Twins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Twins at Royals

8:10 pm • BSKC

Minnesota Twins

13-19

2 - 0

Kansas City Royals

17-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J. Lyles			6.28	6-17
S.Gray			2.79	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 13-19	-1.5+100	o8-112	-163
Royals 17-15	+1.5-120	u8-108	+136

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 01, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

MIN -163

KC +1.5-120

0.6u

B.Buxton o0.5 HR+475

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Doing 6 HR bets for 0.1U each.

S.Gray o4.5 Ks-130

0.5u

KC +138

MIN -158 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -161 b/c also tied to the parlay.

Under 8-107

MIN -165

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The Twins were just 11-24 (.314) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 -- tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Twins are just 33-96 (.256) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Royals are just 25-76 (.248) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.

The Royals were just 18-38 (.321) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Joey Gallo had a miss rate of 47% on outside fastballs last season -- second worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- first Percentile. Zack Greinke located his fastball away 52% of the time last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

56% of fastball strikeouts for Jose Miranda were located out of the zone last season -- tied for seventh highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 49% of Jordan Lyles fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Hitters swung at 51% of Sonny Gray's pitches (259/509) with two-strikes in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 7-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Royals' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	17-15	10-6	7-9	8-5	9-10
Twins	16-16	10-5	6-11	12-11	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	11-20-1	6-10	5-10-1	5-8	6-12-1
Twins	11-18-3	5-9-1	6-9-2	8-13-2	3-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	17-15	11-5	6-10	9-4	8-11
Twins	13-19	9-6	4-13	11-12	2-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 9	MIN +132
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +104
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 4-4	+1.5 W	U 10	TEX +116
Mar 26th	@CHC	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC +164
Mar 25th	@LAD	W 6-3	+1.5 W	U 9	KC +135

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Willi Castro
IF
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
IF
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Gray, P	83	5	1
RJ.Alcala, P	12	1	0
RG.Jax, P	11	1	0
LC.Thielbar, P	18	1	3
RJ.Lopez, P	8	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	0-4	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	0-3	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	2-4	2	0
4T.Larnach, LF	0-3	0	0
5J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	0	1
6N.Gordon, 2B	0-2	0	0
6K.Farmer, PH	0-1	0	1
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-1	0	1
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	2-3	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Lyles, P	86	5.1	2	1
LR.Yarbrough, P	12	1.2	0	0
RT.Clarke, P	16	1	3	0
LA.Chapman, P	13	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Melendez, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3S.Perez, C	2-4	0	0	0
4V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5F. Reyes, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6H. Dozier, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7K.Isbel, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8N. Eaton, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Massey, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9N.Lopez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0