Heat vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - February 27, 2024

Heat at Kings

3:00 am • NBA TV

Miami Heat

28-27

121

121 - 110

Sacramento Kings

12-43

110

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 28-27	+8	+7.5-109	o224-111	+235
Kings 12-43	u227	-7.5-111	u224-108	-289

Tuesday 3:00 a.m.

February 27, 2024

Golden 1 CenterSacramento

D.Robinson o2.5 3pt M (Live)+899

0.25u

B.Adebayo o3.5 Ast-140

0.71u

MIA +7-111

0.97u

Under 224.5-110

This seems pretty damn low for Kings home game

MIA +7.5-110

J.Jaquez o23.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-104

0.96u

J.Jaquez o3.5 Ast+146

C.Martin o21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-135

$1.48

D.Robinson o3.5 3pt M-130

$1.50

J.Jaquez o2.5 Ast-140

$2.00

C.Martin o21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105

0.71u

J.Jaquez o15.5 Pts-120

0.42u

M.Monk o16.5 Pts-115

0.5u

🪣

C.Martin o21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105

0.71u

Talked about this on buckets

Under 224.5-110

$1.79

MIA +6.5-108

K.Murray o13.5 Pts-125

0.5u

Tailing @JoeDellera x2

K.Murray o13.5 Pts-104

1.2u

Keegan Murray has one of the wildest home and road splits in the NBA. On the road he averages just 12.1 points per game while shooting just 42.6% from the field and 28.7% from 3. At home? This spikes to 18.0 points per game on 49.8% shooting including 42.4% from deep. Luckily for the Kings, this is a home game against the Miami Heat. Miami will be without a number of players tonight headlined by Jimmy Butler, but stylistically they have been a strong matchup for Murray due to all of the zone they play and that they allow the third-highest frequency of 3 point attempts. In 3 games against Miami, he’s scored 33, 7, and 22 points with the 33 point effort being the most recent. His points prop is set at 13.5, a number he’s exceeded in 70% of home games this season and even his 20+ prop is worth a shot considering it’s priced at (+480) which has a 17.2% implied odds, yet he has 20+ in 39% of home games (9/23). I like Murray to exceed 13.5 Points tonight.

K.Murray o19.5 Pts+480

1.01u

MIA +7.5-109

2.75u

Featured Insight
The Heat are 23-7 (.767) when scoring 110 or more points this season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Kings have allowed 117.8 points per game this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Kings have allowed 11.5 second chance points per game this season -- best in the NBA; the Heat have averaged 12.2 second chance points per game this season -- 4th-lowest in the NBA.

TRY FOR FREE

Heat vs Kings Picks, Prediction Tonight
Michael Fiddle•
Feb 26, 2024 UTC
Our Staff's NBA Best Bets Tonight
Action Network Staff•
Feb 26, 2024 UTC
"Buckets" NBA Best Bets for Monday
Action Network Staff•
Feb 26, 2024 UTC
Hawks, Heat Headline NBA Player Props Forecast
Joe Dellera•
Feb 26, 2024 UTC

See more NBA Coverage

No props found

NBA Public Betting

Kings are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Kings are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Kings are 9-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Kings' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Kings' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kings	21-34	12-16	9-18	2-4	19-30
Heat	31-23-1	14-13	17-10-1	15-13	16-10-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Kings	27-28	14-14	13-14	5-1	22-27
Heat	27-28	14-13	13-15	12-16	15-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kings	12-43	N/A	N/A	3-3	9-40
Heat	28-27	N/A	N/A	17-11	11-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 26th	@LAC	W 123-107	+4 W	U 239	SAC +155
Feb 23rd	SAS	W 127-122	-10.5 L	O 243	SAC -520
Feb 15th	@DEN	W 102-98	+5.5 W	U 228.5	SAC +175
Feb 14th	@PHX	L 125-130	+4.5 L	O 245	PHX +154
Feb 11th	@OKC	L 113-127	+3.5 L	U 240	OKC +130