Red Sox vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024
Red Sox at Astros
12:10 am • SCHNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
R.Blanco | 2.80 | 13-6 | ||
N.Pivetta | 4.14 | 6-12 |
Red Sox at Astros Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox 0-0 | -1.5 | -1.5+150 | o8.5-115 | -108 |
Astros 0-2 | u8 | +1.5-178 | u8.5-105 | -110 |
Wednesday 12:10 a.m.
August 21, 2024Daikin ParkHouston
Red Sox vs. Astros Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
94d ago
Last 30d: 270-268-8 (-3.0u)
Under 8.5+105
1u
good strikeout pitchers take the under
Overall: 326-225-18,59% (ROI:14%)
Season:26-17-2,60% (ROI:16%)
HOU -105
1u
home teams on hot days
Overall: 660-533-0,55% (ROI:11%)
Season:30-31-0,49% (ROI:-3%)
The Degenerates
94d ago
Last 30d: 76-77-3 (-8.8u)
Over 8.5+100
1u
Picks Office
94d ago
Last 30d: 95-109-0 (-22.0u)
BOS +100
1u
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Offensively, Boston has been one of the best in the league: 4th in runs per game at 4.94, 2nd in batting average at .261, 3rd in OPS at .767, and 5th in home runs with 157. This definitely gives them an edge over Houston, who is only 12th in runs per game, which hardly suggests they will have an easy time in keeping up with Boston's scoring.
Nick Pivetta, who has a record of 5-8, does bring value with his solid WHIP of 1.13 and a respectable 4.41 ERA. Along with that, he has prevented base runners well and struck out 123 in 100.1 IP, so his potential to do so is huge against this Houston lineup who has shown the tendency to strike out. On the other side, Ronel Blanco has been dependable overall but has fallen off recently with a 2.13 WHIP and 7.61 ERA over his last three starts. Given Blanco's present form, Boston's powerful lineup will be well-positioned to exploit it and secure an early lead.
A slight concern remains in Boston's bullpen—3.62 ERA this season—that has recently lost some steam, posting a 7.61 ERA over the past three games. If Pivetta can go deep into the game, that really should mitigate the recent struggles of the bullpen to a degree.
Additionally, the recent win by Boston in the series, 5-4, shows their capability to perform in clutch situations and on the road, where they have an impressive record of 36-27. This resilience is critical considering the Red Sox are pitching against a Houston team with quite a solid, though not unbeatable, home record of 35-27. Add in umpire Nate Tomlinson's history of favoring away teams, 13-8, and the situation really begins to set up in Boston's favor for what should be a closely contested game. Boston certainly has enough firepower offensively—with Rafael Devers anchoring it, hitting .297 on the year and slugging 27 home runs—to at least challenge Blanco and turn his mistakes into hay.
Mark Franco
94d ago
Last 30d: 5-3-0 (+1.8u)
HOU -115
1.15u
JB Bets
94d ago
Last 30d: 57-52-0 (+7.9u)
HOU -110
1u
Sir Lockselot
94d ago
Last 30d: 34-93-0 (-60.1u)
R.Blanco u5.5 Ks+125
2u
This is powered by BetAlytics MLB pitcher prop dashboard
🔑 Ronel Blanco u5.5Ks +125 (DraftKings) 2u
A- grade, 8.56% edge on the market, and an expected win probability of 53%. 70% hit rate his L10 starts. He was experiencing some finger issues after being hit by a come backer last game too, could be a factor here. Best value for this that I found is on DK. Always line shop! BOL if you tail or fade 🤝
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Firefighter Bets
94d ago
Last 30d: 54-64-0 (-14.6u)
M.Yoshida o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105
1u
BJ Cunningham
95d ago
Last 30d: 35-32-5 (+0.4u)
BOS +110 (F5)
1u
Boomer Betz
95d ago
Last 30d: 159-156-3 (+37.2u)
BOS +112
1.12u
PRO Insights
Astros
HOU Insights
- Featured InsightThe Astros are batting .260 versus relief pitchers since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .259 (1,127-for-4,355) against Red Sox RPs since last season -- third worst in MLB.
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Red Sox vs. Astros Previews & Analysis
Red Sox vs. Astros Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Red Sox vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Astros vs. Red Sox Injury Updates
Astros Injuries
- Lance McCullersP
McCullers is out with arm
Out
- Cristian JavierP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
- Luis GarciaP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Red Sox Injuries
- Lucas GiolitoP
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Garrett WhitlockP
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
- David HamiltonIF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out
Red Sox vs. Astros Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN.Pivetta, P | 84 | 5 | 2 | 5 | |
RG.Weissert, P | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RZ.Kelly, P | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RL.Garcia, P | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RK.Jansen, P | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Duran, CF | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
2W.Abreu, RF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
2R.Refsnyder, PH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2R.Refsnyder, LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Casas, 1B | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
4R.Devers, 3B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5T.O'Neill, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5T.O'Neill, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6M.Yoshida, DH | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7D.Jansen, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8D.Hamilton, 2B | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9C.Rafaela, SS | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RR.Blanco, P | 84 | 3.2 | 6 | 5 | |
LB.King, P | 24 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
LC.Ferguson, P | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RK.Ort, P | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
RS.Dubin, P | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Altuve, 2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2Y.Alvarez, DH | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3Y.Diaz, C | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4J.Pena, SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5J.Singleton, 1B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
6M.Dubon, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7J.Meyers, CF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8S.Whitcomb, 3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C.McCormick, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
9V.Caratini, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox vs. Astros Odds Comparison
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Red Sox at Astros Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Red Sox 0-0 | o4.5+105 | u4.5-135 |
Astros 0-2 | o3.5-145 | u3.5+114 |