Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2023

Braves at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Atlanta Braves

27-31

6 - 0

Miami Marlins

23-35

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Alcantara			4.14	7-12
B.Elder			3.81	12-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 27-31	+1.5-200	o8-110	+101
Marlins 23-35	-1.5+169	u8-110	-120

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

May 02, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -135

1.35u

ATL +126

0.63u

Bet to +123

MIA -128

1.28u

Over 4 (F5)-110

0.55u

Bet to -120

Over 7.5-110

0.55u

Bet to 8 (-106)

Over 7.5-110

0.4u

Elder and Sandy two guys I’m looking to fade. Will likely add as F5

ATL -117

Project Elder higher even after serving up his only three home runs last time out to the Fish. Both he an Alcantara produced a healthy amount of ground balls, bullpen is the difference in price

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Tuesday
Billy Ward•
May 2, 2023 UTC
Tuesday MLB Props: Buy Elder, Fade Kopech
Alex Hinton•
May 2, 2023 UTC
Braves vs. Marlins: Edge on Total in Elder vs. Alcantara
Doug Ziefel•
May 2, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 2, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Marlins are 10-6 (.625) at home this season -- tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Braves are 47-6 (.887) when they've scored in the first inning since last season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .654.

The Braves are 4-2 (.667) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Marlins are 46-5 (.902) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Ronald Acuna is batting .320 on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 100% of Sandy Alcantara fastballs are 95+ MPH since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Ronald Acuna is batting .571 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Sandy Alcantara has an average fastball velocity of 97.7 MPH this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Bryce Elder allowed a batting average of .322 vs right-handed batters (eighth worst)-- ninth Percentile and just .143 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (fourth best among qualified SPs)-- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 14-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Marlins' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	30-28	16-16	14-12	2-5	27-23
Braves	26-32	14-14	12-18	18-25	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	33-25	17-15	16-10	4-3	29-21
Braves	21-32-5	7-18-3	14-14-2	16-24-3	5-8-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	23-35	14-18	9-17	4-3	19-31
Braves	27-31	17-11	10-20	23-20	4-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	CHC	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +150
Apr 29th	CHC	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9	MIA -125
Apr 28th	CHC	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +104
Apr 27th	@ATL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA +145
Apr 26th	@ATL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8	ATL +122

Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
P
Cox is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RB.Elder, P	96	7	6
RK.Yates, P	28	1	2
RJ.Jimenez, P	12	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	0	0	1
2M.Olson, 1B	1-3	2	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
4S.Murphy, C	0-2	0	0	1
5E.Rosario, LF	1-5	0	0	1
6O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	1	1
7M.Harris, CF	1-5	1	0	0
8M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	1	0	0
9V.Grissom, SS	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	103	5	5	3
RM.Barnes, P	19	1	1	0
LS.Okert, P	12	1	2	0
RJ. Quezada, P	32	0.2	0	3
LA.Nardi, P	15	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4L.Arraez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
4X.Edwards, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Sanchez, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7J. Segura, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Berti, SS	1-2	0	0	0