Tigers vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Tigers at Reds

8:10 pm • BSOH

Detroit Tigers

2-0

5 - 3

Cincinnati Reds

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
A.Faedo			3.61	5-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 2-0	+1.5	+1.5-148	o9-120	+136
Reds 1-2	u9	-1.5+124	u9+100	-162

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

July 06, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN -1.5+130

Under 9+100

0.5u

H.Greene o17.5 Outs-140

0.71u

Featured Insight
Tigers have a strikeout rate of 29% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

32% of Elly De La Cruz strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Zach McKinstry is batting just .176 this season -- tied for sixth worst among hitters with at least 129 total PA's-- second Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .189 (34-for-180) against Hunter Greene this season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 36 of Casey Mize's 192 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .321 (52-for-162) against Casey Mize this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .243 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	DET -130
Jul 4th	@NYY	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN +152
Jul 3rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN +154
Jul 2nd	@NYY	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +180
Jun 30th	@STL	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -105

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Faedo, P	25	2	2	0
RB.Brieske, P	40	2.1	5	2
LT.Holton, P	33	1.2	2	0
RS.Miller, P	32	2	3	0
RJ.Foley, P	10	0.2	0	1
LA.Chafin, P	6	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2A.Ibanez, PH	0-1	1	0	0
2A.Ibanez, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
3M.Canha, RF	1-4	0	0	1
3Z.McKinstry, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3Z.McKinstry, SS	0-0	1	0	0
4R.Greene, LF	0-3	0	0	1
5C.Kelly, C	1-3	0	0	1
6J.Malloy, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Urshela, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8P.Meadows, CF	2-4	1	0	0
9R.Kreidler, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Perez, PH	1-2	1	1	2
9W.Perez, RF	1-2	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	104	7	7	0
RF.Cruz, P	17	0.1	0	3
LS.Moll, P	20	0.1	0	2
RL.Sims, P	17	0.1	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	1-3	2	1	1
5N.Martini, LF	1-3	1	0	0
5N.Martini, RF	1-3	1	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	0	2
7N.Marte, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Dunn, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Dunn, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Rios, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8S.Espinal, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-2	0	0	0