Spurs vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - February 8, 2024

Spurs at Heat

12:30 am • BSSUN

San Antonio Spurs

9-4

104

104 - 116

Miami Heat

7-6

116

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Spurs 9-4	+8	+8-110	o228-110	+275
Heat 7-6	u228	-8-110	u228-110	-350

Thursday 12:30 a.m.

February 08, 2024

Kaseya CenterMiami

SAS +8-110

1.25u

... off a blowout vs good teams Overall: 169-102-0,62% (ROI:20%) Season:21-15-0,58% (ROI:11%)

SAS +285

0.5u

... off blowout vs good team Overall: 112-188-0,37% (ROI:36%) Season:13-19-0,41% (ROI:26%)

SAS +8-108

1.08u

SAS +7.5-110

1.1u

D.Vassell o19.5 Pts-120

1.2u

D.Vassell To Score 20+ Points Yes-130

D.Vassell o19.5 Pts-115

I like this matchup for Vassell against the Miami Heat. It is not as strong of a spot for Wemby who has to play on the interior but with Vassell's ability to spot up from anywhere on the floor he should be able to take advantage of a the Miami zone with Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier on the perimeter. Vassell has been scoring of late. He's scored 20+ in 8 of his last 10 games while averaging 25 ppg over his last five. By splitting Keldon Johnson off of the starting lineup, Vassell has become the clear #2 option to Wemby on the offensive side of the ball. Here, I expect him to continue his strong play and exceed his 19.5 points prop.

Featured Insight
The Spurs have an eFG% of 57% in close and late situations this season -- T-4th-best in the NBA; the Heat have allowed an eFG% of 57% in close and late situations this season -- 6th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Heat have allowed 110.9 points per game this season -- 7th-best in the NBA; the Spurs have averaged 112.3 points per game this season -- 7th-lowest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Heat are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Heat' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Heat' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	8-4-1	5-1	3-3-1	2-1	6-3-1
Spurs	5-6-2	4-3-1	1-3-1	3-6-2	2-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Heat	9-4	4-2	5-2	2-1	7-3
Spurs	7-6	3-5	4-1	6-5	1-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	7-6	N/A	N/A	2-1	5-5
Spurs	9-4	N/A	N/A	7-4	2-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 7th	ORL	W 121-95	-3.5 W	O 214	MIA -155
Feb 4th	LAC	L 95-103	+5 L	U 223.5	LAC +180
Feb 3rd	@WAS	W 110-102	-7.5 W	U 228	MIA -325
Feb 1st	SAC	W 115-106	-2.5 W	U 228.5	MIA -138
Jan 30th	PHX	L 105-118	-2.5 L	U 230.5	PHX -135