Kings vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - February 1, 2024

Buckets from Tuesday night: like this to Heat -3

Sabonis avg. 14.2 PPG going U in 8/9 vs. teams both in bottom 10 in PACE & rim DEF. He makes 66% of his FGM @ rim where MIA defends at 5th best. MIA play 5th slowest PACE L4 w/ Rozier. Better spot for SAC shooters. #PlayerProps

Via Jay Money

Going back to this rat shit team after they burnt me

With the Heat’s trade for Terry Rozier, the team is undergoing a series of changes. One of those modifications has been how Rozier and Tyler Herro share the floor because they both have similar skill sets with their ability to score at all three levels. The change has come with Herro’s shot selection. Prior to the trade, Herro had exceeded his 3.5 3s line in 57% of games but is now 4/5 with Rozier. He actually is taking fewer shots overall per game, but there has been an uptick from 8.2 3PA prior to the trade to 9.6 in the five games after. This is a significant swing - he was taking 43.1% of his shots from 3 point range before Rozier but an incredible 60% from 3 after. This aligns with some of his comments to the media about being a team player and how being a spot up shooter is something that’s valuable. Considering Herro is shooting 40.3% from 3 point range, more volume from deep is a good thing. In a matchup against the Kings, a team who allows their opponents to shoot 40% from 3, the second-highest mark in the NBA, I like Herro to exceed his 3.5 3s prop.