Steelers vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - December 16, 2023

Steelers at Colts

9:30 pm • NFL Network

Pittsburgh Steelers

10-4

13 - 30

Indianapolis Colts

6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Steelers 10-4	+1.5	+1.5-105	o41.5-112	+103
Colts 6-8	u42.5	-1.5-115	u41.5-114	-121

Saturday 9:30 p.m.

December 16, 2023

Lucas Oil StadiumIndianapolis

N.Harris Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

0.25u

PIT +108

2.5u

D.Johnson o44.5 Rec Yds-110

1.5u

PIT +1.5-110

G.Minshew Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650

0.35u

N.Harris Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

0.75u

IND -1-110

Vegasinsider for all play. Follow the Twitter @reno_jonny

J.Warren o8.5 Rush Att-140

0.71u

G.Pickens u3.5 Recs-125

PIT +1-110

PIT +1-105

Over 42.5-110

1.5u

PIT +1.5-110

$110.00

PIT +105

N.Harris o13.5 Rush Att-125

1.25u

Over in 8/L11, and more pertinently, 2/L3 since Canada was fired. His snap share and carry share have maintained compared to Warren, despite rumblings he’d be demoted. He’s still commanding the early down work. Colts are a great opponent - they play fast, allowing the most offensive plays per game, and rank 26th in DVOA vs the run (FTN). They allow 26 RB att per game - second most in the NFL. I have faith the Steelers defense bounces back and keeps this game close.

PIT o20.5 Team Total-112

2.8u

D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270

2.7u

J.Downs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275

0.5u

@TheBMatt

G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275

0.5u

@charliedisturco

D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275

1.38u

@GDAWG5000

IND -1-110

0.91u

PIT +1.5-110

@ChrisRaybon

D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275

1.38u

PIT +2.5-110

1.1u

Raybon 3

PIT +1.5-110

$55.00

Over 42-110

PIT +1.5-110

1.1u

IND -125

$100.00

PIT +2-114

Over 42-109

P.Freiermuth o31.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

IND -2.5-115

0.87u

Available at FanDuel. The Steelers' injuries here make it tough to have a ton of faith in them. Kenny Pickett is likely still out following his tightrope surgery, and now TJ Watt is in concussion protocol. Watt has 9 days to clear because they played Thursday, but given he is in protocol due to symptoms, I'd have to think the odds he's cleared are lower. Even with Watt assumed in, my numbers show value on the Colts. They sputtered badly against the Bengals thanks to their poor defense, but that won't be as big of a concern against this version of the Steelers. We know their limitations -- but we know the Steelers', too. If Watt is ruled out, I'd expect this to hit three, and my model has it decently clear of that, as well. Even at -115, I like the Colts -2.5 here.

Featured Insight
The Steelers have allowed 5.0 PPG during the second half since Week 11 -- second-best in NFL. The Colts have scored 7.3 points per game in the second half __Previous 4 Weeks PresentPerfect__ -- seventh-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Colts have allowed 4.6 yards per dropback against the shotgun since Week 11 -- third-best in NFL. The Steelers have thrown for 5.9 yards per attempt out of the shotgun __Previous 4 Weeks PresentPerfect__ -- tied for ninth-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Colts are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Colts are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Colts are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Colts' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Colts' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Colts	8-6	4-2	4-4	2-2	6-4
Steelers	10-4	5-1	5-3	5-3	5-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Colts	6-7-1	3-3	3-4-1	1-3	5-4-1
Steelers	7-7	2-4	5-3	4-4	3-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Colts	6-8	N/A	N/A	3-1	3-7
Steelers	10-4	N/A	N/A	5-3	5-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 10th	@CIN	L 14-34	+3 L	O 44.5	CIN +136
Dec 3rd	@TEN	W 31-28	-1.5 W	O 42.5	IND -130
Nov 26th	TB	W 27-20	-2.5 W	O 44.5	IND -145
Nov 12th	@NE	W 10-6	-1.5 W	U 42.5	IND -120
Nov 5th	@CAR	W 27-13	-1.5 W	U 44.5	IND -125

Tyler Matakevich
LB
Matakevich is questionable with hamstring
Questionable

Jamal Agnew
WR
Agnew is out with leg
Out
Montravius Adams
DT
Adams is questionable with knee
Questionable
Larry Ogunjobi
DT
Ogunjobi is out with groin
Out
DeShon Elliott
S
Elliott is out with hamstring
Out
Calvin Anderson
T
Anderson is questionable with groin
Questionable
C.J. Henderson
CB
Henderson is out with neck
Out
George Pickens
WR
Pickens is doubtful with hamstring
Doubtful
Dylan Cook
T
Cook is out with foot
Out
Roman Wilson
WR
Wilson is out with hamstring
Out

Braden Smith
T
Smith is out with personal
Out
Tyquan Lewis
DE
Lewis is questionable with elbow
Questionable
E.J. Speed
LB
Speed is questionable with knee
Questionable
Ashton Dulin
WR
Dulin is out with ankle
Out
Cameron McGrone
LB
McGrone is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Alec Pierce
WR
Pierce is doubtful with concussion
Doubtful
Jaylon Carlies
DB
Carlies is out with knee
Out

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Steelers

Total

Colts

216

Total Yards

372

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

5.7

Steelers

Passing

Colts

172

YDS

215

18/26

Comps/Atts

18/28

4.733

YPA

6.516

1/2

TDs/INTs

3/0

4/30

Sacks/Yards

3/13

Steelers

Rushing

Colts

Rush Yards

170

Attempts

3.083

YPC

TDs

Steelers

Turnovers

Colts

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Steelers

Efficiency

Colts

2/2 100%

Redzone

3/6 50%

4/12 0%

3rd Down

6/15 0%

2/3 0%

4th Down

1/2 0%

Steelers

First Downs

Colts

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Steelers

Misc

Colts

8/101

Penalties/Yards

2/10

26:40

Possession

33:20

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MatchupOverUnder
Steelers 10-4	o20.5+105	u20.5-118
Colts 6-8	o20.5-116	u20.5-115

Steelers vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - December 16, 2023

Steelers at Colts

Pittsburgh Steelers

Indianapolis Colts

Steelers at Colts Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Steelers

Colts

Steelers vs. Colts Previews & Analysis

How to Bet Every Game, Every Team in NFL Week 15

Abrams' NFL Week 15 Betting Primer (Sunday Update)

How We're Live Betting Saturday's NFL Slate

Koerner's Steelers-Colts Prop: Fade George Pickens

Steelers vs. Colts Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Steelers vs. Colts Public Betting Percentages

Steelers

Public

Colts

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Steelers vs. Colts Injury Updates

Steelers Injuries

Colts Injuries

Steelers vs. Colts Odds Comparison

Steelers at Colts Team Totals