Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - February 11, 2024

Celtics at Heat

7:00 pm • ABC

Boston Celtics

22-6

110

110 - 106

Miami Heat

13-13

106

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Celtics 22-6	-8-110	o225-110	-310
Heat 13-13	+8-110	u225-110	+250

Sunday 7:00 p.m.

February 11, 2024

Kaseya CenterMiami

T.Rozier u6.5 Ast-144

1.1u

K.Porzingis o20.5 Pts+Ast-115

K.Porzingis o25.5 Pts+Rebs-113

J.Brown o2.5 TOs+150

0.75u

Vase hands vs Miami

MIA +6-110

2.73u

J.Holiday o4.5 Rebs+105

The Celtics take on the Miami Heat and one player that I expect to thrive is Jrue Holiday. Jrue contributes in a variety of ways every time he takes the floor but one that stands out in this spot is his rebounding. Jrue’s rebounds line is set at 4.5, a number he’s cleared in 75% of games this season while averaging 6 per game. He’s been even better against Miami - since 2021, he’s exceeded this line in 89% of games including 9 straight. A lot of these games were when he was with the Bucks; however, he’s still 2/2 as a member of the Boston Celtics. In those games he recorded 10 and 5 rebounds on 18 and 7 chances. Miami is ranked 19th in Rebound % so even though they play at a slower Pace, I expect Holiday to secure 5 boards today.

D.White o12.5 Pts-115

MIA +5.5-110

0.91u

J.Tatum o7.5 Rebs-130

0.5u

Covered this in his last 8 games vs. the Heat. (13/10/11/8/12/11/8/8)

Featured Insight
The Celtics are 33-6 (.846) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Heat have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Heat are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Heat are 5-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Heat' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Heat' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	11-15	6-7	5-8	7-9	4-6
Celtics	11-16-1	5-10	6-6-1	11-15-1	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Heat	15-11	7-6	8-5	8-8	7-3
Celtics	12-16	8-7	4-9	12-15	0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	13-13	N/A	N/A	10-6	3-7
Celtics	22-6	N/A	N/A	22-5	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 8th	SAS	W 116-104	-8 W	U 228	MIA -350
Feb 7th	ORL	W 121-95	-3.5 W	O 214	MIA -155
Feb 4th	LAC	L 95-103	+5 L	U 223.5	LAC +180
Feb 3rd	@WAS	W 110-102	-7.5 W	U 228	MIA -325
Feb 1st	SAC	W 115-106	-2.5 W	U 228.5	MIA -138