Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2023

Blue Jays at Astros

12:10 am • SportsNet SW

Toronto Blue Jays

15-10

1 - 8

Houston Astros

14-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Garcia			4.00	2-2
J.Berrios			3.65	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 15-10	-1.5+145	o9-105	-110
Astros 14-11	+1.5-175	u9-115	-108

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

April 20, 2023

Daikin ParkHouston

Under 9-115

1.15u

TOR -110

1.1u

TOR -107

Betrivers 5:54.

K.Tucker o0.5 RBI+130

1.3u

Lefties are crushing Berrios - .869 OPS (roughly same as last season), and he’s always been bad on the road. Tucker is 4/8 against him, and hitting .308 at home so far - he also has an RBI in 8/18 games. Hitting behind Bregman, Alvarez and Abreu - should have men on base.

HOU -104

TOR -113

1.13u

Both starters have a 7.5+ ERA on the season, but Jose Berrios’ rough start is due to terrible luck. He’s been pitching lights out with a 23% K-BB rate but has been killed by a .419 BABIP and a laughable 34% left on base rate. Great time to invest in him. Garcia’s struggles have been real this year as his fastball has lost 1.2 mph and his walk rate is up to 10% thanks mainly to getting behind in the count often (only a 50% first pitch strike rate). Continue to fade Garcia until those underlying metrics improve.

TOR -113

1.13u

Under 9-113

0.57u

Over 9+100

0.5u

Bet to -103

HOU -115

Over 8.5-115

0.5u

No idea why the under is getting steamed like this (contrarian I guess) but I’ll happily grab an 8.5 here

HOU -110

0.5u

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The Astros are 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

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MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Blue Jays	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Blue Jays	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Blue Jays	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	TOR	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 9	TOR -110
Apr 18th	TOR	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 8	HOU +100
Apr 16th	TEX	L 1-9	-1.5 L	O 8	TEX -212
Apr 15th	TEX	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 8	HOU -184
Apr 15th	TEX	L 2-6	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX -165

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out

Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	77	7	3	2
RZ.Pop, P	19	0.2	0	4
RA.Cimber, P	7	0.1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, DH	0-4	0	0
2B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	0-4	0	0
4D.Varsho, LF	1-4	0	0
5M.Chapman, 3B	0-3	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	1-3	0	0
6S.Espinal, PR	0-0	1	0
6D.Jansen, C	0-1	0	0
7W.Merrifield, 2B	2-3	0	1
8K.Kiermaier, CF	0-2	0	0
9N.Lukes, RF	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Garcia, P	92	7	9	0
RR.Montero, P	18	0	0	1
RB.Abreu, P	19	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	20	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Dubon, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Abreu, 1B	2-4	1	0	2
5K.Tucker, RF	2-4	1	0	1
6J.Pena, SS	1-3	2	1	3
7D.Hensley, LF	0-2	1	0	0
7C.Julks, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, CF	1-3	0	0	2
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0