Reds vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 11, 2023

Reds at Pirates

11:05 pm • MLB Network

Cincinnati Reds

15-13

9 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

11-18

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 15-13	-1.5+153	o9-105	-101
Pirates 11-18	+1.5-184	u9-115	-119

Friday 11:05 p.m.

August 11, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 9-110

1.1u

PIT -115

2.3u

PIT -110

$160.00

CIN -105

0.95u

Pirates fake sharp

Under 9-105

$27.00

Party Parlay Pick

PIT -112

1.12u

PIT -112

1.1u

Available at FanDuel. Even with his solid results, I'm still a bit skeptical about how sustainable Andrew Abbott's run is. He lets up a ton of fly balls and enough hard contact to make you squeamish -- but it hasn't hurt him much yet. The PIrates aren't a great offense against lefties, but they aren't putrid, either. Johan Oviedo has seemingly been trending up of late with more strikeouts since he started to up his four-seam fastball usage 13 starts ago. My model has the Pirates at 56.8% to win, up from 52.8% implied.

A.Abbott o16.5 Outs-125

0.8u

Over 9-110

0.5u

Need -110

PIT +110

0.5u

Bet to +101

Featured Insight
The Reds have scored three or more runs in an inning 63 times (6%) this season -- tied for 10th-highest in MLB. Pirates have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played this season -- fifth-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 4.9 runs per game on the road this season -- ninth-highest in MLB (57 games). The Pirates have allowed 5.3 runs per game at home this season -- fourth-highest in MLB (58 games).

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 6-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Pirates' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	12-17	6-7	6-10	4-7	8-10
Reds	16-12	7-5	9-7	7-5	9-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	13-15-1	8-5	5-10-1	5-6	8-9-1
Reds	13-14-1	5-6-1	8-8	3-8-1	9-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	11-18	6-7	5-11	5-6	6-12
Reds	15-13	6-6	9-7	8-4	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 10th	ATL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 10	PIT +165
Aug 9th	ATL	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9.5	ATL +240
Aug 8th	ATL	L 6-8	+1.5 L	O 10	ATL +142
Aug 7th	ATL	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 9	PIT +255
Aug 6th	@MIL	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +177

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
P
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
IF
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	98	5.2	9	2
RD.Law, P	17	1.1	0	0
RB.Kennedy, P	33	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-3	2	0	1
2M.McLain, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
3E.De La Cruz, SS	2-5	1	0	3
4S.Steer, 3B	2-5	0	0	2
5J. Votto, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5K.Newman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Encarnacion-Strand, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6H. Ramos, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6H. Ramos, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, LF	1-4	2	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	3-4	2	0	0
8T. Hopkins, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	1-2	1	1	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	93	5	4	6
LJ.Hernandez, P	26	1.2	4	0
RC.Selby, P	25	1	1	3
LA.Perdomo, P	16	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0	1
4C.Joe, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5H.Davis, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Peguero, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Williams, SS	0-3	0	0	0