Cubs vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2023

Cubs at Nationals

5:05 pm • MASN

Chicago Cubs

7-8

3 - 4

Washington Nationals

7-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Corbin			5.20	10-15
J.Taillon			4.84	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 7-8	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nationals 7-8	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 5:05 p.m.

May 04, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

CHC o4.5-115

1.15u

Under 9 (Live)-110

0.75u

P.Corbin u4.5 Ks-141

WSH +1.5-110

CHC o4.5-118

1.18u

Corbin best estimator 4.62 xFIP - CHC 124 wRC Rd/131 v LHP - WAS Def -2 Runs Prevented - WAS pen 4th worst estimators MLB L30 days & Fangraphs Bullpen Report notes the top half of the pen has been taxed and potentially unavailable today.

WSH +1.5-103

0.5u

D.Swanson o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.00

Under 8.5-110

0.91u

CHC -170 (F5)

0.85u

Bet to -180 Hi Patrick.

Under 8.5-110

CHC o5.5+115

0.5u

CHC o3.5-238

1.5u

CHC o4.5-137

CHC o3.5 (F5)+156

0.5u

CHC o1.5 (F5)-239

1.5u

CHC o2.5 (F5)-105

CHC -3.5 (F5)+360

0.15u

CHC -0.5 (F5)-140

CHC -178 (F5)

0.8u

Hammer spot. Nationals bad vs righties and Taillon is very solid under the hood. Corbin is Corbin and the Cubs have been mauling lefties

CHC -1.5-128

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The Nationals are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Cubs are just 34-33 (.507) when favorites since last season -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .604.

Patrick Wisdom is slugging .624 this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Patrick Corbin has allowed a SLG of .543 vs right-handed batters this season -- seventh worst among qualified SPs-- seventh Percentile.

Patrick Wisdom slugged .600 over the last 30 days -- 15th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Patrick Corbin allowed a SLG of .558 vs right-handed batters over the last 30 days -- fifth worst among qualified SPs-- fifth Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 436 right-handed batters (2%) since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has thrown his slider 31% of the time (665/2,125) in non-two strike counts since last season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% -- 87th Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 5% (2 SO in 43 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- first Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 14% (21 SO in 146 PAs) this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- third Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 8-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Nationals' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	9-6	1-5	8-1	0-1	9-5
Cubs	5-10	3-6	2-4	3-8	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	11-4	5-1	6-3	1-0	10-4
Cubs	8-7	5-4	3-3	6-5	2-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	7-8	1-5	6-3	0-1	7-7
Cubs	7-8	4-5	3-3	5-6	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	CHC	W 2-1	-	-	-
May 2nd	CHC	W 4-1	-	-	-
May 1st	CHC	L 1-5	-	-	-
Apr 30th	PIT	W 7-2	-	-	-
Apr 29th	PIT	L 1-16	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	42	3	4	3
RJ.Assad, P	50	5	1	0
RB. Boxberger, P	1	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	0	1
2D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0
4S.Suzuki, DH	1-4	0	0
5C.Bellinger, CF	2-4	1	0
6P.Wisdom, 3B	1-4	1	0
7T.Mancini, 1B	1-4	1	1
8N.Velazquez, RF	0-3	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-2	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	80	7	6	2
RH.Harvey, P	20	1	1	1
RK.Finnegan, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Call, CF	1-4	1	1	1
1A.Call, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2L.Garcia, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	1-3	1	0	0
5D.Smith, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
6L.Thomas, RF	1-3	1	1	3
7C.Abrams, SS	1-3	0	0	0
8S.Garrett, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8V.Robles, CF	0-0	0	0	0
9R.Adams, C	0-3	0	0	0