Tigers vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Tigers at Reds

8:10 pm • BSOH

Detroit Tigers

42-24

5 - 3

Cincinnati Reds

32-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
A.Faedo			3.61	5-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 42-24	+1.5	+1.5-148	o9-120	+136
Reds 32-33	u9	-1.5+124	u9+100	-162

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

July 06, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN -1.5+130

Under 9+100

0.5u

H.Greene o17.5 Outs-140

0.71u

Featured Insight
Tigers have a strikeout rate of 29% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

32% of Elly De La Cruz strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Zach McKinstry is batting just .176 this season -- tied for sixth worst among hitters with at least 129 total PA's-- second Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .189 (34-for-180) against Hunter Greene this season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 36 of Casey Mize's 192 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .321 (52-for-162) against Casey Mize this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .243 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 16-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 4 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Reds' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	34-30	18-14	16-16	14-14	20-15
Tigers	36-30	19-12	17-18	22-19	14-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	26-36-2	13-18-1	13-18-1	6-20-2	19-16
Tigers	30-32-4	9-19-3	21-13-1	18-20-3	12-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	32-33	16-16	15-17	14-14	17-18
Tigers	42-24	22-9	20-15	29-12	13-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	DET -130
Jul 4th	@NYY	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN +152
Jul 3rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN +154
Jul 2nd	@NYY	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +180
Jun 30th	@STL	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -105

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Matt Vierling
OF
Vierling is out with shoulder
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
P
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

Wade Miley
P
Miley is out with elbow
Out
Noelvi Marte
IF
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Faedo, P	25	2	2	0
RB.Brieske, P	40	2.1	5	2
LT.Holton, P	33	1.2	2	0
RS.Miller, P	32	2	3	0
RJ.Foley, P	10	0.2	0	1
LA.Chafin, P	6	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2A.Ibanez, PH	0-1	1	0	0
2A.Ibanez, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
3M.Canha, RF	1-4	0	0	1
3Z.McKinstry, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3Z.McKinstry, SS	0-0	1	0	0
4R.Greene, LF	0-3	0	0	1
5C.Kelly, C	1-3	0	0	1
6J.Malloy, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Urshela, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8P.Meadows, CF	2-4	1	0	0
9R.Kreidler, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Perez, PH	1-2	1	1	2
9W.Perez, RF	1-2	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	104	7	7	0
RF.Cruz, P	17	0.1	0	3
LS.Moll, P	20	0.1	0	2
RL.Sims, P	17	0.1	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	1-3	2	1	1
5N.Martini, LF	1-3	1	0	0
5N.Martini, RF	1-3	1	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	0	2
7N.Marte, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Dunn, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Dunn, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Rios, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8S.Espinal, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-2	0	0	0