Red Sox vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024

Red Sox at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN
6 - 5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Ronel Blanco logoR.BlancoHouston Astros logo2.8013-6
Nick Pivetta logoN.PivettaBoston Red Sox logo4.146-12

Red Sox at Astros Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
40-43
-1.5
-1.5+150
o8.5-115
-108
Astros
49-33
u8
+1.5-178
u8.5-105
-110
location pinWednesday 12:10 a.m.
August 21, 2024
Daikin ParkHouston
Red Sox vs. Astros Expert Picks
Under 8.5+105
1u
good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 326-225-18,59% (ROI:14%) Season:26-17-2,60% (ROI:16%)
HOU -105
1u
home teams on hot days Overall: 660-533-0,55% (ROI:11%) Season:30-31-0,49% (ROI:-3%)
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 53-61-1 (-13.9u)
Over 8.5+100
1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 85-79-2 (+4.9u)
BOS +100
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Offensively, Boston has been one of the best in the league: 4th in runs per game at 4.94, 2nd in batting average at .261, 3rd in OPS at .767, and 5th in home runs with 157. This definitely gives them an edge over Houston, who is only 12th in runs per game, which hardly suggests they will have an easy time in keeping up with Boston's scoring. Nick Pivetta, who has a record of 5-8, does bring value with his solid WHIP of 1.13 and a respectable 4.41 ERA. Along with that, he has prevented base runners well and struck out 123 in 100.1 IP, so his potential to do so is huge against this Houston lineup who has shown the tendency to strike out. On the other side, Ronel Blanco has been dependable overall but has fallen off recently with a 2.13 WHIP and 7.61 ERA over his last three starts. Given Blanco's present form, Boston's powerful lineup will be well-positioned to exploit it and secure an early lead. A slight concern remains in Boston's bullpen—3.62 ERA this season—that has recently lost some steam, posting a 7.61 ERA over the past three games. If Pivetta can go deep into the game, that really should mitigate the recent struggles of the bullpen to a degree. Additionally, the recent win by Boston in the series, 5-4, shows their capability to perform in clutch situations and on the road, where they have an impressive record of 36-27. This resilience is critical considering the Red Sox are pitching against a Houston team with quite a solid, though not unbeatable, home record of 35-27. Add in umpire Nate Tomlinson's history of favoring away teams, 13-8, and the situation really begins to set up in Boston's favor for what should be a closely contested game. Boston certainly has enough firepower offensively—with Rafael Devers anchoring it, hitting .297 on the year and slugging 27 home runs—to at least challenge Blanco and turn his mistakes into hay.
Mark  Franco
Mark Franco
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU -115
1.15u
JB Bets
JB Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU -110
1u
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 32-57-0 (-0.5u)
R.Blanco u5.5 Ks+125
2u
This is powered by BetAlytics MLB pitcher prop dashboard 🔑 Ronel Blanco u5.5Ks +125 (DraftKings) 2u A- grade, 8.56% edge on the market, and an expected win probability of 53%. 70% hit rate his L10 starts. He was experiencing some finger issues after being hit by a come backer last game too, could be a factor here. Best value for this that I found is on DK. Always line shop! BOL if you tail or fade 🤝 Join 👉🔗 BetAlytics.com Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 41-64-0 (-22.3u)
M.Yoshida o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105
1u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 245-261-4 (-9.8u)
BOS +112
1.12u

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    Red Sox vs. Astros Notes

    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Red Sox vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages

    Away Logo

    Red Sox

    Public

    22%

    Bets%

    78%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Astros
    43-3924-2019-1926-3217-6
    Red Sox
    41-4219-2122-2123-2818-13

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Astros
    33-46-317-2716-19-327-30-15-16-2
    Red Sox
    38-44-116-23-122-2122-28-116-15

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Astros
    49-3331-1318-2036-2213-10
    Red Sox
    40-4322-1818-2526-2514-17

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Aug 20thBOSW 5-4-1.5 LO 8HOU -148
    Aug 18thCWSW 2-0-1.5 WU 8HOU -372
    Aug 17thCWSW 6-1-1.5 WU 8.5HOU -377
    Aug 17thCWSL 4-5-1.5 LO 7.5CWS -270
    Aug 14th@TBW 2-1-1.5 LU 7.5HOU -125

    Astros vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

    Astros Injuries

    • Cristian Javier
      SP

      Javier is out with elbow

      Out

    • Luis Garcia
      SP

      Garcia is out with elbow

      Out

    • Pedro Leon
      RF

      Leon is out with knee

      Out

    • J.P. France
      SP

      France is out with shoulder

      Out

    • Hayden Wesneski
      RP

      Wesneski is out with elbow

      Out

    • Spencer Arrighetti
      SP

      Arrighetti is out with thumb

      Out

    Red Sox Injuries

    • Tanner Houck
      SP

      Houck is out with arm

      Out

    • Patrick Sandoval
      SP

      Sandoval is out with elbow

      Out

    • Kutter Crawford
      SP

      Crawford is out with knee

      Out

    • Masataka Yoshida
      LF

      Yoshida is out with shoulder

      Out

    Red Sox vs. Astros Box Score
    Red Sox Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Nick Pivetta logoRN.Pivetta, P84525
    Greg Weissert logoRG.Weissert, P9110
    Zack Kelly logoRZ.Kelly, P8100
    Luis Garcia logoRL.Garcia, P9110
    Kenley Jansen logoRK.Jansen, P12100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Jarren Duran logo1J.Duran, CF4-4312
    Wilyer Abreu logo2W.Abreu, RF1-2101
    Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, PH0-2000
    Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, LF0-2000
    Triston Casas logo3T.Casas, 1B2-3113
    Rafael Devers logo4R.Devers, 3B1-5000
    Tyler O'Neill logo5T.O'Neill, LF0-4000
    Tyler O'Neill logo5T.O'Neill, RF0-4000
    Masataka Yoshida logo6M.Yoshida, DH0-5000
    Danny Jansen logo7D.Jansen, C0-3000
    David Hamilton logo8D.Hamilton, 2B0-4100
    Ceddanne Rafaela logo9C.Rafaela, SS1-4000
    Astros Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Ronel Blanco logoRR.Blanco, P843.265
    Bryan King logoLB.King, P241.110
    Caleb Ferguson logoLC.Ferguson, P23110
    Kaleb Ort logoRK.Ort, P25221
    Shawn Dubin logoRS.Dubin, P26100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B1-4100
    Yordan Alvarez logo2Y.Alvarez, DH0-3100
    Yainer Diaz logo3Y.Diaz, C2-4111
    Jeremy Pena logo4J.Pena, SS1-3001
    Jon Singleton logo5J.Singleton, 1B1-4112
    Mauricio Dubon logo6M.Dubon, LF0-4000
    Jake Meyers logo7J.Meyers, CF1-3100
    Shay Whitcomb logo8S.Whitcomb, 3B1-3000
    Chas McCormick logo9C.McCormick, RF0-2001
    Victor Caratini logo9V.Caratini, PH0-1000

    Red Sox vs. Astros Odds Comparison

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    Red Sox at Astros Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Red Sox
    40-43
    o4.5+105
    u4.5-135
    Astros
    49-33
    o3.5-145
    u3.5+114