Guardians vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2024

Guardians at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

2 - 6

Atlanta Braves

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			2.38	18-3
L.Allen			5.73	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	+1.5+105	o8.5-107	+220
Braves 0-0	-1.5-125	u8.5-113	-270

Friday 11:20 p.m.

April 26, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

ATL -1.5-130

2.31u

CLE +222

ATL -235

T.d'Arnaud o1.5 Total Bases+131

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases+110

0.55u

Ballpark pal gives a strong advantage to Ozuna and +ev bet with devig odds of -109 giving value to this number

CLE +1.5-115

0.58u

Under 8.5+102

1.02u

… windy unders Overall: 909-660-81,58% (ROI:11%) Season:5-2-0,71% (ROI:37%)

ATL -190

0.53u

Superbook. Bet to -205

ATL -196 (F5)

0.51u

Bet to -240

Featured Insight
Guardians have won 71% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second best in MLB. Braves have won just 26% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% this season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the Guardians this season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Josh Naylor is batting .385 on breaking pitches this season -- sixth best among hitters with at least 34 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Chris Sale has thrown his slider 43% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strike rate of 71% (263/370) this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 98th Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (31 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .372 -- second Percentile.

4 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	MIA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -270
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -262
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218
Apr 21st	TEX	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 10	TEX -162
Apr 20th	TEX	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -142

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	91	4.2	5	4
RT.Beede, P	34	1.1	2	1
RP.Avila, P	35	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2T.Freeman, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2T.Freeman, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Fry, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5D.Fry, C	1-4	0	0	1
6R.Laureano, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Florial, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8E.Florial, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	95	7	6	1
RP.Johnson, P	18	1	1	0
LT.Matzek, P	13	0.1	1	1
LA.Minter, P	13	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-3	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	1	0	2
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	2-4	1	1	1
9A.Duvall, LF	1-4	0	0	0