Rockies vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - July 8, 2024

Rockies at Reds

11:10 pm • BSOH

Colorado Rockies

7-12

0 - 6

Cincinnati Reds

11-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10
R.Feltner			4.49	3-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 7-12	+1.5-142	o9-108	+142
Reds 11-8	-1.5+120	u9-113	-170

Monday 11:10 p.m.

July 08, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

B.Rodgers o1.5 Total Bases+135

Over 9-120

0.5u

COL +1+100

Under 9.5-115

A.Abbott u5.5 Ks+112

0.5u

Has beat this # just 5 of 17 - struck out just 4 of L49 BF - 4 of first 6 in COL LU < 20 K% v LHP this year.

Under 9.5-110

1.5u

E.De La Cruz o0.5 HR+450

A.Abbott u2.5 Earned Runs-125

1.12u

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+100

R.Feltner u5.5 Ks-146

1.46u

A.Abbott u2.5 Earned Runs-130

0.77u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.15u

R.McMahon o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+105

1.05u

R.Feltner o15.5 Outs+110

COL +165

0.5u

Bet to +155

COL +160

1.5u

I'm tempted to make this 2 units. Feltner all estimators between 4.00 & 4.14, Abbott 3.50 xERA only estimator below 4.85 - CIN 81/85/67 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, COL 78/86/80

CIN -1.5+105

1.05u

Featured Insight
Rockies hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% over the last week -- third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 45% against the Reds RPs over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores since last season -- second highest in MLB. Rockies have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score since last season -- highest in MLB.

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The Reds are just 20-26 (.435) at home this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Rockies are just 12-30 (.286) on the road this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Rockies are just 4-9 (.308) after a road win this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.

Ezequiel Tovar is slugging just .152 over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Andrew Abbott has allowed a SLG of just .241 vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- 88th Percentile.

Ezequiel Tovar is batting just .130 over the last two weeks -- tied for fifth worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .103 (3-for-29) against Andrew Abbott over the last two weeks -- tied for best among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of 1.053 (106 PA's) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .691 -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .310 (57-for-184) against Ryan Feltner's non-fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 -- first Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has walked 6 of 18 batters (33%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% -- second Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has walked 20 of 153 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 5-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Reds' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	11-8	6-6	5-2	3-2	8-6
Rockies	12-7	5-1	7-6	N/A	12-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	10-8-1	7-5	3-3-1	2-3	8-5-1
Rockies	7-12	2-4	5-8	N/A	7-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	11-8	6-6	5-2	3-2	8-6
Rockies	7-12	4-2	3-10	N/A	7-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 7th	DET	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8	DET +115
Jul 6th	DET	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9	DET -162
Jul 5th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	DET -130
Jul 4th	@NYY	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN +152
Jul 3rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN +154

Nick Lodolo
SP
Lodolo is out with finger
Out
Hunter Greene
SP
Greene is out with elbow
Out

Kris Bryant
DH
Bryant is out with back
Out
Zac Veen
LF
Veen is out with knee
Out
Blaine Crim
1B
Crim is out with oblique
Out
McCade Brown
SP
Brown is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Feltner, P	92	7	6	1
RT.Kinley, P	34	0.2	2	2
RA.Molina, P	7	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2E.Tovar, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3R.McMahon, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4E.Diaz, C	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Rodgers, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Doyle, CF	1-2	0	0	0
7M.Toglia, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8H.Goodman, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Cave, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Cave, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Schunk, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LA.Abbott, P	106	7	8
RF.Cruz, P	7	1	1
RY.Zulueta, P	9	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-3	2	0	1
3J.Candelario, 3B	2-4	2	0	1
3J.Candelario, 1B	2-4	2	0	1
4S.Steer, LF	0-2	0	0	0
5T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	0	0
6E.Rios, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Espinal, 3B	1-1	0	0	1
7N.Marte, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8R.Hinds, RF	2-3	1	1	1
9W.Benson, CF	0-2	1	0	0