Red Sox vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 20, 2024

Red Sox at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Boston Red Sox

40-43

4 - 5

Houston Astros

49-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 40-43	+1.5	+1.5-175	o8-115	+124
Astros 49-33	u7.5	-1.5+145	u8-105	-148

Tuesday 12:10 a.m.

August 20, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

HOU -142

0.7u

home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game Overall: 584-333-0,64% (ROI:10%) Season:14-18-0,44% (ROI:-24%)

HOU -110 (F5)

$110.00

BOS +124

Over 8-110

T.O'Neill o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+105

R.Devers o0.5 HR+550

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+400

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

BOS -110 (F5)

Y.Kikuchi u16.5 Outs-115

1.15u

Since June 1st, he’s under in 9/14, and he’s only finished 6 innings twice. He’s been pulled in the sixth inning each of his three starts as an Astro, as he really struggles the third time through the order (.937 OPS). The Sox have a solid history/familiarity against him, and they’ve been raking vs lefties with a 128 wRC+ and .847 OPS over the L30 - and that includes a 10% walk rate. Also a plus-plus matchup with pitch efficiency - Sox at 3.94 per PA (8th highest), and Kikuchi at 3.96 (32nd highest of 115 qualifiers).

Y.Kikuchi u2.5 BB-165

0.61u

Yusei Kikuchi U 2.5 Walks (Fliff -165) ⚾️ Kikuchi is under in 76% of starts this season and in 85% at home. He has a 6.4% BB rate, which is good for the top 74th percentile ☑️ Boston is 11th in BB% vs LHP in the last 15 days, but looking at the game logs 21 of the last 25 starting pitchers were under 3 walks allowed vs the Red Sox 🤯

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Featured Insight
The Astros have scored 5.2 runs per game on the road since last season -- fourth highest in MLB (143 games). The Red Sox have allowed 5.1 runs per game at home since last season -- third highest in MLB (142 games).

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Astros' 44 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	43-39	24-20	19-19	26-32	17-6
Red Sox	41-42	19-21	22-21	23-28	18-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	33-46-3	17-27	16-19-3	27-30-1	5-16-2
Red Sox	38-44-1	16-23-1	22-21	22-28-1	16-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	49-33	31-13	18-20	36-22	13-10
Red Sox	40-43	22-18	18-25	26-25	14-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 18th	CWS	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	HOU -372
Aug 17th	CWS	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU -377
Aug 17th	CWS	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	CWS -270
Aug 14th	@TB	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	HOU -125
Aug 13th	@TB	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	HOU -125

Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	90	6	8	2
RC.Martin, P	13	1	3	0
RL.Sims, P	23	1	1	1
RK.Jansen, P	4	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	1	1	1
2T.O'Neill, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
5R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6D.Jansen, C	1-4	0	0	0
7T.Casas, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Wong, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Yoshida, PH	1-2	1	1	2
8M.Yoshida, DH	1-2	1	1	2
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	99	5.2	7	1
RT.Scott, P	19	1.1	1	1
LC.Ferguson, P	11	1	2	0
LJ.Hader, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, DH	3-4	0	0	0
3Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	2	1	1
3Y.Diaz, C	2-5	2	1	1
4J.Pena, SS	1-4	2	0	0
5V.Caratini, C	3-3	0	0	1
5Z.Dezenzo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5Z.Dezenzo, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Meyers, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Cabbage, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Singleton, PH	0-0	0	0	1
7C.McCormick, RF	1-1	1	0	0
8M.Dubon, LF	1-4	0	0	1
9S.Whitcomb, 3B	1-3	0	0	0