Heat vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - February 27, 2024

Heat at Kings

3:00 am • NBA TV
121 - 110

Heat at Kings Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat
6-7
+8
+7.5-109
o224-111
+235
Kings
8-7
u227
-7.5-111
u224-108
-289
location pinTuesday 3:00 a.m.
February 27, 2024
Golden 1 CenterSacramento
Heat vs. Kings Expert Picks
Milly Props
Milly Props
269d ago
Last 30d: 10-5-0 (+5.2u)
D.Robinson o2.5 3pt M (Live)+899
0.25u
B.Adebayo o3.5 Ast-140
0.71u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
269d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
K.Murray o13.5 Pts-115
1u
Over in 16/L23 home games, where he averages 18 ppg. Numbers down lately, but that’s because he’s played 11/L14 on the road (where he only averages 12 ppg). Great spot vs MIA who allow a ton of spot up shooting (most pts on second highest frequency) - Keegan crushed this matchup with 33 pts in Miami a few weeks ago. Bad spot for Sabonis and Fox as well.
Mark  Franco
Mark Franco
269d ago
Last 30d: 5-3-0 (+1.8u)
MIA +7.5-110
1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
269d ago
Last 30d: 92-131-1 (-4.7u)
MIA +7-111
0.97u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
269d ago
Last 30d: 128-100-1 (+16.0u)
Under 224.5-110
1u
This seems pretty damn low for Kings home game
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
269d ago
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (-3.6u)
MIA +6.5-112
0.89u
@HPBasketball
M.Monk o16.5 Pts-120
1u
Via Jim Turvey
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
270d ago
Last 30d: 85-83-3 (+35.3u)
J.Jaquez o23.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-104
0.96u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
270d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
C.Martin o21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
0.71u
J.Jaquez o15.5 Pts-120
0.42u
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
270d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +7.5-108
0.93u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
270d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-2 (+4.0u)
K.Murray o13.5 Pts-125
0.5u
Tailing @JoeDellera x2
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
270d ago
Last 30d: 123-110-0 (+17.6u)
D.Sabonis u19.5 Pts-116
$50.00
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
270d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
K.Murray o13.5 Pts-104
1.2u
Keegan Murray has one of the wildest home and road splits in the NBA. On the road he averages just 12.1 points per game while shooting just 42.6% from the field and 28.7% from 3. At home? This spikes to 18.0 points per game on 49.8% shooting including 42.4% from deep. Luckily for the Kings, this is a home game against the Miami Heat. Miami will be without a number of players tonight headlined by Jimmy Butler, but stylistically they have been a strong matchup for Murray due to all of the zone they play and that they allow the third-highest frequency of 3 point attempts. In 3 games against Miami, he’s scored 33, 7, and 22 points with the 33 point effort being the most recent. His points prop is set at 13.5, a number he’s exceeded in 70% of home games this season and even his 20+ prop is worth a shot considering it’s priced at (+480) which has a 17.2% implied odds, yet he has 20+ in 39% of home games (9/23). I like Murray to exceed 13.5 Points tonight.
K.Murray o19.5 Pts+480
1.01u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
270d ago
Last 30d: 60-57-1 (+7.4u)
MIA +7.5-109
2.75u

PRO Insights

Heat logo

Heat

MIA Insights
  • Heat logoThe Heat are 23-7 (.767) when scoring 110 or more points this season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Kings have allowed 117.8 points per game this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.
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Kings logo

Kings

SAC Insights
  • Kings logo The Kings have allowed 11.5 second chance points per game this season -- best in the NBA; the Heat have averaged 12.2 second chance points per game this season -- 4th-lowest in the NBA.
TRY FOR FREE

Heat vs. Kings Previews & Analysis

  • Heat vs Kings Picks, Prediction Tonight article feature image

    Heat vs Kings Picks, Prediction Tonight

    Michael Fiddle
    Feb 26, 2024 UTC
  • Our Staff's NBA Best Bets Tonight article feature image

    Our Staff's NBA Best Bets Tonight

    Action Network Staff
    Feb 26, 2024 UTC
  • "Buckets" NBA Best Bets for Monday article feature image

    "Buckets" NBA Best Bets for Monday

    Action Network Staff
    Feb 26, 2024 UTC
  • Hawks, Heat Headline NBA Player Props Forecast article feature image

    Hawks, Heat Headline NBA Player Props Forecast

    Joe Dellera
    Feb 26, 2024 UTC
See more NBA Coverage Right Arrow

Prop Odds Comparison

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No props found

Line Movement Tracker

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Heat vs. Kings Public Betting Percentages

Public

78%

Bets%

22%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Kings
6-8-12-5-14-35-5-11-3
Heat
6-71-45-33-43-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Kings
8-74-44-35-63-1
Heat
7-62-35-32-55-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Kings
8-7N/AN/A7-41-3
Heat
6-7N/AN/A4-32-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Feb 26th@LACW 123-107+4 WU 239SAC +155
Feb 23rdSASW 127-122-10.5 LO 243SAC -520
Feb 15th@DENW 102-98+5.5 WU 228.5SAC +175
Feb 14th@PHXL 125-130+4.5 LO 245PHX +154
Feb 11th@OKCL 113-127+3.5 LU 240OKC +130

Kings vs. Heat Injury Updates

Kings Injuries

  • Malik Monk
    PG

    Monk is out with ankle

    Out

  • Mason Jones
    PG

    Jones is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Devin Carter
    PG

    Carter is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Isaiah Crawford
    SF

    Crawford is out with ankle

    Out

Heat Injuries

  • Josh Richardson
    PG

    Richardson is questionable with heel

    Questionable

  • Terry Rozier
    PG

    Terry Rozier (foot) out Monday.

    Out

  • Jaime Jaquez
    SG

    Jaquez is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Keegan Murray logo
    Keegan Murray
    28
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Domantas Sabonis logo
    Domantas Sabonis
    14
    rpg
  • assists
    Domantas Sabonis logo
    Domantas Sabonis
    10
    apg
  • shooting
    player logo
    -
    100
    fg%
Team Stats
45-87 (52%)
Field Goals
45-85 (53%)
20-25 (80%)
Free Throws
7-12 (58%)
11-30 (37%)
3P
13-32 (41%)
38
Rebounds
40
27
Assists
30
Turnovers
12
Steals
10
3
Blocks
5
12
Fouls
20

Heat vs. Kings Odds Comparison

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Heat at Kings Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Heat
6-7
o108.5-108
u108.5-117
Kings
8-7
o116-112
u116-112