Twins vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2026

Twins at Yankees

11:05 pm • YES
@
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Gerrit Cole logoG.ColeNew York Yankees logo4.062-3
Mike Paredes logoM.ParedesMinnesota Twins logo4.260-1

Twins at Yankees Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins
42-46
+1.5
+1.5-110
o10-113
+180
Yankees
48-38
u9.5
-1.5-109
u10-111
-220
location pinFriday 11:05 p.m.
July 03, 2026
Yankee StadiumBronx
thermometer image96°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image10Wind
Twins vs. Yankees Expert Picks
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 175-175-15 (-16.2u)
Under 10-115
1u
Kev Mahserejian
Kev Mahserejian
Last 30d: 13-7-0 (+3.4u)
Over 10-105
1u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 368-348-9 (+22.7u)
G.Cole u5.5 Ks-117
1.17u
Matthew Lopes
Matthew Lopes
Last 30d: 44-175-4 (-13.9u)
J.Chisholm To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+340
1u
B.Rice To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+240
1u
John Feltman
John Feltman
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-0.1u)
Over 9.5-120
0.6u
Coming up on actionnetwork.com
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 137-132-10 (-1.2u)
Over 9.5-112
0.56u
Bet to 10 (-110)
Adam Kaufman
Adam Kaufman
Last 30d: 95-114-3 (-34.9u)
MIN +153
1u
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 91-100-9 (-8.3u)
MIN +150 (F5)
0.5u
(FD) I know, the Twins don’t beat the Yankees and Mike Paredes doesn’t have an estimator below five. Even a struggling Cole is a run superior. However, I’m giving MIN a fairly decent offensive edge. Their projected LU has a 140 wRC+ over the last 30 days, compared to NYY 78. MIN also a 23 point edge in projected lineups against RHP. NYY do have large defensive and bullpen edges too, but the MIN offense should keep them in this one. Splitting unit between F5 and full game, would play both to +135.
MIN +153
0.5u
(DK) I know, the Twins don’t beat the Yankees and Mike Paredes doesn’t have an estimator below five. Even a struggling Cole is a run superior. However, I’m giving MIN a fairly decent offensive edge. Their projected LU has a 140 wRC+ over the last 30 days, compared to NYY 78. MIN also a 23 point edge in projected lineups against RHP. NYY do have large defensive and bullpen edges too, but the MIN offense should keep them in this one. Splitting unit between F5 and full game, would play both to +135.
G.Cole u5.5 Ks-118
0.59u
(DK) Sub 7 SwStr% in 5 of 7 starts. 4 in proj. MIN LU 17 K% or less v RHP, weighted 20.9 K% v RHP (meaning # of batters Cole is projected to face, which is 23).

Twins vs. Yankees Previews & Analysis

  • The Leadoff: Kev's MLB Breakdown and Bets for Friday article feature image

    The Leadoff: Kev's MLB Breakdown and Bets for Friday

    Kevork Mahserejian
    Jul 3, 2026 UTC
  • Friday Night Lights: 3 Home Run Props for July 3 article feature image

    Friday Night Lights: 3 Home Run Props for July 3

    Matthew Lopes
    Jul 3, 2026 UTC
  • Twins vs Yankees: Buy Low on NY Bats article feature image

    Twins vs Yankees: Buy Low on NY Bats

    John Feltman
    Jul 3, 2026 UTC
  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo’s MLB Projections for Friday article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo’s MLB Projections for Friday

    Sean Zerillo
    Jul 3, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Twins vs. Yankees Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Twins

Public

18%

Bets%

82%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees
38-4817-2321-2534-424-6
Twins
46-4223-2223-2011-1635-25

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Yankees
39-43-421-17-218-26-233-39-46-4
Twins
52-30-623-18-429-12-215-11-136-19-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees
48-3822-1826-2043-335-5
Twins
42-4622-2320-2314-1328-32

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 1stDETL 2-6-1.5 LU 9.5DET -135
Jun 30thDETL 3-9+1.5 LO 7.5DET -115
Jun 29thDETL 3-7-1.5 LO 8DET -140
Jun 28th@BOSL 4-5-1.5 LO 8BOS -106
Jun 27th@BOSL 1-4-1.5 LU 8BOS -120

Yankees vs. Twins Injury Updates

Yankees Injuries

  • Clarke Schmidt
    SP

    Schmidt is out with elbow

    Out

Twins Injuries

  • Pablo Lopez
    SP

    Lopez is out with elbow

    Out

  • David Festa
    SP

    Festa is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Travis Adams
    SP

    Adams is out with triceps

    Out

Twins vs. Yankees Starting Lineups
Twins Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Mike Paredes logoRM.Paredes, P0-14.261.2634.62
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Trevor Larnach logo1T.Larnach, LF.291.381.4365
Brooks Lee logo2B.Lee, 3B.251.306.44014
Kody Clemens logo3K.Clemens, 2B.241.303.47414
Josh Bell logo4J.Bell, DH.244.301.41211
Royce Lewis logo5R.Lewis, 1B.211.289.3768
Victor Caratini logo6V.Caratini, C.239.337.3737
Ryan Kreidler logo7R.Kreidler, CF.279.353.4905
Tristan Gray logo8T.Gray, SS.232.274.3424
Luke Keaschall logo9L.Keaschall, RF.246.333.3293
Yankees Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Gerrit Cole logoRG.Cole, P2-34.061.2218.12
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Trent Grisham logo1T.Grisham, CF.232.341.4068
Ben Rice logo2B.Rice, DH.269.360.56123
Jasson Dominguez logo3J.Dominguez, RF.213.253.3833
Cody Bellinger logo4C.Bellinger, LF.254.352.43311
Paul Goldschmidt logo5P.Goldschmidt, 1B.278.339.52814
Jazz Chisholm logo6J.Chisholm, 2B.225.307.40112
Ryan McMahon logo7R.McMahon, 3B.210.269.3608
Jose Caballero logo8J.Caballero, SS.246.303.3858
Austin Wells logo9A.Wells, C.153.253.2354

Twins vs. Yankees Odds Comparison

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Twins at Yankees Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Twins
42-46
N/A
N/A
Yankees
48-38
N/A
N/A