Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2024

Diamondbacks at Royals

12:10 am • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

38-36

8 - 6

Kansas City Royals

31-45

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Wacha			3.35	13-8
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 38-36	+1.5-189	o9+101	+100
Royals 31-45	-1.5+160	u9-118	-125

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

July 25, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

M.Wacha o4.5 Ks+120

KC -125

Under 9-105

0.5u

Flat at -105 or better

R.Nelson u3.5 Ks-125

0.4u

ARI +115

0.58u

Bet to +106

ARI +110 (F5)

0.25u

Small to +105

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Royals right-handed hitters have struck out just 6% against LHP over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks RPs have a strikeout rate of just 15% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Diamondbacks are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Vinnie Pasquantino has struck out in just 13% of PA's this season -- eighth lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 16% vs left-handed batters this season -- seventh lowest among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP-- eighth Percentile.

Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .301 since last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .296 (143-for-483) against Ryne Nelson since last season -- tied for seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP-- sixth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 14-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Royals' 39 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	32-44	18-21	14-23	14-21	17-23
Diamondbacks	42-32	22-16	20-16	17-17	24-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	35-40-1	19-19-1	16-21	21-14	14-25-1
Diamondbacks	31-40-3	14-23-1	17-17-2	11-22-1	19-18-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	31-45	18-21	13-24	16-19	14-26
Diamondbacks	38-36	23-15	15-21	21-13	16-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	ARI	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 9	ARI -111
Jul 23rd	ARI	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	KC -155
Jul 21st	CWS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	KC -230
Jul 20th	CWS	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	KC -238
Jul 20th	CWS	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -232

Corbin Burnes
P
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
P
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
IF
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
P
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	90	6	2	4
RJ.Martinez, P	14	1	1	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	17	1	1	0
RP.Sewald, P	22	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	1	1	3
3J.Pederson, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4C.Walker, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
5J.McCarthy, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.McCarthy, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
7A.Thomas, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7L.Gurriel, PH	1-2	1	0	0
7L.Gurriel, LF	1-2	1	0	0
8G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	0-1	0	0	0
9G.Moreno, PH	1-2	1	0	2
9G.Moreno, C	1-2	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Wacha, P	81	4.2	1	3
LA.Zerpa, P	17	1.1	0	0
LS.Long, P	13	1	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	19	1	0	0
RJ.McArthur, P	26	1	1	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Frazier, LF	0-4	0	0
1G.Hampson, LF	0-1	0	0
1G.Hampson, 2B	0-1	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	3-4	1	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	3-4	0	2
4S.Perez, C	1-5	0	0
5M.Massey, 2B	1-3	1	0
5N.Loftin, PH	0-1	0	0
5H.Renfroe, RF	0-0	0	0
6F.Fermin, DH	1-4	1	0
7D.Waters, RF	1-2	0	1
7D.Waters, LF	1-2	0	1
8M.Garcia, 3B	1-4	2	1
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	1