Red Sox vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024
Red Sox at Astros
6:10 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
J.Verlander | 5.48 | 5-6 | ||
C.Criswell | 4.08 | 6-5 |
Red Sox at Astros Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox 0-0 | +1.5-180 | o8.5-115 | +116 | |
Astros 0-2 | -1.5+150 | u8.5-105 | -136 |
Wednesday 6:10 p.m.
August 21, 2024Minute Maid ParkHouston
Red Sox vs. Astros Expert Picks
The Degenerates
83d ago
Last 30d: 58-61-1 (-7.7u)
Over 8.5 (Live)-120
1.2u
Picks Office
83d ago
Last 30d: 82-114-3 (-39.0u)
Over 8.5-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Both teams have an offense that really produces runs on a day-to-day basis. The Boston Red Sox come in averaging 4.95 runs per game, which is fourth in the league, while Houston sits at 4.6 runs per game, 12th in the league. These foul outputs are supported by strong yet not overpowering OPS metrics, with Boston at .768 and Houston at .740. These types of numbers reflect consistent offensive pressure that would, fairly easily in fact, translate to runs against the starting pitchers in this game.
Red Sox starter Cooper Criswell has an ERA of 4.56 so far this year and a WHIP of 1.36. While he has been better in his last three outings, a 3.71 ERA in those games is still vulnerable. That figure becomes more concerning when considering a tendency to put on baserunners, making him susceptible to allowing runs. On the other side, while the Astros' pitching staff has a respectable overall ERA of 3.82, their bullpen has seen some cracks recently.
Through the last three games, Houston relievers have a rather high ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.65; this may be the key factor that ultimately pushes this game over the total.
Both bullpens have been flat-out disappointing in their recent performances. The Red Sox bullpen has pitched to a 5.06 ERA and 1.65 WHIP over the past three games, clearly showing that perhaps there may be some tiredness built up that could open the door for more offense. Houston's bullpen—while solid season-long overall—has also faltered of late, turning in the same WHIP in its last three appearances at 1.65 and allowing 35 home runs in 338 innings thus far this year. The case for the Over becomes even more viable when considering recent history between these teams. In their last game, they combined for 11 runs, showing that both lineups can get the better of opposing pitchers. These PRCs, with a .259 batting average and .328 OBP from the Red Sox atop it, give evidence to a team able to manufacture runs quite consistently—?.9. The Astros, with a pretty much identical .258 batting average and .323 OBP, actually average 1.2 home runs per game, trying to score almost comparably.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
83d ago
Last 30d: 211-223-1 (-0.6u)
HOU -135
1u
home teams on hot days
Overall: 660-534-0,55% (ROI:11%)
Season:30-32-0,48% (ROI:-5%)
Brian Bitler
83d ago
Last 30d: 50-46-4 (+6.5u)
BOS +130
3.9u
BJ Cunningham
83d ago
Last 30d: 52-51-8 (-3.1u)
BOS +125 (F5)
1.25u
Sean Zerillo
83d ago
Last 30d: 54-76-3 (-8.6u)
BOS +133
0.67u
Bet to +125
BOS +135 (F5)
0.34u
Small to +125
Red Sox vs. Astros Previews & Analysis
Red Sox vs. Astros Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Red Sox vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Astros vs. Red Sox Injury Updates
Astros Injuries
- Lance McCullersP
McCullers is out with arm
Out
- Cristian JavierP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
- Luis GarciaP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Red Sox Injuries
- Lucas GiolitoP
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Garrett WhitlockP
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
- David HamiltonIF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out
Red Sox vs. Astros Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RC.Criswell, P | 80 | 4.2 | 4 | 1 | |
RZ.Kelly, P | 5 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
RJ.Winckowski, P | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RG.Weissert, P | 18 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
LB.Bernardino, P | 3 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
RL.Garcia, P | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
RC.Martin, P | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Duran, CF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2W.Abreu, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Casas, 1B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
4R.Devers, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5R.Refsnyder, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6M.Yoshida, DH | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7C.Wong, C | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8D.Hamilton, 2B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
9C.Rafaela, SS | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Astros Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RJ.Verlander, P | 76 | 5 | 6 | 2 | |
LB.King, P | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
RT.Scott, P | 34 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
RS.Martinez, P | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1A.Bregman, DH | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
2Y.Alvarez, LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3Y.Diaz, 1B | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4J.Pena, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5V.Caratini, C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Meyers, CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7M.Dubon, 2B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8S.Whitcomb, 3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Singleton, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8Z.Dezenzo, 3B | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C.McCormick, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9T.Cabbage, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9T.Cabbage, RF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox vs. Astros Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Red Sox at Astros Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Red Sox 0-0 | o3.5-140 | u3.5+110 |
Astros 0-2 | o4.5+104 | u4.5-132 |