Reds vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2023

Reds at Cardinals

12:15 am • BSMW

Cincinnati Reds

67-61

4 - 7

St. Louis Cardinals

63-65

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Montgomery			2.79	4-2
B.Lively			5.38	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 67-61	+1.5-135	o8-105	+145
Cardinals 63-65	-1.5+110	u8-115	-175

Saturday 12:15 a.m.

June 10, 2023

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

CIN +155

STL -1.5+115

1.15u

Under 8-109

1.09u

CIN +1.5-130

$100.00

CIN +150

0.8u

I think the gap between these two teams is smaller than the market implies. The Reds' offense keeps getting more fun and frisky with each guy they call up. They also have seen great stuff out of Ben Lively thus far. I'd expect his strikeouts to regress a bit, but even accounting for that, he projects to be at least solid moving forward. On the other side, Jordan Montgomery has come back to earth a bit from his hot end to last year, specifically in the strikeout department. I've got the Reds' win odds above 45%, so getting them at 40% implied is more than enough to take the plunge.

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -108

CIN +165

0.5u

Bet to +157

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The Reds are 11-2 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Cardinals are just 11-139 (.073) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 32-31 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Cardinals' 65 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	65-63	33-32	32-31	22-34	42-29
Reds	67-59	34-29	33-30	25-31	42-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	64-58-6	33-29-3	31-29-3	27-24-5	36-34-1
Reds	46-73-7	20-38-5	26-35-2	14-39-3	31-34-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	63-65	35-30	28-35	28-28	34-37
Reds	67-61	35-28	31-32	31-25	35-34

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 8th	@TEX	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 9	STL +110
Jun 7th	@TEX	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 9.5	TEX +115
Jun 6th	@TEX	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 10	TEX +124
Jun 4th	@PIT	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -145
Jun 3rd	@PIT	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -148

Nolan Arenado
3B
Arenado is out with shoulder
Out
Brendan Donovan
2B
Donovan is out with groin
Out

Nick Lodolo
SP
Lodolo is out with blister
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P		92	6.2	8	7
RJ.Kuhnel, P		20	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Newman, 3B	1-4	0	1
2M.McLain, 2B	1-4	1	0
3J.India, DH	0-4	0	0
4E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	0
5S.Steer, 1B	1-3	1	0
6T.Stephenson, C	1-2	1	1
7S.Fairchild, LF	2-3	0	2
7S.Fairchild, CF	2-3	0	2
8T. Hopkins, RF	0-4	0	0
9J.Barrero, CF	0-2	0	0
9W.Benson, PH	0-1	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Montgomery, P	97	6	6	0
RJ.Hicks, P	27	0.1	1	2
RA.Pallante, P	3	0.2	0	0
RC.Stratton, P	24	0.2	1	2
RG.Gallegos, P	15	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	3-5	2	0	1
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
3N.Gorman, DH	1-4	1	1	2
4N.Arenado, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
5W.Contreras, C	1-3	0	0	0
6T.Edman, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7P.DeJong, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Walker, LF	3-4	2	1	2
9D.Carlson, RF	0-2	0	0	0