Pirates vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2023

Pirates at Nationals

5:35 pm • MASN

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

2 - 7

Washington Nationals

30-29

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Gray			3.91	8-13
J.Oviedo			4.31	9-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nationals 30-29	N/A	N/A	N/A

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

April 30, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 8+100

0.5u

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

WSH +120

1.32u

WSH +1.5-140

Under 4.5 (F5)-118

0.89u

Bet to -125. Rivers has -113 I bumped this up to .75u. No particular justification on edge (3.5% where I bet it) but I like the way both pitchers are trending Favorite bet for Sunday aside from Baltimore

The Nationals are just 2-11 (.154) at home this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.

The Pirates are 7-6 (.538) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .261.

The Pirates are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.

Bryan Reynolds is slugging .800 on breaking pitches this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Josiah Gray has thrown a breaking pitch 61% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Bryan Reynolds is slugging .698 on non-fastballs this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Josiah Gray has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time this season -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (10/80) against Josiah Gray this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (49/89) against Johan Oviedo this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 88th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 24-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Nationals' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	37-22	13-15	24-7	1-2	36-20
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	37-19-3	19-7-2	18-12-1	3-0	34-19-3
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	30-29	11-17	19-12	1-2	29-27
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	PIT	L 1-16	-	-	-
Apr 29th	PIT	L 3-6	-	-	-
Apr 27th	@NYM	L 8-9	-	-	-
Apr 26th	@NYM	W 4-1	-	-	-
Apr 25th	@NYM	W 5-0	-	-	-

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	64	2.1	1	7
RD.Moreta, P	30	1.2	1	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	25	2	2	0
RY.Ramirez, P	19	1	1	0
RD. Underwood, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	2-4	0	1
3M.Andujar, RF	0-3	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-2	0	0
5J.Suwinski, CF	0-4	0	0
6C.Joe, LF	1-4	1	0
7T.Marcano, SS	2-4	0	1
8J.Bae, 2B	1-4	1	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0
9A.McCutchen, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	105	6	6	1
RA. Machado, P	29	2	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	22	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Call, LF	1-5	0	0
2L.Garcia, 2B	1-5	1	2
3K.Ruiz, C	2-4	1	0
4J.Meneses, DH	4-5	1	1
5J.Candelario, 3B	2-3	0	2
6D.Smith, 1B	1-5	1	0
7L.Thomas, RF	1-3	1	0
8C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	0
9V.Robles, CF	2-4	1	2