Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2023

Braves at Marlins

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

0-2

6 - 3

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
D.Dodd			7.60	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+152	o8.5-120	-105
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-185	u8.5-102	-115

Thursday 8:10 p.m.

May 04, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -112

J.Soler o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.5u

I was due for a hard-hit regression wise after a great April and that 3K parlay. But we’ll trudge on

MIA -105

1.05u

Over 8.5-106

MIA -110

1.1u

MIA -107

0.4u

MIA -110

1.1u

MIA -112 (F5)

0.56u

Bet to -115

MIA -120 (F5)

1.2u

Under 4.5 (F5)-113

1.2u

-102

ATL -140

0.5u

Fried allowed a single earned run in 11 IP v Fish in 2022. Allowed single earned run in 20 IP through 2023

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The Braves are 88-10 (.898) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Marlins are just 66-10 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Braves are 120-65 (.649) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

Ronald Acuna is slugging 1.000 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Ronald Acuna is batting .591 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .576 (33 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 -- first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (9/73) against Jesus Luzardo this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	ATL	L 6-14	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ATL +120
May 2nd	ATL	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 8	ATL -120
Apr 30th	CHC	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +150
Apr 29th	CHC	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9	MIA -125
Apr 28th	CHC	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +104

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Sixto Sanchez
P
Sanchez is out with shoulder
Out
Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Dodd, P	85	6	1	3
RM.Tonkin, P	11	1	0	0
RN.Anderson, P	12	1	0	0
LA.Minter, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	1	0	1
1S.Hilliard, CF	0-1	0	0	0
2M.Olson, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
4S.Murphy, C	1-4	0	0	1
5O.Albies, 2B	3-5	0	0	0
6V.Grissom, SS	0-4	0	0	1
7M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	2	1	1
8E.Rosario, LF	2-4	1	0	0
9K.Pillar, CF	1-3	0	0	1
9K.Pillar, RF	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	106	5.2	5	3
RH.Brazoban, P	31	1.1	4	0
RD.Floro, P	13	1	1	0
LA.Puk, P	20	0.2	1	2
LS.Okert, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Berti, SS	3-5	1	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	3-5	1	1	3
3L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J. Segura, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6G.Hampson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, CF	0-1	0	0	0
7N.Fortes, C	1-4	0	0	0
8B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9P.Burdick, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9P.Burdick, RF	0-2	1	0	0