Heat vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - February 27, 2024
Heat at Kings
3:00 am • NBA TVHeat at Kings Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Heat 6-7 | +8 | +7.5-109 | o224-111 | +235 |
Kings 8-7 | u227 | -7.5-111 | u224-108 | -289 |
Tuesday 3:00 a.m.
February 27, 2024Golden 1 CenterSacramento
Heat vs. Kings Expert Picks
Milly Props
269d ago
Last 30d: 10-5-0 (+5.2u)
D.Robinson o2.5 3pt M (Live)+899
0.25u
B.Adebayo o3.5 Ast-140
0.71u
Prop Bet Guy
269d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
K.Murray o13.5 Pts-115
1u
Over in 16/L23 home games, where he averages 18 ppg. Numbers down lately, but that’s because he’s played 11/L14 on the road (where he only averages 12 ppg). Great spot vs MIA who allow a ton of spot up shooting (most pts on second highest frequency) - Keegan crushed this matchup with 33 pts in Miami a few weeks ago. Bad spot for Sabonis and Fox as well.
Mark Franco
269d ago
Last 30d: 5-3-0 (+1.8u)
MIA +7.5-110
1u
Matt Moore
269d ago
Last 30d: 92-131-1 (-4.7u)
MIA +7-111
0.97u
Mjaybrod
269d ago
Last 30d: 128-100-1 (+16.0u)
Under 224.5-110
1u
This seems pretty damn low for Kings home game
Green Dot Daily
269d ago
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (-3.6u)
MIA +6.5-112
0.89u
@HPBasketball
M.Monk o16.5 Pts-120
1u
Via Jim Turvey
Markus Markets
270d ago
Last 30d: 85-83-3 (+35.3u)
J.Jaquez o23.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-104
0.96u
Joe Dellera
270d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
C.Martin o21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
0.71u
J.Jaquez o15.5 Pts-120
0.42u
Bruce Marshall
270d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +7.5-108
0.93u
Gilles Gallant
270d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-2 (+4.0u)
K.Murray o13.5 Pts-125
0.5u
Tailing @JoeDellera x2
Sandy Plashkes
270d ago
Last 30d: 123-110-0 (+17.6u)
D.Sabonis u19.5 Pts-116
$50.00
Joe Dellera
270d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
K.Murray o13.5 Pts-104
1.2u
Keegan Murray has one of the wildest home and road splits in the NBA. On the road he averages just 12.1 points per game while shooting just 42.6% from the field and 28.7% from 3. At home? This spikes to 18.0 points per game on 49.8% shooting including 42.4% from deep.
Luckily for the Kings, this is a home game against the Miami Heat.
Miami will be without a number of players tonight headlined by Jimmy Butler, but stylistically they have been a strong matchup for Murray due to all of the zone they play and that they allow the third-highest frequency of 3 point attempts.
In 3 games against Miami, he’s scored 33, 7, and 22 points with the 33 point effort being the most recent.
His points prop is set at 13.5, a number he’s exceeded in 70% of home games this season and even his 20+ prop is worth a shot considering it’s priced at (+480) which has a 17.2% implied odds, yet he has 20+ in 39% of home games (9/23).
I like Murray to exceed 13.5 Points tonight.
K.Murray o19.5 Pts+480
1.01u
Brian Bitler
270d ago
Last 30d: 60-57-1 (+7.4u)
MIA +7.5-109
2.75u
PRO Insights
Heat
MIA Insights
- Featured InsightThe Heat are 23-7 (.767) when scoring 110 or more points this season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Kings have allowed 117.8 points per game this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.
TRY FOR FREE
Kings
SAC Insights
- Featured InsightThe Kings have allowed 11.5 second chance points per game this season -- best in the NBA; the Heat have averaged 12.2 second chance points per game this season -- 4th-lowest in the NBA.
TRY FOR FREE
Heat vs. Kings Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Heat vs. Kings Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Kings are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Kings are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Kings are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Kings' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Kings' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Kings vs. Heat Injury Updates
Kings Injuries
- Malik MonkPG
Monk is out with ankle
Out
- Mason JonesPG
Jones is out with hamstring
Out
- Devin CarterPG
Carter is out with shoulder
Out
- Isaiah CrawfordSF
Crawford is out with ankle
Out
Heat Injuries
- Josh RichardsonPG
Richardson is questionable with heel
Questionable
- Terry RozierPG
Terry Rozier (foot) out Monday.
Out
- Jaime JaquezSG
Jaquez is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Player Stats
- scoringKeegan Murray28ppg
- reboundingDomantas Sabonis14rpg
- assistsDomantas Sabonis10apg
- shooting-100fg%
Team Stats
Heat vs. Kings Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Heat at Kings Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Heat 6-7 | o108.5-108 | u108.5-117 |
Kings 8-7 | o116-112 | u116-112 |