Pirates vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2024

Pirates at Mets

11:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

3 - 6

New York Mets

24-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Houser			5.84	1-5
M.Perez			5.21	2-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-199	o8.5-103	+105
Mets 24-33	-1.5+164	u8.5-116	-125

Monday 11:10 p.m.

April 15, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

PIT +108

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

1.5u

NYM -110

1.5u

NYM -122

0.82u

NYM -120 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -126

PIT +105

NYM -115

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -126

Under 8.5-115

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters had a hard-hit rate of 41% last season -- tied for ninth best in MLB. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Mets last season -- sixth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 25% since the 2022 season -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Monday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 15, 2024 UTC
Monday's Sharp MLB Pick
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 15, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Jeff McNeil struck out in just 10% of PA's last season -- second lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Martin Perez had a strikeout rate of just 15% last season -- 11th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- sixth Percentile.

Bryan Reynolds batted .287 on breaking pitches last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Brooks Raley threw his curveball 35% of the time last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 87th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 39% of Adrian Houser's non-fastballs (478/1,239) since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 11-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Mets' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	20-36	9-18	11-18	14-25	6-11
Pirates	30-27	15-15	15-12	17-15	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	23-30-3	14-10-3	9-20	18-19-2	5-11-1
Pirates	30-25-2	19-11	11-14-2	20-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	23-33	12-15	11-18	18-21	5-12
Pirates	29-28	15-15	14-13	18-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	KC	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -112
Apr 13th	KC	L 7-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	KC -166
Apr 12th	KC	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -142
Apr 11th	@ATL	W 16-4	+1.5 W	O 10	NYM +140
Apr 9th	@ATL	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9.5	ATL +156

Francisco Lindor
IF
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable

Tylor Megill
P
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
P
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	86	5.2	1	3
RH.Stratton, P	7	0.1	0	0
RC.Holderman, P	12	1	2	0
LA.Chapman, P	20	0.1	2	3
RR.Contreras, P	16	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	0-3	1	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	0-4	0	0
5A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	1	1
6J.Suwinski, CF	0-2	1	0
7C.Joe, RF	1-4	0	1
8J.Triolo, 2B	0-1	0	1
9H.Davis, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	95	5.1	5	2
RD.Smith, P	19	0.2	0	1
LB.Raley, P	16	1	2	0
RA.Ottavino, P	11	1	2	0
RE.Diaz, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	0-5	0	1
2S.Marte, RF	2-5	1	0
3F.Lindor, SS	2-4	1	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0
5B.Baty, 3B	1-3	1	0
6F.Alvarez, C	0-2	0	1
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	1	0
8T.Taylor, DH	1-2	0	0
8D.Stewart, PH	1-1	1	1
8D.Stewart, DH	1-1	1	1
9H.Bader, CF	1-3	1	2