Braves vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Braves at Cubs

11:40 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

0-2

3 - 4

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Assad			3.74	7-6
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+117	o11.5-115	-128
Cubs 0-0	u0.5	+1.5-138	u11.5-105	+109

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 11+100

ATL -124

2.48u

Under 11-105

M.Olson o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.58u

I guess I’ll keep doing it over and over and watch it loose again and again

R.Acuna o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.55u

Ice cold so tail at your own risk Winds blowing heavy out. Acuna has been putting in much better PAs of late and Assad is due for some negative regression (3.09 xERA, 3.94 xFIP). Should see some HRs come back to bit

Under 11-110

0.5u

Bet to 10.5 (-102)

CHC +111

1.11u

CHC +118

0.59u

Superbook. Bet to +111

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 2.3 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for second lowest in MLB (3 games). The Cubs have scored just 2.3 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (7 games).

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Braves are 17-60 (.221) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Cubs are 25-21 (.543) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Dansby Swanson is slugging just .324 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 48% of the time since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

56% of Dansby Swanson fastball strikeouts are located away since the 2022 season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 57% of Charlie Morton fastball strikeouts are located away since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .383 (157 PA's) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .740 -- 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .418 (188 PA's) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: .725 -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 39 of 338 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (186/431) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	PIT	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -130
May 18th	PIT	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -205
May 17th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -105
May 16th	PIT	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8	PIT -123
May 15th	@ATL	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +154

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	94	5	8	1
RD.Hernandez, P	20	1	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	10	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	13	1	0	0
LA.Bummer, P	20	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	1	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	1-5	1	1	1
7O.Arcia, SS	2-4	1	1	2
8Z.Short, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8L.Williams, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	102	4.2	4	2
RT.Miller, P	23	1.1	2	0
RM.Leiter, P	16	1	3	0
RH.Wesneski, P	14	1	1	0
RH.Neris, P	11	1	0	0
LL.Little, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	2-5	0	2
2S.Suzuki, RF	0-5	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	0-4	1	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-2	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	1-5	0	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	1-5	0	1
7M.Busch, 1B	0-2	2	0
7P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0
7P.Wisdom, 1B	0-1	0	0
8D.Swanson, SS	2-4	1	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-2	0	0