Reds vs Padres Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - May 1, 2023

Reds at Padres

1:40 am • BSSD

Cincinnati Reds

43-52

3 - 8

San Diego Padres

48-48

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			2.25	14-9
L.Weaver			3.38	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 43-52	N/A	N/A	N/A
Padres 48-48	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

May 02, 2023

Petco ParkSan Diego

Under 8.5-105

L.Weaver o4.5 Ks-135

1.35u

Weaver has been able to generate a 15% swinging strike rate so the strikeouts should continue. He’s been able to get elite whiff rates on his two main pitches: fastball (37%) and changeup (59%). His curveball has been awful and the sooner he replaces that with his cutter as his 3rd pitch, the better. The Padres are a tough team to K, but after 2 games at 7400’ above sea level, Weaver’s stuff might be a bit tougher to hit as they adjust back. HP ump Paul Emmel has a pretty big strike zone as well. Projecting this closer to -170

Under 8.5-106

1.06u

Over 8.5-113

CIN +190

0.5u

Need +190 or better, same price at Wynn

CIN +1.5-105

0.53u

B.Snell o6.5 Ks-112

0.89u

CIN +185

0.54u

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-115

$1.00

Under 5.5 (F5)-133

1.2u

-142 on FD

CIN +180

1.1u

CIN +180

Snell 16.5 BB%, 12.3% Barrels/BBE) lowest estimator 5.17 xFIP - SDP < 95 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days

The Reds are just 3-10 (.231) on the road this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

Xander Bogaerts has an OPS of .846 since last season -- 15th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Luke Weaver has allowed an OPS of .875 (225 PAs) since last season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Manny Machado has an OPS of .858 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Luke Weaver has allowed an OPS of .875 (225 PAs) since last season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 24-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Padres' 51 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	52-44	28-23	24-21	20-20	32-24
Reds	50-45	24-26	26-19	15-13	35-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	42-53-1	22-28-1	20-25	15-24-1	27-29
Reds	53-41-1	27-23	26-18-1	18-10	35-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	48-48	27-24	21-24	22-18	26-30
Reds	43-52	22-28	21-24	16-12	27-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	SF	W 6-4	-	-	-
Apr 29th	SF	W 16-11	-	-	-
Apr 27th	@CHC	L 2-5	-	-	-
Apr 26th	@CHC	W 5-3	-	-	-
Apr 25th	@CHC	L 0-6	-	-	-

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Weaver, P	79	4.1	3	4
LA.Young, P	19	0.2	1	2
RC.Legumina, P	19	2	3	0
LR.Sanmartin, P	36	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Steer, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
3S.Fairchild, LF	1-3	0	0	2
3J.Fraley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Fraley, LF	0-1	0	0	0
4T.Stephenson, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5H. Ramos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Newman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6K.Newman, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Senzel, CF	3-4	1	1	1
7N.Senzel, 3B	3-4	1	1	1
8J.Barrero, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Casali, C	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	2-2	1	0	0
9T.Friedl, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Friedl, CF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Snell, P	101	6	7	3
RS.Wilson, P	12	1	2	0
RD. Tapia, P	26	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	3-5	1	0	0
2M.Machado, 3B	1-4	1	0	2
3J.Soto, LF	2-4	0	0	2
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-5	1	0	0
5M.Carpenter, DH	1-3	1	0	0
5N. Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5N. Cruz, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-5	0	0	0
7H.Kim, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
8T.Grisham, CF	3-4	1	0	1
9B.Sullivan, C	1-3	1	0	0