Braves vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 10, 2023

Braves at Pirates

4:35 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

39-19

5 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 39-19	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 30-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

August 10, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Over 10-105

PIT +155 (F5)

0.25u

Over 9.5-118

0.85u

R.Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-150

$3.00

PIT +1.5+105

2.1u

PIT o3.5-130

PIT +190

0.95u

PIT +155 (F5)

0.5u

Over 5.5 (F5)-110

0.91u

Bet365 8:19 EST.

PIT +185

0.93u

Bet to +162

PIT +180

2.7u

Elder (4.57 SIERA/4.35 xERA) has not been much better than Falter (4.78/4.63) - While the Braves crush LHP (134 wRC+), PIT has the better defense (5 Runs Prevented) & pen estimators L30 days are nearly even.

Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored three or more runs in an inning just 73 times (5%) since last season -- eighth-lowest in MLB. Braves have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played since last season -- tied for second-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Braves have scored 5.6 runs per game over the last week -- highest in MLB (118 games). The Pirates have allowed 4.9 runs per game over the last week -- sixth-highest in MLB (120 games).

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The Braves are 38-15 (.717) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

35% of Ke'Bryan Hayes strikeouts are looking since last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 33% of Sam Moll strikeouts are looking since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jack Suwinski has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Bryce Elder has struck out just 15% (39/261) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (207/385) against Bryce Elder this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 94th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Braves	37-21	15-12	22-9	29-14	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Braves	27-27-4	7-18-2	20-9-2	22-18-3	5-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Braves	39-19	17-10	22-9	31-12	8-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 9th	ATL	L 5-6	-	-	-
Aug 8th	ATL	L 6-8	-	-	-
Aug 7th	ATL	W 7-6	-	-	-
Aug 6th	@MIL	W 4-1	-	-	-
Aug 5th	@MIL	L 2-3	-	-	-

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	87	5	5	5
RJ.Jimenez, P	18	1	1	0
LB. Hand, P	24	1	1	2
RM.Tonkin, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	0	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	3-5	0	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	2-5	1	1	1
5T.d'Arnaud, C	2-4	1	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	1	1
8K.Pillar, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	86	4	3	4
RT.Hatch, P	42	4	2	0
RC.Holderman, P	30	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Palacios, LF	0-4	1	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	2-4	2	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-5	1	3
4A.Rivas, 1B	0-3	0	1
5H.Davis, RF	1-3	1	0
6J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	1	0
7L.Peguero, SS	2-4	0	2
7L.Peguero, 2B	2-4	0	2
8J.Triolo, 2B	0-3	0	0
8A.Williams, SS	0-0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	2-4	1	1