Finding NFL Combine markets at traditional sportsbooks can be like scouting a sleeper prospect from a D-II school—they’re often buried or completely unavailable. Because the Combine is an "off-the-field" event, state regulators have varying rules on whether you can even bet on it. In states like New York or Pennsylvania, you might not see these markets at all, and even in "open" states, they aren't always front and center.
While it took a little while for the 2026 NFL Combine markets to go live this year at Kalshi, the gates are now open. As a federally regulated prediction market, Kalshi offers a different way to trade on player performance using "Yes/No" contracts that bypass many of the geographical headaches of traditional books.
Learn more about trading on NFL Combine contracts at Kalshi via this guide, and sign up with the Kalshi promo code to get started:
The Seven Core Drills: What You Can Trade On
The NFL Combine features seven primary physical drills that test the athletic foundation every NFL prospect needs. Kalshi offers contracts on the following events:
- The 40-yard dash measures pure speed and acceleration—it's the marquee event and typically generates the most prediction market volume.
- The bench press evaluates upper body strength through maximum repetitions at 225 pounds, particularly relevant for offensive and defensive linemen.
- The vertical jump measures lower-body explosiveness and leaping ability, crucial for receivers, defensive backs, and pass rushers.
- The broad jump tests horizontal power and explosion, offering another data point on lower-body strength.
- Agility drills include the 3-cone drill (also called the L-drill), which tests change-of-direction speed and hip fluidity around corners—critical for positions requiring lateral movement.
- The 20-yard shuttle (5-10-5 drill) measures lateral quickness and the ability to plant and explode in the opposite direction. The 60-yard shuttle tests both agility and conditioning over a longer distance.
Beyond these seven standardized tests, prospects perform position-specific drills: quarterbacks throw routes, defensive ends demonstrate pass-rush moves, and wide receivers run catching drills.
Players also undergo measurements (height, weight, hand size, arm length) and comprehensive medical and psychological evaluations, including cognitive testing that replaced the traditional Wonderlic exam.
See live odds here:
The "Corrected Time" Factor: Settlement vs. Sentiment
One of the unique risks of trading the Combine is the gap between the "unofficial" time you see on the NFL Network broadcast and the "official" time released hours later.
Market Volatility: Expect massive price swings the moment a player crosses the finish line. If a speedster like Jeremiyah Love clocks an unofficial 4.25, the "Yes" contracts for him having the fastest 40 will skyrocket.
The Adjustment: The NFL often "corrects" these times by a few hundredths of a second after reviewing the electronic start/stop triggers. A 4.25 could become a 4.28, or vice-versa.
Kalshi Settlement: Unlike a sportsbook that might have vague "House Rules," Kalshi settles based on the official Governing League data (the final, corrected numbers provided by the NFL).
Trading Strategy: Savvy traders watch for "overshoots." If a player's unofficial time looks suspiciously fast and the market price nears 99¢, there may be value in a "No" contract if you believe the official correction will push them past the threshold.
2026 NFL Combine Schedule: When to Trade What
The 2026 NFL Scouting Combine runs from Thursday, February 26, through Sunday, March 1, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.
The four-day event groups positions together, meaning prediction market traders will need to track specific days for the athletes they're interested in.
- Day 1 (February 26): Defensive linemen and linebackers take the field. Expect trading opportunities on edge rushers' 40-yard dashes (mid-4.6 to high-4.7 range typically), linebacker agility drills, and defensive tackle bench press dominance—big men pushing 225 pounds for 30+ reps often make headlines.
- Day 2 (February 27): Defensive backs and tight ends work out. This is prime territory for 40-yard dash markets, as cornerbacks and safeties regularly post the fastest times of the entire combine (sub-4.4 seconds). Tight ends offer interesting versatility metrics, combining size with speed.
- Day 3 (February 28): The showcase day features quarterbacks, wide receivers, and running backs. Wide receivers typically produce blazing 40 times (4.3s are common among top prospects), while running backs demonstrate explosion in the vertical and broad jumps. Quarterback drills are less quantifiable but highly scrutinized.
- Day 4 (March 1): Offensive linemen close out the combine. While their 40 times won't break records, the bench press becomes crucial—scouts want to see power and endurance in the trenches.
All combine workouts are televised on NFL Network, providing real-time transparency for traders.
Throughout the four days, prospects also conduct formal interviews with teams and complete medical examinations that sometimes leak into public reporting, potentially moving markets if injury concerns surface.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in all 50 states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
