Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2023
Braves at Marlins
8:10 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3.63 | 10-9 | ||
![]() | 7.60 | 2-2 |
Braves at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Braves 0-0 | -1.5+152 | o8.5-120 | -105 | |
Marlins 0-0 | +1.5-185 | u8.5-102 | -115 | |

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Braves vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 101-104-0 (+5.9u)
MIA -112
1u
Anders
Last 30d: 10-18-0 (-13.5u)
MIA -110 (F5)
2.2u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA -110
1.1u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 55-54-0 (+1.6u)
MIA -107
0.4u
Derek Farnsworth
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.6u)
MIA -110
1.1u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 60-93-2 (-1.4u)
MIA -112 (F5)
0.56u
Bet to -115
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 198-179-3 (-1.0u)
MIA -120 (F5)
1.2u
Under 4.5 (F5)-113
1.2u
-102
Duck
Last 30d: 76-73-4 (-4.6u)
MIA +135
1.1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 83-63-0 (+18.4u)
ATL -140
0.5u
Fried allowed a single earned run in 11 IP v Fish in 2022. Allowed single earned run in 20 IP through 2023
Braves vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Braves vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Braves are 88-10 (.898) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Marlins are just 66-10 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Braves are 120-65 (.649) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Matchup Contrasts
Ronald Acuna is slugging 1.000 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.
Ronald Acuna is batting .591 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .576 (33 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 -- first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (9/73) against Jesus Luzardo this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Braves vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 51-30 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Braves Injuries
- Joe JimenezRP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
- Austin Riley3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
- Austin CoxRP
Cox is out with knee
Out
- Alek ManoahSP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
- AJ Smith-ShawverSP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Marlins Injuries
- Braxton GarrettSP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Kyle StowersLF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
- Max MeyerSP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season
Braves vs. Marlins Box Score
Braves Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 85 | 6 | 1 | 3 | |
![]() | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 106 | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | |
![]() | 31 | 1.1 | 4 | 0 | |
![]() | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 20 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 3 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Braves vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Braves at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Braves 0-0 | N/A | N/A |
Marlins 0-0 | N/A | N/A |

































