Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2024

Cardinals at Pirates

10:40 pm • BSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

30-25

4 - 5

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Jones			4.14	6-8
M.Mikolas			5.35	10-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 30-25	PK-110	o8.5-103	+103
Pirates 30-28	PK-108	u8.5-116	-123

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

July 03, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

88 degrees, but 10 mph wind in from right & pitcher friendly Estabrook behind plate - Mikolas all est < 4.5, Jones < 4 - STL 92/105/92 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days, PIT 81/82/79

J.Jones o6.5 Ks+120

0.83u

Under 8-120

$25.00

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Featured Insight
The Pirates have allowed just 3.2 runs per game over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB (5 games). The Cardinals have scored just 2.8 runs per game over the last week -- tied for second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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Pirates vs. Cardinals: Is There Value on the Underdog?
D.J. James•
Jul 3, 2024 UTC

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The Cardinals are 36-2 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

Jack Suwinski is batting just .136 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for third worst among hitters with at least 124 total PA's-- first Percentile. Miles Mikolas has a strike rate of 71% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Nolan Gorman has struck out in 37% of PA's this season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Jared Jones has a strikeout rate of 30% vs left-handed batters this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (109 Total Bases / 192 ABs) on non-fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .312 (60-for-192) against Miles Mikolas' non-fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Pirates' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-27	15-15	15-12	17-15	12-12
Cardinals	32-22	15-11	17-11	3-3	29-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	30-25-2	19-11	11-14-2	20-12	9-13-2
Cardinals	23-28-3	13-12-1	10-16-2	2-4	21-24-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	29-28	15-15	14-13	18-14	10-14
Cardinals	29-25	13-13	16-12	3-3	26-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 2nd	STL	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8	STL -122
Jun 30th	@ATL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +164
Jun 29th	@ATL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL +120
Jun 28th	@ATL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 9	ATL +180
Jun 26th	@CIN	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	PIT +114

Lars Nootbaar
LF
Nootbaar is out with heel
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	87	6	4	2
RG.Gallegos, P	13	0.1	1	1
LM.Liberatore, P	20	1.2	0	0
RA.Kittredge, P	17	1.1	2	1
LJ.Romero, P	5	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	3-5	0	0	1
2A.Burleson, RF	1-3	1	0	1
3W.Contreras, C	1-3	1	1	2
4P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-5	0	0	0
5B.Donovan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Arenado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Crawford, DH	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Fermin, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Fermin, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Gorman, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, PH	0-1	1	0	0
9D.Carlson, CF	0-1	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Jones, P	78	5	5	1
RK.Nicolas, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	9	1	2	0
RC.Holderman, P	23	1	1	2
LA.Chapman, P	27	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-5	0	0	1
3O.Cruz, SS	2-5	0	0	1
4E.Olivares, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5R.Tellez, 1B	3-4	2	1	1
6N.Gonzales, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
8J.Bart, C	0-3	0	0	1
8J.Triolo, PR	0-0	1	0	0
9J.Suwinski, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9C.Joe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0	0