Steelers vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - December 16, 2023
Steelers at Colts
9:30 pm • NFL NetworkSteelers at Colts Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Steelers 7-2 | +1.5 | +1.5-105 | o41.5-112 | +103 |
Colts 4-6 | u42.5 | -1.5-115 | u41.5-114 | -121 |
Saturday 9:30 p.m.
December 16, 2023Lucas Oil StadiumIndianapolis
Steelers vs. Colts Expert Picks
Milly Props
334d ago
Last 30d: 9-5-0 (+4.3u)
N.Harris Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.25u
Shady Biev
335d ago
Last 30d: 174-210-2 (-41.3u)
PIT +108
2.5u
D.Johnson o44.5 Rec Yds-110
1.5u
Charlie DiSturco
335d ago
Last 30d: 50-70-2 (-0.1u)
J.Warren o16.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer Yes+290
0.5u
Kevin Thomas
335d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
PIT +1.5-110
1u
Dale Tanhardt
335d ago
Last 30d: 17-38-0 (+43.8u)
G.Minshew Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650
0.35u
N.Harris Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.75u
Jonathan Jorcin
335d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
IND -1-110
1u
Vegasinsider for all play. Follow the Twitter @reno_jonny
Milly Props
335d ago
Last 30d: 9-5-0 (+4.3u)
J.Warren o8.5 Rush Att-140
0.71u
Sean Koerner
335d ago
Last 30d: 32-27-0 (+1.6u)
G.Pickens u3.5 Recs-125
1u
Simon Hunter
335d ago
Last 30d: 23-24-0 (-4.5u)
PIT +1-110
1u
YBK Picks.com
335d ago
Last 30d: 49-47-1 (+2.1u)
PIT +1-105
3u
Shady Biev
335d ago
Last 30d: 174-210-2 (-41.3u)
Over 42.5-110
1.5u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
335d ago
Last 30d: 221-230-3 (+1.3u)
PIT +105
1u
Prop Bet Guy
335d ago
Last 30d: 73-55-0 (+11.4u)
N.Harris o13.5 Rush Att-125
1.25u
Over in 8/L11, and more pertinently, 2/L3 since Canada was fired. His snap share and carry share have maintained compared to Warren, despite rumblings he’d be demoted. He’s still commanding the early down work.
Colts are a great opponent - they play fast, allowing the most offensive plays per game, and rank 26th in DVOA vs the run (FTN). They allow 26 RB att per game - second most in the NFL.
I have faith the Steelers defense bounces back and keeps this game close.
Shady Biev
335d ago
Last 30d: 174-210-2 (-41.3u)
PIT o20.5 Team Total-112
2.8u
D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270
2.7u
The Touchdown Show
335d ago
Last 30d: 5-36-0 (-10.6u)
J.Downs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275
0.5u
@TheBMatt
G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275
0.5u
@charliedisturco
D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275
1.38u
@GDAWG5000
Bruce Marshall
336d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
IND -1-110
0.91u
Green Dot Daily
336d ago
Last 30d: 36-51-0 (-10.0u)
PIT +1.5-110
1u
@ChrisRaybon
Gilles Gallant
336d ago
Last 30d: 41-94-1 (-9.7u)
D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275
1.38u
Sunday Six Pack
336d ago
Last 30d: 9-15-0 (-7.4u)
PIT +2.5-110
1.1u
Raybon 3
Sandy Plashkes
336d ago
Last 30d: 116-116-0 (+1.8u)
PIT +1.5-110
$55.00
Tanner McGrath
336d ago
Last 30d: 61-63-4 (-9.5u)
Over 42-110
1u
PIT +1.5-110
1.1u
Capper Central
336d ago
Last 30d: 66-60-0 (-2.3u)
IND -125
$100.00
Chris Raybon
338d ago
Last 30d: 11-13-2 (-3.2u)
PIT +2-114
1u
Raheem Palmer
338d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 42-109
1u
Royals Props
338d ago
Last 30d: 57-43-0 (+12.2u)
P.Freiermuth o31.5 Rec Yds-115
1.15u
Jim Sannes
339d ago
Last 30d: 15-21-0 (+10.8u)
IND -2.5-115
0.87u
Available at FanDuel. The Steelers' injuries here make it tough to have a ton of faith in them. Kenny Pickett is likely still out following his tightrope surgery, and now TJ Watt is in concussion protocol. Watt has 9 days to clear because they played Thursday, but given he is in protocol due to symptoms, I'd have to think the odds he's cleared are lower. Even with Watt assumed in, my numbers show value on the Colts. They sputtered badly against the Bengals thanks to their poor defense, but that won't be as big of a concern against this version of the Steelers. We know their limitations -- but we know the Steelers', too. If Watt is ruled out, I'd expect this to hit three, and my model has it decently clear of that, as well. Even at -115, I like the Colts -2.5 here.
PRO Insights
Steelers
PIT Insights
- Featured InsightThe Steelers have allowed 5.0 PPG during the second half since Week 11 -- second-best in NFL. The Colts have scored 7.3 points per game in the second half __Previous 4 Weeks PresentPerfect__ -- seventh-worst in NFL.
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Colts
IND Insights
- Featured InsightThe Colts have allowed 4.6 yards per dropback against the shotgun since Week 11 -- third-best in NFL. The Steelers have thrown for 5.9 yards per attempt out of the shotgun __Previous 4 Weeks PresentPerfect__ -- tied for ninth-worst in NFL.
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Steelers vs. Colts Previews & Analysis
Steelers vs. Colts Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Steelers vs. Colts Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Colts are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Colts are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Colts are 3-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Colts' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Colts' 5 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Steelers vs. Colts Injury Updates
Steelers Injuries
- Tyler MatakevichLB
Matakevich is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
- Jamal AgnewWR
Agnew is out with leg
Out
- Ben SkowronekWR
Skowronek is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
- Jaylen WarrenRB
Warren is questionable with back
Questionable
- Dylan CookT
Cook is out with foot
Out
- Roman WilsonWR
Wilson is out with hamstring
Out
Colts Injuries
- Cameron McGroneLB
McGrone is questionable with elbow
Questionable
- Jaylon CarliesDB
Carlies is out with knee
Out
Team Stats
Steelers vs. Colts Odds Comparison
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Steelers at Colts Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Steelers 7-2 | o20.5+105 | u20.5-118 |
Colts 4-6 | o20.5-116 | u20.5-115 |