Arizona St vs. Texas St Odds & Betting Predictions - September 12, 2024
Arizona St at Texas St
11:30 pm • ESPNArizona St at Texas St Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona St 11-2 | +1.5 | +3-108 | o58-111 | +124 |
Texas St 7-5 | u60.5 | -3-111 | u58-108 | -148 |
Thursday 11:30 p.m.
September 12, 2024UFCU StadiumSan Marcos
Arizona St vs. Texas St Expert Picks
Jeremiah Rose
100d ago
Last 30d: 49-36-0 (+12.2u)
TXST +4.5 (Live)-115
0.17u
Boyd
Top Shelf Action 🥃
100d ago
Last 30d: 278-252-4 (+1.9u)
TXST -2.5-110
1u
.tsa undefeated vs undefeated take home favs
Overall: 44-27-2,62% (ROI:20%)
Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)
YBK Picks.com
100d ago
Last 30d: 36-46-3 (-27.6u)
TXST -3-105
2u
Moneyline Hacks
100d ago
Last 30d: 52-47-1 (+14.8u)
Under 60.5-110
1.82u
Ryan Sura
100d ago
Last 30d: 96-102-6 (-15.0u)
TXST +1-118
1.18u
Shady Biev
100d ago
Last 30d: 185-211-6 (+9.9u)
ASU -110
1.5u
Weird ass Texas St love on the TL.
Picks Office
100d ago
Last 30d: 114-109-6 (-3.7u)
TXST -105
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Texas State's high-powered offense, led by head coach GJ Kinne, is set to be a real threat to Arizona State. The Bobcats’ attack, which ranked impressively in the top 20 in multiple offensive categories last season, has hit the ground running again this year. With Jordan McCloud, a James Madison transfer, under center, Texas State has already showcased its firepower by putting up 34 points on Lamar and 49 on UTSA. McCloud’s 309-yard, two-touchdown performance in Week 2 highlights the offensive potential that can give Arizona State's defense serious problems. This season, Texas State is once again a balanced threat, running the ball 52% of the time while ranking in the top 25 in rushing efficiency metrics, which means they can attack ASU’s defense in multiple ways.
Arizona State, despite its impressive 2-0 start, is still a team with major question marks. Sam Leavitt, their new starting quarterback, had a rough outing against Mississippi State, completing just 50% of his passes for a mere 65 yards. If ASU’s passing game continues to sputter, they’ll be forced to rely heavily on their running game, which ranks 25th in EPA per Play. However, Texas State’s defense, returning nine starters, showed it can contain offenses with a strong performance against UTSA, allowing just 10 points. The Bobcats’ defensive improvement is a key factor in this matchup, especially since Arizona State has yet to prove they can consistently move the ball through the air.
Arizona State's defensive weaknesses were exposed in Week 2, allowing a 63rd-percentile EPA per Play against Mississippi State, despite their earlier success against Wyoming. This points to a defensive unit that may not be as solid as initially thought, especially when facing an offense like Texas State’s, which can exploit weaknesses in both the running and passing games. Moreover, playing in Texas State’s hostile home environment will be a challenge for ASU, as power conference teams rarely play true road games against Group of Five opponents.
Ultimately, the combination of Texas State’s offensive firepower and the improving defense puts them in a strong position to pull off the upset. Arizona State’s reliance on the run and struggles in the passing game leave them vulnerable against a Bobcats team that has all the momentum. Expect Texas State to capitalize on their home field advantage and their offensive versatility to secure the outright win.
Mjaybrod
101d ago
Last 30d: 148-132-0 (+13.0u)
TXST u30.5 Team Total-120
0.83u
I need chicken and waffles asap
Collin Wilson
101d ago
Last 30d: 82-76-4 (-21.2u)
TXST +1-110
1.1u
Tanner McGrath
101d ago
Last 30d: 130-101-6 (+13.1u)
TXST +2-110
1.1u
Mike Calabrese
101d ago
Last 30d: 26-23-1 (+4.7u)
Over 60-110
3u
Green Dot Daily
101d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
Over 60-109
1u
@Breese
Boomer Betz
103d ago
Last 30d: 144-145-8 (-0.3u)
TXST +2.5-110
1u
W 5pts of clv since posted
Arizona St vs. Texas St Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Arizona St vs. Texas St Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Texas St are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Texas St are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Texas St are 3-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Texas St' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Texas St' 7 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas St | 6-6 | 3-4 | 3-1 | 6-6 | N/A |
Arizona St | 10-2 | 6-0 | 4-2 | 7-0 | 3-2 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas St | 6-5-1 | 3-3-1 | 2-2 | 6-5-1 | N/A |
Arizona St | 7-5 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 6-1 | 1-4 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas St | 7-5 | N/A | N/A | 7-5 | N/A |
Arizona St | 10-2 | N/A | N/A | 7-0 | 3-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
347
Total Yards
400
72
Total Plays
75
4.819444444444445
Yards Per Play
5.333333333333333
246
YDS
268
19/30
Comps/Atts
29/44
8.2
YPA
6.090909090909091
1/1
TDs/INTs
4/1
3/33
Sacks/Yards
1/4
8/34
Penalties/Yards
8/69
Arizona St vs. Texas St Odds Comparison
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Arizona St at Texas St Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Arizona St 11-2 | o27.5-115 | u27.5-120 |
Texas St 7-5 | o30.5-120 | u30.5-115 |