Cubs vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Cubs at Royals

11:10 pm • BSKC

Chicago Cubs

49-34

9 - 4

Kansas City Royals

39-44

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.01	16-9
S.Imanaga			2.91	15-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 49-34	+1.5-187	o8-115	+114
Royals 39-44	-1.5+156	u8-105	-135

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 8-108

1.08u

Over 8-106

0.94u

Over 8-105

0.48u

Flat to -117

S.Imanaga u2.5 Earned Runs-120

CHC +102

3.06u

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

0.83u

CHC +100

BP4

Featured Insight
Cubs right-handed hitters have struck out just 10% against LHP over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 16% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's Saturday MLB Bets
Brad Cunningham•
Jul 27, 2024 UTC

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The Royals are 34-24 (.586) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an OPS of .880 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Jorge Lopez has allowed an OPS of .817 (417 PAs) since last season -- 11th worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

Dansby Swanson is slugging just .346 this season -- 13th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Brady Singer has allowed a SLG of just .256 vs right-handed batters this season -- second best among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (30/162) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- eighth Percentile.

Seth Lugo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .233 (17 Total Bases / 73 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 -- 92nd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 24-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Royals' 43 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	44-39	20-23	24-16	13-19	30-20
Cubs	42-41	19-21	23-20	31-26	11-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	32-50-1	16-27	16-23-1	14-18	18-31-1
Cubs	43-35-5	21-17-2	22-18-3	28-26-3	15-9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	39-44	20-23	19-21	15-17	23-27
Cubs	49-34	25-15	24-19	39-18	10-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 27th	CHC	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -155
Jul 25th	ARI	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 9	ARI -125
Jul 24th	ARI	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 9	ARI -111
Jul 23rd	ARI	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	KC -155
Jul 21st	CWS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	KC -230

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Justin Steele
P
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Imanaga, P	87	5.2	3	3
RJ.Merryweather, P	22	1	0	1
RH.Neris, P	17	1	0	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	22	1	0	1
RP.Hodge, P	12	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-5	0	0	1
2M.Busch, 1B	0-4	1	0	1
3S.Suzuki, RF	2-4	1	1	2
4I.Happ, LF	0-5	0	0	0
5C.Morel, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
6M.Tauchman, DH	2-4	2	0	0
6M.Tauchman, CF	2-4	2	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	1-3	2	0	0
8M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-2	1	0	0
9P.Wisdom, PH	1-1	1	1	4
9D.Bote, PH	1-1	0	0	1
9D.Bote, 3B	1-1	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	90	6.1	2	6
LS.Long, P	12	0.2	1	1
LK.Bubic, P	35	1.2	2	2
RC.Stratton, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
1M.Garcia, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	0	1
3V.Pasquantino, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Perez, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5F.Fermin, C	1-3	1	0	0
6H.Renfroe, RF	3-4	1	1	3
7G.Hampson, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8N.Loftin, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8N.Loftin, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9D.Blanco, LF	1-2	0	0	0
9M.Massey, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Massey, 2B	0-1	0	0	0