Padres vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2025

Padres at Pirates

8:05 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

21-11

2 - 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

12-22

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			5.06	1-3
R.Vasquez			3.90	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 21-11	-1.5	PK+118	o9.5-110	+103
Pirates 12-22	u8.5	PK-103	u9.5-108	-120

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 03, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

M.Machado o0.5 HR (Live)+600

1.2u

Day 2

SD +102

2.04u

LFG🔥🔥🔥

Over 9-121

PIT -119

PIT -120

1.2u

PIT -120

PIT -108

1.08u

B.Falter u3.5 Ks-135

1.35u

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks-145

0.69u

Vasquez has only fanned 10 batters through 27.1 innings so far this season, good for a 8.2% strikeout rate. Projections have him closer to 3.2 strikeouts over 5 innings here as this profiles as a neutral matchup against the Pirates, who have a 22.2% strikeout rate against RHP this season (15th in the MLB). Vasquez has just a 5.4% swinging strike rate too, nearly two points below his career average. He’s just missing fewer bats this season.

R.Vasquez u3.5 Ks-145

0.52u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 6-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Pirates' 18 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	13-21	7-11	6-10	4-9	9-12
Padres	19-13	14-4	5-9	11-6	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	15-17-2	10-7-1	5-10-1	6-7	9-10-2
Padres	13-18-1	6-11-1	7-7	7-9-1	6-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	12-22	7-11	5-11	5-8	7-14
Padres	21-11	14-4	7-7	13-4	8-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	SD	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8	SD +114
May 1st	CHC	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 8	CHC -127
Apr 30th	CHC	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +148
Apr 29th	CHC	L 0-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC +128
Apr 27th	@LAD	L 2-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +277

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
2B
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	89	5	3	1
LY.Matsui, P	7	1	0	0
RA.Jacob, P	11	1	0	0
RJ.Adam, P	11	1	0	0
RR.Suarez, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5L.Campusano, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6O.Gonzalez, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Lockridge, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Wade, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Wade, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Heyward, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	89	7	6	1
RC.Shugart, P	10	1	2	0
RD.Bednar, P	18	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	1-1	0	1
2B.Reynolds, RF	0-5	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	0	0
4J.Bart, C	0-3	0	0
5E.Valdez, 1B	1-4	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	0-3	0	0
8A.Canario, LF	1-4	1	0
9J.Triolo, SS	0-3	0	0