Twins vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 18, 2025

Twins at Braves

11:15 pm • Apple TV+

Minnesota Twins

50-55

4 - 6

Atlanta Braves

44-60

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			6.29	4-7
C.Paddack			4.95	3-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 50-55	+1.5	+1.5-166	o8-115	+122
Braves 44-60	u8.5	-1.5+142	u8-105	-143

Friday 11:15 p.m.

April 18, 2025

Truist ParkAtlanta

A.Riley o1.5 Total Bases-110

M.Ozuna o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

B.Elder u16.5 Outs-105

1.62u

6.7% ev

Under 8.5-115

Fading Sandy jk love you

Over 4.5 (F5)-110

M.Ozuna o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.6u

MIN +125

Twins bullpen quietly elite – 1.20 WHIP, 3.86 ERA. Atlanta’s pen more volatile – 1.47 WHIP, 4.71 ERA last 3. Braves lineup .220 AVG, 9.9 K/G – high whiff rate vs Paddack’s 8.2 K/9. Twins bullpen deep: 4 guys w/ ERA under 2.40, 3 scoreless in last 3 outings. Elder owns a 7.20 ERA, 1.40 WHIP – gave up 12 hits in 10 IP. ATL bullpen gassed – 28.2 IP in last 3 games. MIN lineup avg .231 last 10, but OPS rising (.648 to .920 past 2). Paddack ERA ugly (9.49) but misleading – just one blow-up start. Faced ATL twice before: 11 IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 6 K. Twins better vs RHP – .238 AVG vs .231 ATL. Braves losing momentum – 5-15 in last 20. Twins won 3 of last 4. ATL bullpen allowing 15 runs last 3 games.

Under 8.5-110

Pitching matchup sets the tone – Elder 55.9% GB rate, limits lift. Twins bullpen sneaky good – 3.86 ERA, 1.20 WHIP. Braves pen also solid at home – 2.68 ERA, 1.28 WHIP. Both teams using depth early this season, arms staying fresh and sharp. Under trending hard – 8-2 last 10 on grass for MIN. ATL 38-13-1 to the Under last 52 at Truist. Paddack was sharp in last start (5 IP, 1 ER vs DET), Elder’s control keeps barrels low. Both starters can eat 5-6 innings and avoid early damage. Even with power bats, run totals staying tight – ATL averaging just 4.91 runs/game at home. Twins defense ranks top 10 in fielding metrics.

B.Elder o4.5 Ks+110

1.1u

4.83% ev

B.Elder o4.5 Ks+100

#SO

ATL -130

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

0.87u

Under 9-125

1.5u

Twins vs Braves: Home Run Prop Parlay
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 18, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 19-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Braves' 52 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	41-63	22-30	19-33	31-48	10-15
Twins	52-53	27-24	25-29	32-36	19-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	44-53-7	19-30-3	25-23-4	32-43-4	12-10-3
Twins	42-59-4	22-28-1	20-31-3	29-37-2	12-22-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	44-60	26-26	18-34	39-40	5-20
Twins	50-55	29-22	21-33	36-32	14-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	@TOR	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7	TOR -130
Apr 15th	@TOR	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	TOR -115
Apr 14th	@TOR	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -118
Apr 13th	@TB	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TB -172
Apr 12th	@TB	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL +117

Chris Sale
SP
Sale is out with ribs
Out
Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P	88	5	6	1
RL.Varland, P	18	1	1	0
LD.Coulombe, P	17	1	0	0
RG.Jax, P	26	0.1	1	4
RC.Sands, P	13	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	1
2B.Buxton, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4T.Larnach, LF	1-4	1	1	1
4H.Bader, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	2-3	1	0	0
6R.Jeffers, C	1-4	1	0	1
7B.Lee, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Keaschall, DH	2-4	1	0	1
9D.Keirsey, RF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	91	5	3	4
LA.Bummer, P	18	1.1	1	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	23	1.2	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
5O.Albies, 2B	2-3	1	0	1
6S.Murphy, C	1-3	0	0	0
6E.White, PR	0-0	1	0	0
6E.White, RF	0-0	1	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	2-4	1	0	2
8N.Allen, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Baldwin, PH	1-1	0	0	2
8D.Baldwin, C	1-1	0	0	2
9J.Kelenic, RF	1-2	1	1	1
9S.Fairchild, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, RF	0-2	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-0	0	0	0