Rangers vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Rangers at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSW

Texas Rangers

53-50

2 - 5

Atlanta Braves

44-57

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			4.19	8-10
N.Eovaldi			3.80	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rangers 53-50	+1.5-163	o9-121	+120
Braves 44-57	-1.5+136	u9+102	-142

Saturday 11:20 p.m.

April 20, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

TEX +120 (F5)

1.5u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-128

0.64u

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Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 0.8 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (12 games). The Rangers have scored just 0.7 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- fifth lowest in MLB (14 games).

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Marcell Ozuna is slugging .750 over the last two weeks -- fifth best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a SLG of .714 vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second worst among qualified SPs-- third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (54/371) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 4 of 18 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (239/711) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 19-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Braves' 52 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	41-60	22-30	19-30	31-48	10-12
Rangers	56-47	31-20	25-27	27-23	28-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	42-53-6	19-30-3	23-23-3	32-43-4	10-10-2
Rangers	40-62-1	16-35	24-27-1	18-32	21-27-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	44-57	26-26	18-31	39-40	5-17
Rangers	53-50	31-20	22-30	34-16	17-32

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	TEX	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	ATL -207
Apr 17th	@HOU	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL -134
Apr 17th	@HOU	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -112
Apr 16th	@HOU	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 10.5	ATL -118
Apr 14th	@MIA	W 9-7	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -142

Chris Sale
SP
Sale is out with ribs
Out
Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jon Gray
SP
Gray is out with wrist
Out
Tyler Mahle
SP
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Jake Burger
1B
Jake Burger (quad) has been scratched Sunday.
Out
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Eovaldi, P	105	5.1	6	3
RJ.Gray, P	24	1.2	4	0
RA.Pruitt, P	22	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-4	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	0-4	0	0
3E.Carter, LF	1-3	0	0
3E.Duran, PH	1-1	0	0
3E.Duran, LF	1-1	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	2-4	1	0
5N.Lowe, 1B	0-3	1	0
6J.Smith, 3B	1-4	0	1
7W.Langford, DH	0-4	0	0
8A.Knizner, C	0-2	0	1
8T.Jankowski, PH	0-1	0	0
8T.Jankowski, CF	0-1	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	0-2	0	0
9S.Huff, C	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	91	6	4	2
RJ.Jimenez, P	15	1	2	0
LA.Minter, P	13	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	1	0	0
2M.Harris, CF	3-5	0	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-2	0	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	0	0
7T.d'Arnaud, C	1-1	2	1	2
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9L.Guillorme, 2B	1-3	1	0	1