Twins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 2, 2023

Twins at Royals

6:10 pm • BSKC

Minnesota Twins

27-22

7 - 4

Kansas City Royals

28-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Keller			4.57	3-4
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 27-22	-1.5+112	o9-115	-146
Royals 28-23	+1.5-136	u9-105	+122

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

April 02, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Over 8.5 (Live)+100

just so many hard hit balls. Not chasing, of i were watching the game regularly i would bet this

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

love too much not to add

Over 9-110

KC +130

KC o3.5-125

0.5u

KC o3.5-125

0.8u

KC o3.5-130

KC u3.5+100

Fading Hazen

KC +135

KC o3.5-120

0.83u

Over 8-120

so inflated

MIN -158

Over 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -114

Sunday's NRFI Best Bet: Custom Combo Shows Value on Ryan, Springs
Shayne Trail•
Apr 2, 2023 UTC

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The Twins are just 33-96 (.256) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Royals are 121-3 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .954.

MJ Melendez batted just .167 on elevated fastballs last season -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Joe Ryan located his fastball up 58% of the time last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Hunter Dozier batted just .197 with RISP last season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Opponents batted just .181 (21-for-116) against Joe Ryan with RISP last season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 29% (54/185) against Joe Ryan in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 0 Percentile.

Brad Keller has allowed an OBP of .367 (365 PA's) versus the bottom of the order since the 2021 season -- tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .278 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (134/461) against Joe Ryan since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 15-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Royals' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	30-21	15-11	15-10	11-10	18-11
Twins	28-21	15-8	13-13	17-14	11-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	17-33-1	9-17	8-16-1	8-13	9-19-1
Twins	16-30-3	7-15-1	9-15-2	10-19-2	6-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	28-23	17-9	11-14	13-8	14-15
Twins	27-22	16-7	11-15	18-13	9-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 1st	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	MIN +136
Mar 30th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 9	MIN +132
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +104
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 4-4	+1.5 W	U 10	TEX +116
Mar 26th	@CHC	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC +164

Seth Lugo
SP
Lugo is out with finger
Out
Cole Ragans
SP
Ragans is out with groin
Out
Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	80	6	6	1
LJ. Moran, P	20	1	2	2
RJ.Lopez, P	11	1	0	0
RE.Pagan, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-5	1	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4T.Larnach, LF	3-4	1	0	1
5J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
6N.Gordon, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6K.Farmer, PH	0-3	1	0	0
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	3-4	3	2	4
8R.Jeffers, C	2-5	0	0	2
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Keller, P	88	4.2	6	2
LA.Garrett, P	23	1	0	1
RD.Coleman, P	16	1.1	1	3
RJ.Cuas, P	25	1	2	1
RS.Barlow, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Melendez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Perez, C	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Massey, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6E.Olivares, LF	2-4	1	1	2
7K.Isbel, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8J. Bradley, RF	0-3	1	0	0
9M.Duffy, 3B	2-4	1	1	2