Red Sox vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024

Red Sox at Astros

6:10 pm • MLB Network
4 - 1
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Justin Verlander logoJ.VerlanderHouston Astros logo5.485-6
Cooper Criswell logoC.CriswellBoston Red Sox logo4.086-5

Red Sox at Astros Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
0-0
+1.5-180
o8.5-115
+116
Astros
0-2
-1.5+150
u8.5-105
-136
location pinWednesday 6:10 p.m.
August 21, 2024
Minute Maid ParkHouston
Red Sox vs. Astros Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
83d ago
Last 30d: 58-61-1 (-7.7u)
Over 8.5 (Live)-120
1.2u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
83d ago
Last 30d: 82-114-3 (-39.0u)
Over 8.5-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Both teams have an offense that really produces runs on a day-to-day basis. The Boston Red Sox come in averaging 4.95 runs per game, which is fourth in the league, while Houston sits at 4.6 runs per game, 12th in the league. These foul outputs are supported by strong yet not overpowering OPS metrics, with Boston at .768 and Houston at .740. These types of numbers reflect consistent offensive pressure that would, fairly easily in fact, translate to runs against the starting pitchers in this game. Red Sox starter Cooper Criswell has an ERA of 4.56 so far this year and a WHIP of 1.36. While he has been better in his last three outings, a 3.71 ERA in those games is still vulnerable. That figure becomes more concerning when considering a tendency to put on baserunners, making him susceptible to allowing runs. On the other side, while the Astros' pitching staff has a respectable overall ERA of 3.82, their bullpen has seen some cracks recently. Through the last three games, Houston relievers have a rather high ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.65; this may be the key factor that ultimately pushes this game over the total. Both bullpens have been flat-out disappointing in their recent performances. The Red Sox bullpen has pitched to a 5.06 ERA and 1.65 WHIP over the past three games, clearly showing that perhaps there may be some tiredness built up that could open the door for more offense. Houston's bullpen—while solid season-long overall—has also faltered of late, turning in the same WHIP in its last three appearances at 1.65 and allowing 35 home runs in 338 innings thus far this year. The case for the Over becomes even more viable when considering recent history between these teams. In their last game, they combined for 11 runs, showing that both lineups can get the better of opposing pitchers. These PRCs, with a .259 batting average and .328 OBP from the Red Sox atop it, give evidence to a team able to manufacture runs quite consistently—?.9. The Astros, with a pretty much identical .258 batting average and .323 OBP, actually average 1.2 home runs per game, trying to score almost comparably.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
83d ago
Last 30d: 211-223-1 (-0.6u)
HOU -135
1u
home teams on hot days Overall: 660-534-0,55% (ROI:11%) Season:30-32-0,48% (ROI:-5%)
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
83d ago
Last 30d: 50-46-4 (+6.5u)
BOS +130
3.9u
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
83d ago
Last 30d: 52-51-8 (-3.1u)
BOS +125 (F5)
1.25u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
83d ago
Last 30d: 54-76-3 (-8.6u)
BOS +133
0.67u
Bet to +125
BOS +135 (F5)
0.34u
Small to +125

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Red Sox vs. Astros Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages

20%

Bets%

80%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
81-8040-4141-3956-6023-19
Red Sox
75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Astros
65-91-537-41-328-50-245-66-518-24
Red Sox
79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
88-7346-3542-3866-5020-22
Red Sox
81-8138-4343-3842-3738-43

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 21stBOSL 5-6+1.5 WO 8.5BOS -110
Aug 20thBOSW 5-4-1.5 LO 8HOU -148
Aug 18thCWSW 2-0-1.5 WU 8HOU -372
Aug 17thCWSW 6-1-1.5 WU 8.5HOU -377
Aug 17thCWSL 4-5-1.5 LO 7.5CWS -270

Astros vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Astros Injuries

  • Lance McCullers
    P

    McCullers is out with arm

    Out

  • Cristian Javier
    P

    Javier is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luis Garcia
    P

    Garcia is out with elbow

    Out

Red Sox Injuries

  • Lucas Giolito
    P

    Giolito is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Garrett Whitlock
    P

    Whitlock is out with oblique

    Out

  • David Hamilton
    IF

    Hamilton is out with finger

    Out

Red Sox vs. Astros Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Cooper Criswell logoRC.Criswell, P804.241
Zack Kelly logoRZ.Kelly, P50.100
Josh Winckowski logoRJ.Winckowski, P12100
Greg Weissert logoRG.Weissert, P180.210
Brennan Bernardino logoLB.Bernardino, P30.110
Luis Garcia logoRL.Garcia, P10120
Chris Martin logoRC.Martin, P16110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jarren Duran logo1J.Duran, CF1-2100
Wilyer Abreu logo2W.Abreu, RF0-4000
Triston Casas logo3T.Casas, 1B1-3001
Rafael Devers logo4R.Devers, 3B0-4000
Rob Refsnyder logo5R.Refsnyder, LF0-4000
Masataka Yoshida logo6M.Yoshida, DH2-4100
Connor Wong logo7C.Wong, C0-4100
David Hamilton logo8D.Hamilton, 2B1-4111
Ceddanne Rafaela logo9C.Rafaela, SS2-4002
Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Justin Verlander logoRJ.Verlander, P76562
Bryan King logoLB.King, P18130
Tayler Scott logoRT.Scott, P34211
Seth Martinez logoRS.Martinez, P18101
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Alex Bregman logo1A.Bregman, DH1-4111
Yordan Alvarez logo2Y.Alvarez, LF1-4000
Yainer Diaz logo3Y.Diaz, 1B2-3000
Jeremy Pena logo4J.Pena, SS0-4000
Victor Caratini logo5V.Caratini, C0-4000
Jake Meyers logo6J.Meyers, CF1-4000
Mauricio Dubon logo7M.Dubon, 2B2-4000
Shay Whitcomb logo8S.Whitcomb, 3B0-2000
Jon Singleton logo8J.Singleton, PH0-1000
Zach Dezenzo logo8Z.Dezenzo, 3B1-1000
Chas McCormick logo9C.McCormick, RF0-2000
Trey Cabbage logo9T.Cabbage, PH0-1000
Trey Cabbage logo9T.Cabbage, RF0-1000

Red Sox vs. Astros Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Astros Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
0-0
o3.5-140
u3.5+110
Astros
0-2
o4.5+104
u4.5-132