Princeton vs. Missouri Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2023

Princeton at Missouri

10:10 pm • TNT

Princeton Tigers

9-4

78 - 63

Missouri Tigers

10-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Princeton 9-4	+6.5-110	o145.5-110	+205
Missouri 10-2	-6.5-110	u145.5-110	-262

Saturday 10:10 p.m.

March 18, 2023

Golden 1 CenterSacramento

MIZZ +210 (Live)

$50.00

MIZZ -3.5 (Live)-115

0.7u

MIZZ -6.5-105

1.05u

PRIN +6.5-110

0.91u

MIZZ -6.5-110

$55.00

PRIN +6.5-110

0.27u

Smaller. Can probably get a bit better live with Missouri runs

M.Allocco o4.5 Rebs+110

He’s cleared this in 5 of last 6. Mizzu is a excellent shooting team- however, they don’t turn it over or get to the line at a high rate, play at a fast pace, and chuck up a ton of 3s. Allocco should see more rebound chances than usual as a result. Projecting him closer to 5.4 with a 62% chance of clearing 4.5 so getting plus odds here is nice

M.Allocco o4.5 Rebs+110

DK (not in NJ): Missouri is an awful rebounding team, and it gets even better for Allocco on the defensive end, where he grabs boards at a 14% rate. That's because Missouri, while a good shooting team, shoots at a high rate from 3, meaning more rebound opportunities rather than if they shot from inside. Missouri also doesn't draw fouls, and rarely turns the ball over, meaning more possessions will end in shot attempts. Also a tempo up spot. Projecting 5.4, so love getting plus money to the over.

PRIN +6.5-110

0.91u

MIZZ -6.5-110

1.1u

MIZZ -6.5-110

1.1u

PRIN +230

$253.00

PRIN +6.5-110

$100.00

M.Allocco o11.5 Pts+105

Projection - 12.6: For more, check out BettingPros.

PRIN +7-110

0.68u

Mitch Henderson clearly gives Princeton an edge. Two tourney losses by a bucket, now a win. Forces their style & take care of ball so Mizzou won’t get easy TO buckets, and Princeton should dominate glass. Since 2010, Ivy League now has six wins by double digit seeds plus three losses by 1-5. Mizzou was worse team vs Utah State, KenPom 48, should be more like a 10/11 seed. Ivy teams should prob be 13 at worst at this point. Princeton is live.

PRIN +230

0.8u

See +7 write up. This is not far from a toss up. Ivy teams keep it close, and Princeton is live.

Over 150-110

1.1u

Plenty of tempo here, Dennis Gates offense 45th average possession length, Princeton allows 41st fastest defensive possessions. Multiple offensive advantages both teams. Princeton perimeter shooting v Mizzou 290th D and near dead last defensive rebounding. Mizzou transition and finishing at the rim won’t be stopped

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See more NCAAB Coverage

As of the start of the First Round, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod was No. 2 Arizona, with 62.5% odds.

Our tournament ratings give Missouri 71.5% odds to win this game and advance to the Sweet Sixteen.

Entering the Second Round, Missouri is the most likely No. 7 seed to make the Final Four, with 7.8% odds (breakeven moneyline +1185).

Princeton is the public's second favorite No. 15 seed Sweet Sixteen pick, but was still selected to win this game in fewer than 1% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

No. 15 Princeton has played in only three of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 0-3 straight up and 2-1 against the spread in three total games.

Since 2002, No. 7 seeds like Missouri are 1-3 against No. 15 seeds like Princeton in the Second Round (25.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline +300).

Second Round matchups pitting a No. 7 seed against a No. 15 seed have gone over the full game total 75.0% of the time (3-1, average over/under line 139.0).

No. 15 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 3-1 ATS (75.0% cover rate, average spread +9.6).

No. 7 Missouri has played in nine of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 8-9 straight up and 8-9 against the spread in 17 total games.

No props found

NCAAB Public Betting

Missouri are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Missouri are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Missouri are 0-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Missouri' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Missouri' 10 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Missouri	4-7	4-6	0-1	3-6	1-1
Princeton	5-7	2-4	3-3	3-7	2-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Missouri	7-4	6-4	1-0	6-3	1-1
Princeton	5-7	3-3	2-4	4-6	1-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Missouri	10-1	N/A	N/A	9-0	1-1
Princeton	9-4	N/A	N/A	6-4	2-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 16th	USU	W 76-65	+1.5 W	U 155.5	MIZZ +105
Mar 11th	@ALA	L 61-72	+9 L	U 157.5	ALA +375
Mar 10th	TENN	W 79-71	+5.5 W	O 140.5	MIZZ +185
Mar 4th	MISS	W 82-77	-9.5 L	O 148.5	MIZZ -450
Mar 2nd	@LSU	W 81-76	-4 W	O 148.5	MIZZ -190

Princeton

Missouri

27-62 (44%)

Field Goals

25-61 (41%)

12-15 (80%)

Free Throws

7-7 (100%)

12-33 (36%)

6-22 (27%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Princeton 9-4	N/A	N/A
Missouri 10-2	N/A	N/A

Princeton vs. Missouri Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2023

Princeton at Missouri

Princeton Tigers

Missouri Tigers

Princeton at Missouri Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

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Bracket Predictions

Tournament Trends

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Princeton vs. Missouri Public Betting Percentages

Princeton

Public

Missouri

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Princeton vs. Missouri Odds Comparison

Princeton at Missouri Team Totals