Braves vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 9, 2023

Braves at Pirates

11:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Atlanta Braves

39-19

6 - 5

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Q.Priester			7.74	3-3
M.Fried			2.55	8-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 39-19	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 30-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

August 09, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

M.Fried u1.5 BB-105

$5.71

Q.Priester o2.5 BB+115

$5.00

M.Fried u5.5 Ks-135

$2.96

ATL o3.5 (F5)+120

2.4u

ATL -1.5-170

$1.70

Under 9.5-120

1.2u

O.Albies o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.43u

Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored three or more runs in an inning just 72 times (5%) since last season -- eighth-lowest in MLB. Braves have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played since last season -- tied for lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 64% of their games on the road since last season -- best in MLB. Pirates have won just 41% of their games on the road since last season -- fifth-worst.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 9, 2023 UTC

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The Braves are 37-15 (.712) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has an OPS of just .666 since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .577 (856 PAs) since last season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

58% of fastball strikeouts for Bryan Reynolds are located out of the zone since last season -- second highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 47% of Max Fried fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 83% (10/12) against Max Fried -- highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .151 (22-for-146) against Max Fried with runners in scoring position since last season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .250 -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Braves	37-21	15-12	22-9	29-14	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Braves	27-27-4	7-18-2	20-9-2	22-18-3	5-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Braves	39-19	17-10	22-9	31-12	8-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 8th	ATL	L 6-8	-	-	-
Aug 7th	ATL	W 7-6	-	-	-
Aug 6th	@MIL	W 4-1	-	-	-
Aug 5th	@MIL	L 2-3	-	-	-
Aug 5th	@MIL	W 8-4	-	-	-

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	79	4	4	4
RC. McHugh, P	38	2.2	4	1
RP.Johnson, P	22	0.2	1	0
LA.Minter, P	15	0.2	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	25	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	3-6	1	1
2O.Albies, 2B	3-5	0	2
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	1	1
4M.Olson, 1B	0-2	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	1-4	0	1
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-5	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	1	0
7K.Pillar, PH	0-1	0	0
7K.Pillar, LF	0-1	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-5	1	0
9M.Harris, CF	3-4	2	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RQ.Priester, P	86	4	4	4
LA.Perdomo, P	28	1.1	4	1
RC.Selby, P	23	1.2	3	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	27	1	1	1
LJ.Hernandez, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	3-5	1	1	3
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	0	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	2-5	0	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Rivas, PH	1-2	0	0	0
4A.Rivas, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
5H.Davis, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	1	0	0
8J.Triolo, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
9A.Williams, SS	0-4	0	0	1