Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - August 25, 2024

Diamondbacks at Red Sox

5:35 pm • MLB Network
7 - 5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Tanner Houck logoT.HouckBoston Red Sox logo3.129-10
Merrill Kelly logoM.KellyArizona Diamondbacks logo4.035-1

Diamondbacks at Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks
0-0
+1.5-181
o9-122
+110
Red Sox
0-0
-1.5+150
u9+102
-130
location pinSunday 5:35 p.m.
August 25, 2024
Fenway ParkBoston
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Picks  Office
Picks Office
89d ago
Last 30d: 93-106-0 (-20.9u)
Under 9.5-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Merrill Kelly has been terrific of late, as he has registered a 2.04 ERA in his last 3 starts, to suggest he really is locked in for the Diamondbacks as their reliable arm. He also throws down a WHIP of 1.17, further proving his aptitude at keeping runners off base, which really is the key to limiting run production. In years past, Kelly had been pretty dominant when facing Boston—it's hard to think that he had just allowed one earned run over 14.1 innings. Since the argument is in support of a low-scoring game, this historical success against the Red Sox further enhances the case, especially considering their current struggles against right-handed pitching, with average numbers of .256 BA and .323 OBP. On the flip side, Tanner Houck has been strong for Boston with a 3.01 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. His recent starts have seen him sharpen his form further, posting a 2.41 ERA across the last three outings. Underlying metrics, xERA/xBA, solidify that his performance, thus far, is nothing fluky, and he should maintain a high-volume level. Arizona's attacked looks shabby by a .239 batting average against righties and will probably have problems banging on the all against Houck. Additionally given of the added confidence to this under pick are both bullpens. For Arizona, its bullpen pitches to a respectable 3.79 ERA and impressive 1.15 WHIP. The Boston bullpen is similarly stout with a 3.65 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. These numbers indicate that even if the starters leave early, the relief pitchers are more than capable of maintaining a low-score environment.
CeeJ Picks
CeeJ Picks
89d ago
Last 30d: 65-78-1 (+45.2u)
T.Houck o1.5 BB-130
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
89d ago
Last 30d: 262-264-8 (-4.7u)
Under 9.5-104
1u
umpire friendly unders Overall: 2059-1448-166,59% (ROI:13%) Season:44-33-3,57% (ROI:10%) mlb under non conference no wind out Overall: 256-170-13,60% (ROI:15%) Season:8-4-1,67% (ROI:26%)
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
89d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
T.Houck o1.5 BB-130
1u
Houck had been over in 7 straight before a zero walk game against the Astros. But now he gets the DBacks who have been walking a ton - 10.6% vs righties over the L30 is the third highest rate. 20/L24 righties making full starts are over this line against Arizona.
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
89d ago
Last 30d: 105-100-4 (-6.5u)
Under 9.5-105
1.05u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
89d ago
Last 30d: 40-31-0 (+6.8u)
M.Kelly u16.5 Outs-120
1.2u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
89d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
BOS -135 (F5)
0.37u
Flat to -147
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
89d ago
Last 30d: 157-155-3 (+35.4u)
BOS -133
1.25u

PRO Insights

Diamondbacks logo

Diamondbacks

ARI Insights
  • Diamondbacks logoThe Diamondbacks have scored 6.6 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (7 games). The Red Sox have allowed 7.3 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (6 games).
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Red Sox logo

Red Sox

BOS Insights
  • Red Sox logoThe Red Sox have answered-back in 45% of innings after an opponent scores this month -- second highest in MLB. Diamondbacks have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this month -- third highest in MLB.
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Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis

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Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages

30%

Bets%

70%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37
Diamondbacks
82-8037-4445-3637-4843-31

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Red Sox
79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6
Diamondbacks
92-64-650-29-242-35-450-33-241-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
81-8138-4343-3842-3738-43
Diamondbacks
89-7344-3745-3652-3335-39

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 24thARIL 1-4-1.5 LU 9.5ARI -135
Aug 23rdARIL 2-12-1.5 LO 9.5ARI -125
Aug 21st@HOUW 4-1+1.5 WU 8.5BOS +116
Aug 21st@HOUW 6-5-1.5 LO 8.5BOS -108
Aug 20th@HOUL 4-5+1.5 WO 8HOU +124

Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates

Red Sox Injuries

  • Lucas Giolito
    P

    Giolito is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Garrett Whitlock
    P

    Whitlock is out with oblique

    Out

  • David Hamilton
    IF

    Hamilton is out with finger

    Out

Diamondbacks Injuries

  • Ryne Nelson
    P

    Nelson is out with shoulder

    Out

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Box Score
Diamondbacks Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Merrill Kelly logoRM.Kelly, P101654
Joe Mantiply logoLJ.Mantiply, P10110
A.J. Puk logoLA.Puk, P17130
Justin Martinez logoRJ.Martinez, P13111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Corbin Carroll logo1C.Carroll, RF1-4001
Jake McCarthy logo2J.McCarthy, CF1-5001
Joc Pederson logo3J.Pederson, DH0-3000
Josh Bell logo4J.Bell, 1B0-4000
Pavin Smith logo5P.Smith, LF2-3100
Lourdes Gurriel logo5L.Gurriel, PH0-1000
Lourdes Gurriel logo5L.Gurriel, LF0-1000
Adrian Del Castillo logo6A.Del Castillo, C1-2200
Eugenio Suarez logo7E.Suarez, 3B4-4213
Luis Guillorme logo8L.Guillorme, 2B0-2100
Kevin Newman logo8K.Newman, PH0-1000
Kevin Newman logo8K.Newman, 2B0-1000
Geraldo Perdomo logo9G.Perdomo, SS1-4112
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Tanner Houck logoRT.Houck, P91626
Brennan Bernardino logoLB.Bernardino, P13120
Joely Rodriguez logoLJ.Rodriguez, P19110
Lucas Sims logoRL.Sims, P23101
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jarren Duran logo1J.Duran, CF0-3000
Wilyer Abreu logo2W.Abreu, RF1-2100
Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, PH0-1000
Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, RF0-1000
Triston Casas logo3T.Casas, 1B2-4211
Rafael Devers logo4R.Devers, 3B1-4113
Tyler O'Neill logo5T.O'Neill, LF1-4111
Masataka Yoshida logo6M.Yoshida, DH1-4000
Connor Wong logo7C.Wong, C1-4000
David Hamilton logo8D.Hamilton, 2B0-1000
Romy Gonzalez logo8R.Gonzalez, PH1-2000
Romy Gonzalez logo8R.Gonzalez, 2B1-2000
Ceddanne Rafaela logo9C.Rafaela, SS1-3000

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison

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Diamondbacks at Red Sox Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Diamondbacks
0-0
o4.5+100
u4.5-130
Red Sox
0-0
o4.5-120
u4.5-110