Kings vs. Pelicans Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Kwon NBA straight

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

@ChrisRaybon

Great sell high for Larry after a cieling game vs. LAL. Tonight’s matchup vs. SAC will feature new changes to the rotation in the absence of Zion Williamson and overall, this really comes down to correlating with Jonas Val seeing more minutes tonight. In games where he plays at least 19-23 minutes (to be safe) , Nance Jr. averages 14.7 PRA, failing to go over 16+ PRA in 13 of the 21 games this season. Additionally, his U0.5 3PM is -175 to happen, and if you factor in games where Nance Jr. plays better 18-28 MIN where he fails to make a 3PT, he fails to reach this prop in 13 of the 19 games this season (68.4% rate). Larry has only shared the court together for 11 of the 1,216 total minutes this season, and this is a spot where Valanciunas’ offense and size will be needed down low to combat Sacramento’s Domantas Sabonis. Rotation could get even deeper with both Naji Marshall and Dyson Daniels can fill in minutes playing roles as defenders vs. De’Aaron Fox & Keegan Murray as well. #PlayerProps

Data to back this play in a few hours

KEEEEEEOOOOONNNNN

Talked about this one on VSIN. No Zion, Ingram doesn’t look good - Pels will need scoring. Good matchup for spot up shooting. Murphy 20 ppg in April and 17 ppg in 34 mpg since the ASB. He should see 36+ minutes in this one.

#Tailing @TheBMatt

Over this line in his last 5 games against Sabonis and the Kings, and over in 6 of his last 7, with his one miss being a game where he finished with 21 P+R. JV P+R vs. SAC (Last 7) 31/21/23/26/29/27/23 Now add the fact that Zion Williamson has already been ruled out, and JV has cleared 21.5 P+R in his last 6 games without Zion, racking up 27/26/23/39/25/33 P+R in those 7 games. So not only has JV been clearing this line against the Kings, he’s in line for a usage bump without Zion.