Braves vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 9, 2025
Braves at Pirates
10:40 pm • FDSSOStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 11.25 | 0-2 | |
 |  | 5.30 | 8-11 |
Braves at Pirates Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Braves 39-19 | -1.5 | -1.5+112 | o8.5-120 | -148 |
Pirates 30-28 | u8.5 | +1.5-132 | u8.5-102 | +126 |
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Braves vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 17-18-1 (-1.4u)
B.Elder u2.5 Earned Runs-130
0.65u
Pirates implied for just 4 runs and missing Pham/Triolo from lineup. Taking a shot at this given the lineup.
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 33-21-1 (+4.1u)
ATL -148
0.25u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 47-48-2 (-2.4u)
ATL -148
1u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 134-135-10 (-9.3u)
PIT +1.5-130
0.77u
Braves flailing on the road – 6-15 last 21 away, avg just 3.77 runs/game. Pirates stronger at PNC – allow only 3.47. ATL road ERA 4.69 vs PIT home ERA 4.50. Over is 7-1 in last 8 in Pittsburgh – home bats show up. Pirates offense quietly heating.
Bryce Elder a problem – 42.3% HardHit%, .341 xWOBA, just 15.9 K%. Pirates hitters match up well: Cruz 60.5% HardHit%, .411 xWOBA. Reynolds 46.2%, Hayes 48.6%, McCutchen .376 xWOBA. Elder walks too many (8.7 BB%) – contact + traffic = trouble.
Braves bullpen untrustworthy – Iglesias 5.40 ERA, Minter 4.15 ERA with ugly 1.96 WHIP. Pirates can capitalize late.
The Pick Don
Last 30d: 8-7-1 (+2.7u)
PIT +0.5 (F5)-125
1u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 66-75-5 (+2.6u)
Under 4.5 (F5)+100
1u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 29-110-5 (+12.2u)
O.Cruz o0.5 HR+460
0.5u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 332-368-15 (+18.8u)
O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+110
$1.00
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 93-70-0 (+110.0u)
PIT +1.5-130
2.31u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 75-87-2 (-10.3u)
PIT +125
1.25u
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 57-60-6 (-3.1u)
Under 8.5-105
1u
Temps in mid 50s - Neither pitcher a non-FIP estimator reaching 4.5 - PIT 81/78/55 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, ATL 85/71/73 - two good defenses & respectable bullpens
Braves vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Braves vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Pirates vs. Braves Injury Updates
Pirates Injuries
Braves Injuries
- Joey WentzRP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
- Spencer SchwellenbachSP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
- AJ Smith-ShawverSP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
- Hurston WaldrepSP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out
Braves vs. Pirates Box Score
Braves Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 99 | 6 | 8 | 3 | |
 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 89 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 11 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 5 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Braves vs. Pirates Odds Comparison
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Braves at Pirates Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Braves 39-19 | N/A | N/A |
Pirates 30-28 | N/A | N/A |