Boise State vs. S. Florida Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2025
Boise State at S. Florida
9:30 pm • ESPNBoise State at S. Florida Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Boise State 5-2 | -9.5 | -4.5-110 | o61.5-108 | -200 |
S. Florida 6-1 | u63.5 | +4.5-110 | u61.5-112 | +168 |

Raymond James StadiumTampa
Boise State vs. S. Florida Expert Picks
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 63-68-1 (+4.0u)
USF +180
0.72u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 64-67-2 (+0.2u)
BOISE -4.5-115
1.15u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 124-105-5 (+2.9u)
USF +5.5-110
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 45-35-0 (+5.3u)
USF +5.5-110
0.5u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 61.5-110
1.1u
Dale Tanhardt
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Lauter Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
2u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 2-1-0 (+1.0u)
USF +3.5 (1H)-115
1u
Invisible Insider
Last 30d: 12-10-0 (+0.9u)
Under 62.5-115
0.87u
FIRST CFB PLAY!
Player Props
Last 30d: 8-7-0 (+1.4u)
S.Gaines u83.5 Rush Yds-114
0.88u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 97-113-2 (-27.4u)
USF +5.5-108
0.93u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 92-106-4 (-22.0u)
USF +6.5-115
1u
Analytics Trends
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.9u)
USF +5.5-110
0.91u
📊 24-5 W/L (82.76%)
ROI ~ 57.99%
L10 ~ 10-0
📈 Week 1 Short Home Dogs
✅ Team is at home
✅ Week 1 of season
✅ Team is underdog
✅ O/U between 56 and 65
✅ Teams spread in less than 9
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 109-130-7 (-2.5u)
Under 62.5-108
1u
Babs .
Last 30d: 93-98-3 (-0.5u)
USF o27.5 Team Total-105
0.95u
Dan Gaspar
Last 30d: 39-38-4 (-3.5u)
C.Norton u53.5 Rush Yds-117
1u
B.Brown u52.5 Rush Yds-114
1u
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Last 30d: 41-47-3 (-8.5u)
USF +6.5-115
0.87u
@Stuckey2 @_Collin1 https://myaction.app/jnIk27bhbWb
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 95-109-1 (-13.5u)
USF +6.5-115
1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 81-66-1 (+7.8u)
USF +6.5-110
1u
BBOC Week 1 recording goes in depth on USF
DeadPresPicks
Last 30d: 8-21-0 (-1.3u)
USF +6.5-110
0.41u
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 29-40-0 (-7.7u)
USF +200
1u
Blitz-happy Broncos won’t be able to disguise their looks against the Veer n Shoot. Massive OC downgrade and first game post-Jeanty should be too much to overcome in hot and sticky Tampa 🥵
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BOISE -6-110
1.1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 81-66-1 (+7.8u)
Under 64.5-110
0.5u
Project 61.5; generally not a big enough gap to call for a play, but heavy severe thunderstorms and heavy rain expected over three day span in Tampa. Will look to comeback OVER if this falls below key 59/62
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 50-58-2 (-0.5u)
USF +8.5-108
0.46u
Duck
Last 30d: 67-60-4 (-2.3u)
USF +8.5-108
0.61u
Easing into the position here but I think USF has a few scheme advantages here to exploit some of the BSU defensive weakness. Boise will be retooling the offense slightly and battling travel/heat. More to it, but this is high level.
Boise State vs. S. Florida Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Boise State vs. S. Florida Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- S. Florida are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- S. Florida are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- S. Florida are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of S. Florida' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of S. Florida' 4 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | 4-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 3-1 | |
| 6-1 | 4-0 | 2-1 | 5-1 | 1-0 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-2 | |
| 5-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | N/A | N/A | 3-0 | 3-1 | |
| 5-2 | N/A | N/A | 5-1 | 0-1 |
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
378
Total Yards
372
86
Total Plays
53
4.395348837209302
Yards Per Play
7.018867924528302
256
YDS
255
27/48
Comps/Atts
17/25
5.333333333333333
YPA
10.2
1/0
TDs/INTs
1/0
1/5
Sacks/Yards
4/27
8/57
Penalties/Yards
7/56
Boise State vs. S. Florida Odds Comparison
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Boise State at S. Florida Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Boise State 5-2 | o33.5-116 | u33.5-117 |
S. Florida 6-1 | o27.5-127 | u27.5-105 |






