Orioles vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2023

Orioles at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Baltimore Orioles

27-39

3 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

39-29

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			4.38	15-6
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 27-39	+1.5-167	o9-118	+108
Phillies 39-29	-1.5+140	u9-105	-130

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

July 25, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -125 (F5)

0.63u

Bet to -130

Over 9-110

0.55u

Bet to -114

T.Walker o4.5 Ks-118

1.18u

As I wrote about before his last start, Walker has been excellent of late - over this line in 7/L8, and he’s over this line in 8/9 on the year at home. The Orioles have pretty stark road splits (24% K% vs righties vs 19% at home). 20/L25 righty starters over this line at home vs BAL this season.

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The Orioles are 17-13 (.567) after a road win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

Jorge Mateo struck out in 28% of PA's last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Andrew Bellatti had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Bryson Stott is batting .304 this season -- eighth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting .302 (58-for-192) against Dean Kremer this season -- tied for fifth worst among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP-- ninth Percentile.

Kyle Gibson allowed a batting average of just .169 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)-- 92nd Percentile and .375 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (third worst among qualified SPs)-- fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 17-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Phillies' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	32-36	15-19	17-17	26-29	6-7
Orioles	24-42	9-22	15-20	10-27	13-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	29-36-3	17-16-1	12-20-2	24-28-3	5-8
Orioles	29-34-3	17-12-2	12-22-1	18-17-2	11-16-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	39-29	21-13	18-16	34-21	5-8
Orioles	27-39	13-18	14-21	14-23	12-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	BAL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BAL -120
Jul 23rd	@CLE	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -130
Jul 22nd	@CLE	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -126
Jul 21st	@CLE	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8	CLE -120
Jul 20th	MIL	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 9	MIL -110

Bryce Harper
1B
Harper is out with wrist
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	92	6	5	2
RS.Fujinami, P	21	2	3	0
RY.Cano, P	14	0.2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
1J.Mateo, SS	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-5	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	1-5	0	0	0
3R.McKenna, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5R.Mountcastle, DH	2-2	2	0	0
6A.Frazier, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
7A.Hays, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8C.Cowser, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Cowser, RF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	104	5.2	4	2
LM.Strahm, P	28	1.2	2	1
RY.Marte, P	27	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	2	1	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
6J.Realmuto, C	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
8B.Marsh, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	1