Twins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Twins at Royals

8:10 pm • BSKC

Minnesota Twins

27-22

2 - 0

Kansas City Royals

28-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J. Lyles			6.28	6-17
S.Gray			2.79	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 27-22	-1.5+100	o8-112	-163
Royals 28-23	+1.5-120	u8-108	+136

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 01, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

MIN -163

KC +1.5-120

0.6u

B.Buxton o0.5 HR+475

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Doing 6 HR bets for 0.1U each.

S.Gray o4.5 Ks-130

0.5u

KC +138

MIN -158 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -161 b/c also tied to the parlay.

Under 8-107

MIN -165

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 1, 2023 UTC
MLB SGP Picks Saturday 4/1 | Royals vs Twins Same Game Parlay
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 1, 2023 UTC
2 Games the Sharps are Betting on Saturday's MLB Slate
Chase Howell•
Apr 1, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Twins were just 11-24 (.314) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 -- tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Twins are just 33-96 (.256) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Royals are just 25-76 (.248) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.

The Royals were just 18-38 (.321) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Joey Gallo had a miss rate of 47% on outside fastballs last season -- second worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- first Percentile. Zack Greinke located his fastball away 52% of the time last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

56% of fastball strikeouts for Jose Miranda were located out of the zone last season -- tied for seventh highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 49% of Jordan Lyles fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Hitters swung at 51% of Sonny Gray's pitches (259/509) with two-strikes in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 15-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Royals' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	30-21	15-11	15-10	11-10	18-11
Twins	28-21	15-8	13-13	17-14	11-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	17-33-1	9-17	8-16-1	8-13	9-19-1
Twins	16-30-3	7-15-1	9-15-2	10-19-2	6-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	28-23	17-9	11-14	13-8	14-15
Twins	27-22	16-7	11-15	18-13	9-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 9	MIN +132
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +104
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 4-4	+1.5 W	U 10	TEX +116
Mar 26th	@CHC	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC +164
Mar 25th	@LAD	W 6-3	+1.5 W	U 9	KC +135

Seth Lugo
SP
Lugo is out with finger
Out
Cole Ragans
SP
Ragans is out with groin
Out
Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Gray, P	83	5	1
RJ.Alcala, P	12	1	0
RG.Jax, P	11	1	0
LC.Thielbar, P	18	1	3
RJ.Lopez, P	8	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	0-4	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	0-3	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	2-4	2	0
4T.Larnach, LF	0-3	0	0
5J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	0	1
6N.Gordon, 2B	0-2	0	0
6K.Farmer, PH	0-1	0	1
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-1	0	1
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	2-3	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Lyles, P	86	5.1	2	1
LR.Yarbrough, P	12	1.2	0	0
RT.Clarke, P	16	1	3	0
LA.Chapman, P	13	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Melendez, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3S.Perez, C	2-4	0	0	0
4V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5F. Reyes, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6H. Dozier, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7K.Isbel, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8N. Eaton, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Massey, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9N.Lopez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0