF	0-1	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Jones, P	78	5	5	1
RK.Nicolas, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	9	1	2	0
RC.Holderman, P	23	1	1	2
LA.Chapman, P	27	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-5	0	0	1
3O.Cruz, SS	2-5	0	0	1
4E.Olivares, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5R.Tellez, 1B	3-4	2	1	1
6N.Gonzales, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
8J.Bart, C	0-3	0	0	1
8J.Triolo, PR	0-0	1	0	0
9J.Suwinski, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9C.Joe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0	0