Yankees vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 28, 2023

Yankees at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

New York Yankees

8-6

0 - 1

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			4.35	7-4
G.Cole			2.63	15-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+125	o8.5-110	-130
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-150	u8.5-110	+110

Friday 11:05 p.m.

July 28, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

G.Cole u18.5 Outs-152

G.Cole u18.5 Outs-153

$153.00

READ: Parlay via barstool Sportsbook. Parlayed with Adam Frazier u .5 home run as a juice reducer. Also -175 on rivers and unibet if you rather single (too juicy for me). Cole has gone over this number just once on the road. He doesn’t pitch into 7 often anymore to not tax his arm, and the orioles actually have pretty solid damn numbers against him. I can’t see him going past 6. Like this play a lot but lowering units since I know a few of you guys can’t get this in

NYY -115 (F5)

1.15u

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -120 or 8 (-102)

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 28, 2023 UTC
Koerner's MLB Strikeout Projections for Friday
Sean Koerner•
Jul 28, 2023 UTC
Best Bets from Friday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
Jul 28, 2023 UTC
Yankees vs. Orioles: How to Bet Aaron Judge's Return
Doug Ziefel•
Jul 28, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Orioles are 48-39 (.552) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Yankees are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Austin Hays is batting .358 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- tied for sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Gerrit Cole has an average fastball velocity of 96.8 MPH this season -- tied for third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Gunnar Henderson is batting .321 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- 14th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Gerrit Cole has an average fastball velocity of 96.8 MPH this season -- tied for third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of .368 (253 PA's) this season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .314 -- seventh Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 36% (58 SO in 160 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 92nd Percentile.

56% of Gerrit Cole's strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of 51% (83/162) against Grayson Rodriguez this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 40% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	@PHI	L 4-6	-	-	-
Jul 25th	@PHI	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	PHI +108
Jul 24th	@PHI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BAL +102
Jul 23rd	@TB	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +125
Jul 22nd	@TB	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	BAL +164

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Cole, P	110	7	5	0
RM.King, P	13	0.2	2	0
LW.Peralta, P	1	0.1	0	0
RT.Kahnle, P	8	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Judge, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4G.Stanton, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5D.LeMahieu, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
6B.McKinney, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Volpe, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Bauers, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RG.Rodriguez, P	97	6.1	4
RS.Fujinami, P	8	0.2	0
RY.Cano, P	13	0.2	0
LD.Coulombe, P	3	0.1	0
RF.Bautista, P	11	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	1-4	1	1	1
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, DH	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Frazier, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Hays, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Cowser, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0