Mariners vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2026

Mariners at Padres

12:40 am • MLB Network
@
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Walker Buehler logoW.BuehlerSan Diego Padres logo4.970-1
Luis Castillo logoL.CastilloSeattle Mariners logo6.920-0

Mariners at Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners
8-11
+1.5
-1.5+140
o8.5-105
-120
Padres
12-6
u8.5
+1.5-169
u8.5-115
+100
location pinFriday 12:40 a.m.
April 17, 2026
Petco ParkSan Diego
thermometer image66°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image6Wind
Mariners vs. Padres Expert Picks
Kev Mahserejian
Kev Mahserejian
Last 30d: 6-1-0 (+6.8u)
SEA -120
2u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 98-115-4 (-25.2u)
SD +105
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 66-65-2 (-3.0u)
SEA -120
3u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 173-233-13 (-24.5u)
C.Raleigh o0.5 HR+272
0.1u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 206-262-4 (-14.1u)
F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases+104
$1.00
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 274-370-21 (-23.9u)
W.Buehler o4.5 Hits Allowed-110
0.55u
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
Last 30d: 32-39-2 (-3.7u)
Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-108
1.08u
Good to -115 (DK)
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 18-91-2 (+3.8u)
L.Raley o0.5 HR+600
0.5u
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 274-370-21 (-23.9u)
W.Buehler u15.5 Outs-140
0.7u
L.Castillo o16.5 Outs-103
0.52u
RoyalsProps
RoyalsProps
Last 30d: 61-45-5 (+11.8u)
X.Bogaerts o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+100
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 145-141-7 (-8.4u)
Over 8-110
0.55u
Bet to -120
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 30-42-5 (-9.4u)
SD +100 (F5)
0.5u
(FD) Castillo got smoked by a nearly entirely RH LU at home last time out after pitching poorly in LA (AL) his previous time out. He’s allowed six barrels to Buehler’s two. They may both be toast, but the Padres have a comparable offense, better defense and base running with possibly the best bullpen in the league anchored by a game shortener. (Wouldn’t play much higher)

Mariners vs. Padres Previews & Analysis

  • Kev's Pick for Mariners-Padres article feature image

    Kev's Pick for Mariners-Padres

    Kevork Mahserejian
    Apr 16, 2026 UTC
  • Zerillo's Opening Pitch for Thursday article feature image

    Zerillo's Opening Pitch for Thursday

    Sean Zerillo
    Apr 16, 2026 UTC
  • Grant's 7 Home Run Bets for Thursday article feature image

    Grant's 7 Home Run Bets for Thursday

    Grant Neiffer
    Apr 16, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mariners vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Mariners

Public

49%

Bets%

51%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
13-59-34-28-15-4
Mariners
7-126-51-76-101-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres
9-8-16-5-13-34-4-15-4
Mariners
9-107-42-69-70-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
12-68-44-27-25-4
Mariners
8-117-41-77-91-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 16thSEAW 7-6-O 8SD -109
Apr 15thSEAW 4-1+1.5 WU 7SD +100
Apr 12thCOLW 7-2-1.5 WO 7.5SD -225
Apr 12thCOLW 9-5-1.5 WO 8.5SD -170
Apr 11thCOLW 5-2-1.5 WU 8SD -174

Mariners vs. Padres Injury Updates

Mariners Injuries

  • Miles Mastrobuoni
    3B

    Mastrobuoni is out with calf

    Out

  • Bryce Miller
    SP

    Miller is out with oblique

    Out

Padres Injuries

  • Joe Musgrove
    SP

    Musgrove is out with elbow

    Out

  • Griffin Canning
    SP

    Canning is out with achilles

    Out

  • Matt Waldron
    SP

    Waldron is out with lower body

    Out

  • Will Wagner
    3B

    Wagner is out with oblique

    Out

Mariners vs. Padres Starting Lineups
Mariners Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Luis Castillo logoRL.Castillo, P0-06.921.7699.69
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Brendan Donovan logo1B.Donovan, 3B.294.431.5293
Cal Raleigh logo2C.Raleigh, C.151.241.2742
Julio Rodriguez logo3J.Rodriguez, CF.194.301.2641
Josh Naylor logo4J.Naylor, 1B.125.203.2082
Randy Arozarena logo5R.Arozarena, LF.299.420.4031
Luke Raley logo6L.Raley, RF.339.391.6444
J.P. Crawford logo7J.Crawford, SS.194.419.2260
Dominic Canzone logo8D.Canzone, DH.205.289.4622
Cole Young logo9C.Young, 2B.215.311.3692
Padres Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Walker Buehler logoRW.Buehler, P0-14.971.2637.82
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Ramon Laureano logo1R.Laureano, LF.292.352.5694
Fernando Tatis logo2F.Tatis, RF.242.312.3030
Jackson Merrill logo3J.Merrill, CF.261.320.4643
Manny Machado logo4M.Machado, 3B.185.361.3332
Xander Bogaerts logo5X.Bogaerts, SS.284.342.4483
Gavin Sheets logo6G.Sheets, 1B.241.268.4812
Miguel Andujar logo7M.Andujar, DH.297.350.4320
Luis Campusano logo8L.Campusano, C.320.346.6001
Jake Cronenworth logo9J.Cronenworth, 2B.140.246.2111

Mariners vs. Padres Odds Comparison

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Mariners at Padres Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Mariners
8-11
N/A
N/A
Padres
12-6
N/A
N/A