Twins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Twins at Royals

8:10 pm • BSKC

Minnesota Twins

10-13

2 - 0

Kansas City Royals

17-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J. Lyles			6.28	6-17
S.Gray			2.79	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 10-13	-1.5+100	o8-112	-163
Royals 17-10	+1.5-120	u8-108	+136

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 01, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

MIN -163

KC +1.5-120

0.6u

B.Buxton o0.5 HR+475

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Doing 6 HR bets for 0.1U each.

S.Gray o4.5 Ks-130

0.5u

MIN -160 (F5)

0.4u

KC +138

MIN -158 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -161 b/c also tied to the parlay.

Under 8-107

MIN -165

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The Twins were just 11-24 (.314) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 -- tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Twins are just 33-96 (.256) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Royals are just 25-76 (.248) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.

The Royals were just 18-38 (.321) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Joey Gallo had a miss rate of 47% on outside fastballs last season -- second worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- first Percentile. Zack Greinke located his fastball away 52% of the time last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

56% of fastball strikeouts for Jose Miranda were located out of the zone last season -- tied for seventh highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 49% of Jordan Lyles fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Hitters swung at 51% of Sonny Gray's pitches (259/509) with two-strikes in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Twins	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Twins	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Twins	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 9	MIN +132
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +104
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 4-4	+1.5 W	U 10	TEX +116
Mar 26th	@CHC	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC +164
Mar 25th	@LAD	W 6-3	+1.5 W	U 9	KC +135

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Gray, P	83	5	1
RJ.Alcala, P	12	1	0
RG.Jax, P	11	1	0
LC.Thielbar, P	18	1	3
RJ.Lopez, P	8	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	0-4	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	0-3	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	2-4	2	0
4T.Larnach, LF	0-3	0	0
5J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	0	1
6N.Gordon, 2B	0-2	0	0
6K.Farmer, PH	0-1	0	1
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-1	0	1
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	2-3	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Lyles, P	86	5.1	2	1
LR.Yarbrough, P	12	1.2	0	0
RT.Clarke, P	16	1	3	0
LA.Chapman, P	13	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Melendez, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3S.Perez, C	2-4	0	0	0
4V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5F. Reyes, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6H. Dozier, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7K.Isbel, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8N. Eaton, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Massey, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9N.Lopez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0