Heat vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - January 7, 2026
Heat at Timberwolves
1:00 am • NBC/PeacockHeat at Timberwolves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heat 20-17 | +4.5 | +5.5-110 | o238.5-106 | +170 |
 Timberwolves 24-13 | u235.5 | -5.5-110 | u238.5-112 | -205 |
Target CenterMinneapolis
Heat vs. Timberwolves Expert Picks
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 50-33-0 (+18.0u)
T.Herro u7.5 Rebs+Ast-135
1u
Forgot to log earlier, VIP, wouldn’t play at 6.5
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 31-65-0 (+6.8u)
MIA +5.5-110
1.5u
📚Player Profit
🔑 Heat +5.5 -110 (Player Profit) 1.5u
Heat have been elite this year ATS.
Code: sirlocks for 10% off at https://www.playerprofit.com/
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 51-46-3 (+5.9u)
D.Mitchell o6.5 Ast+102
1.02u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 93-117-4 (-12.2u)
K.Ware o10.5 Pts-125
1.25u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 173-142-5 (+15.5u)
MIN -6-110
0.91u
Join Discord: https://discord.gg/NcyhmJVXPe
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 173-132-1 (+11.0u)
A.Wiggins u23.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-111
0.5u
Tailing @kylemurray03
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 93-117-4 (-12.2u)
N.Powell o21.5 Pts-115
1.15u
A.Wiggins u23.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-111
1u
N.Reid u18.5 Pts+Ast-112
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 70-76-0 (-12.7u)
MIN -3.5-108
0.93u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 65-72-0 (-3.0u)
Under 239.5-110
0.5u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 121-97-1 (+33.9u)
Under 239.5-110
0.45u
#RLM
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 65-72-0 (-3.0u)
MIA +7-110
0.55u
Market SCREAMING at me I’m wrong, but we press on.
This is a market analysis more than anything.
These two teams played in Miami last week and the line was Heat -2.5. The Wolves killed them, but you aren’t going to see a power rating get adjusted that much off one game. This is Wolves -5.5 now, indicating a 9.5-point line move? The biggest difference being that Jaime Jaquez is out, but there’s no way Jaquez is moving the line this much.
Tyler Herro is out, but he’s been out for most of the season.
So why on Earth would this line move eight points on homecourt flip when homecourt has mattered less than ever?
Miami is the 5th-best road ATS team; Minnesota is 26th at home. I understand the Wolves annihilated them and are playing well right now. But I can’t get here. I make this number Wolves -2.9, given that the Wolves are -2.2 average in ATS differential at home. These teams are a lot closer than this line suggests and I’m unmoved by Jaquez’ value to the spread for a 26 percent 3-point shooter.
J.McDaniels o1.5 3pt M+165
0.27u
McDaniels is shooting 55 percent from three over his last eight games, but this is all about the opponent.
Miami allows the 10th-highest corner 3-pointer rate of any team this season. It’s a function of how they defend and a byproduct of how often they use zone. McDaniels, on the other hand, is 45 percent on corner threes this season, compared to 39 percent on all other shots.
Miami’s also the highest-pace team in the league. And while they actually force the 28th-ranked defensive possession length (they make you take more time finding a shot), the sheer volume of possessions created by their speed bumps up those numbers.
This line is 0.6 above where McDaniels has been in 3PM over the last eight games, but given the specific matchup combo, I’ll play it.
Buckets Podcast
Last 30d: 72-69-2 (+1.1u)
MIA +5.5-102
1u
@HPBasketball ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/jyKnHb61HZb
Heat vs. Timberwolves Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Heat vs. Timberwolves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Timberwolves are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Timberwolves are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Timberwolves are 8-10 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Timberwolves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Timberwolves' 19 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16-21 | 8-11 | 8-10 | 13-18 | 3-3 |
| 21-15-1 | 11-8 | 10-7-1 | 9-8 | 12-7-1 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-20 | 6-13 | 11-7 | 14-17 | 3-3 |
| 17-20 | 9-10 | 8-10 | 6-11 | 11-9 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24-13 | N/A | N/A | 22-9 | 2-4 |
| 20-17 | N/A | N/A | 11-6 | 9-11 |
Last 5 Matchups
Heat vs. Timberwolves Injury Updates
Heat Injuries
- Terry RozierPG
Rozier is out with gambling
Out
- Davion MitchellPG
Mitchell is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Jaime JaquezSF
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) out Tuesday.
Out
- Pelle LarssonSG
Larsson is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Timberwolves Injuries
- Terrence ShannonPF
Shannon is out with abdomen
Out
Player Stats
- scoring
Anthony Edwards26ppg - rebounding
Rudy Gobert17rpg - assists
Bones Hyland5apg - shooting
Leonard Miller100fg%
Team Stats
35-98 (36%)
Field Goals
45-99 (45%)
12-16 (75%)
Free Throws
18-23 (78%)
12-37 (32%)
3P
14-39 (36%)
50
Rebounds
64
28
Assists
27
Turnovers
5
Steals
7
4
Blocks
8
20
Fouls
23
Heat vs. Timberwolves Odds Comparison
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Heat at Timberwolves Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Heat 20-17 | o116.5-112 | u116.5-108 |
Timberwolves 24-13 | o121.5-108 | u121.5-112 |